CBB Grind Down: Sunday, January 4th
Glean insight from one of the game’s best, Varncass, as he lists picks he’ll actually be targeting in his tournament games below, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.
Sunday, January 4th
Welcome to the end of a crazy week in college hoops. There have been a ton of games this week, and I am looking forward to having Sunday to just watch some games enjoy the night. Today is another game filled day, but it should not be as upset filled as a lot of the remaining undefeateds went down yesterday.
UCF at Temple
| UCF | Temple | |||||||
| Vegas Total | 125 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 6.33 | Vegas Total | 125 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 5.30 | |
| Vegas Sprd | 15 | Paint Pts/Gm | 18.89 | Vegas Sprd | -15 | Paint Pts/Gm | 24.80 | |
| Team Proj. | 55 | Opponent TOs/GM | 11.00 | Team Proj. | 70 | Opponent TOs/GM | 13.89 | |
| Ast/TO Ratio | 97% | Field Goal % | 45.30% | Ast/TO Ratio | 97% | Field Goal % | 36.20% | |
UCF
Primary Plays
None – UCF spreads the wealth around, and the minutes. They probably will not score too many points as they are projected to lose handily to Temple today. This is not a place where I am looking to spend my salary dollars.
Secondary Plays
None – With one of the lowest scoring teams on the slate, I see no reason to risk it here with UCF. Their min salary guys are very inconsistent and their guys who are higher salary, I would actually rather roll with the Temple players here.
Temple
Primary Plays
Jaylen Bond – I really like Bond today against the weak UCF interior. Bond remains at 5,600 and has put some solid games together when playing well. Even though UCF has a beast of a man in Justin McBride, I still think Bond is going to have a great game tonight as UCF allows teams to shoot almost 50% from inside the paint.
Jesse Morgan – I underestimated how good Morgan would be for this Temple team. He is playing almost all of the available minutes and has been a 16-7 performer since becoming eligible. His price has risen, but Temple has a great matchup today and I will be targeting their players heavily.
Secondary Plays
Will Cummings – Despite the eligibility of Morgan, Cummings is still the leader of this team. He is a legit 40 point upside guy when his shot is falling and someone that should be looked at today. Due to his high price, I do not think a lot of people will be using him which makes his upside nice to pair with a GPP roster.
Houston at Tulsa
| Houston | Tulsa | |||||||
| Vegas Total | 132 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 4.33 | Vegas Total | 132 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 5.00 | |
| Vegas Sprd | 12 | Paint Pts/Gm | 22.00 | Vegas Sprd | -12 | Paint Pts/Gm | 19.70 | |
| Team Proj. | 60 | Opponent TOs/GM | 13.60 | Team Proj. | 72 | Opponent TOs/GM | 15.00 | |
| Ast/TO Ratio | 86% | Field Goal % | 39.50% | Ast/TO Ratio | 79% | Field Goal % | 41.40% | |
Houston
Primary Plays
None – Tulsa is playing a mean defense under Haith and really keeping teams off balance. A lot of guys on Houston, like Pollard and Stiggers are overpriced, and I do not trust Knowles and Rose right now. I would just avoid this as Houston may not break 60.
Secondary Plays
Danrad Knowles – “Chicken” Knowles is a solid GPP gamble, and could be a cash game play depending on how you view it. While Tulsa has a solid interior defense, they are not all that tall and Knowles has a decent block rate. He has had some massive games but also a really low floor. I do not like him very much but he is cheap and does have high upside.
Tulsa
Primary Plays
Shaquille Harrison – What else can you say about Harrison right now? He is absolutely on fire as he has 4 games of 35 or more points in a row. Houston is a fast tempo team with a terrible defense who allows a lot of offensive rebounds. I see no reason why Harrison’s string won’t continue, and he should again be the leading scorer for the Hurricane.
Secondary Plays
Rashad Smith – Smith has spent the last 3 games playing solid minutes and scoring over 20 fantasy points. I do not like him too much, but there is something to be said about the most trusted post man on Frank Haith’s team. Smith has low upside but he also has a decent floor and should do well in this game against a terrible Houston defense.
Continue Reading: FanDuel CBB Grind Down & DraftKings CBB Grind Down
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