CBB Grind Down: Monday, February 9th

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Glean insight from one of the game’s best, Varncass, as he lists picks he’ll actually be targeting in his tournament games below, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.

Monday, February 9th

We are back to break down the games today and ready to get back into winning ways. We have four games on tap for this Monday, which is a fairly large number of games for the first day of the week. There are two games which are games that should be targeted, and two games which definitely are not of the same fantasy caliber of the others.

Duke at Florida State

Duke Florida State
Vegas Total 145 Fast Break Pts/Gm 9.56 Vegas Total 145 Fast Break Pts/Gm 3.78
Vegas Sprd -11 Paint Pts/Gm 36.00 Vegas Sprd 11 Paint Pts/Gm 27.33
Team Proj. 78 Opponent TOs/GM 13.22 Team Proj. 67 Opponent TOs/GM 10.22
Ast/TO Ratio 180% Field Goal % 53.70% Ast/TO Ratio 84% Field Goal % 47.20%

Duke

Justise Winslow – This is definitely one of the games that you are going to want to look to for players. Duke is the second-highest projected scoring team, and the fact that Florida State is home should keep them from getting blown out by 30 in the first half here. Winslow has been awesome since Sulaimon has left and his minutes are intact, with 30 points in three straight. He definitely is in play again here today against FSU, who has a terrible defense. His salary only requires 30 fantasy points for value, and with him hitting value in the last three and in a good matchup here, I like him a lot.

Tyus Jones – Okafor is great and paying up for him is a good idea tonight, however Jones and Winslow are the cheaper guys who have outproduced Okafor in the last few games. Okafor cannot be stopped, essentially only by foul trouble, but paying 9,400 for him on a slate with not a lot of value is somewhat risky. Jones is still extremely cheap by the FanDuel algorithm at 6,900 and is almost a guarantee for 30 fantasy points tonight.

Florida State

Xavier Rathan-Mayes – Still somewhat underpriced on FanDuel at 7,800, I like Rathan-Mayes as a GPP play today. We saw when he could do as the only option against North Carolina when he was trying to catch the Seminoles up, so he should be able to put together a nice stat line today as well. The minutes are there, the usage rate is there, so the only question is can he perform today?

Continue Reading: FanDuel CBB Grind Down & DraftKings CBB Grind Down

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About the Author

Varncass
Jon Schiller (Varncass)

Jon Schiller (aka Varncass) has been providing college sports content for the fantasy industry since 2012 and the sports betting industry since 2022. He’s an analytics junkie who uses any and all predictive stats and game theory to discover edges for the RotoGrinders and ScoresAndOdds community. Follow Jon on Twitter – @Bronzesword