CBB Grind Down: Friday, March 27th
Glean insight from one of the game’s best, Varncass, as he lists picks he’ll actually be targeting in his DFS games, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.
Friday, March 27th
Four more great matchups are coming up tonight. Here are my top picks in each game.
North Carolina State at Louisville
| North Carolina State | Louisville | |||||||
| Vegas Total | 116 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 10.30 | Vegas Total | 116 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 7.78 | |
| Vegas Sprd | 2.5 | Paint Pts/Gm | 20.20 | Vegas Sprd | -2.5 | Paint Pts/Gm | 33.78 | |
| Team Proj. | 56.75 | Opponent TOs/GM | 14.33 | Team Proj. | 59.25 | Opponent TOs/GM | 10.90 | |
| Ast/TO Ratio | 107% | Field Goal % | 45.30% | Ast/TO Ratio | 91% | Field Goal % | 44.00% | |
North Carolina State
Abdul-Malik Abu – There appears to be some sort of firm decision late in the season here by Gottfried that he will continue to play Abu a good amount of minutes. This NC State team is playing in the lowest scoring game against a Louisville team with a great defense and a slower than realized tempo, which results in the lowest team total of the day. There are not many good plays, but Abu is cheap and should hit value if given 30 minutes. Harrell is solid inside, but NC State has a lot of bodies to throw at him, and we need value. You could also look at Lennard Freeman, but he is classified as a guard. Both guys are decent value gambles.
Louisville
Terry Rozier – If you used Rozier against Northern Iowa, you probably did fairly well in your matchups. I see no reason to start fading him now, as he has a better matchup against a higher pace team with not as good of a defense. Louisville is in somewhat of the same situation, but I am not sure Barber nor Lacey can match up with the future pro, and I would look to Rozier at this depressed price to go ahead and go nuts. I was looking at Snider for value, but he just is not a very good player.
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