CBB Grind Down: Tuesday, January 13th
Glean insight from one of the game’s best, Varncass, as he lists picks he’ll actually be targeting in his tournament games below, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.
Tuesday, January 13th
I hope everyone had a nice break yesterday, which was much needed in my case. College Hoops comes back hard from a wacky weekend with a solid 16 game slate tonight. I am expecting some traffic to pick up with the end of football, and this is the time to put together some great lineup and to build the bankroll for the future March Madness events which I hope are released soon.
Oklahoma State at Kansas
| Oklahoma State | Kansas | |||||||
| Vegas Total | 134 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 12.56 | Vegas Total | 134 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 5.00 | |
| Vegas Sprd | 4 | Paint Pts/Gm | 27.11 | Vegas Sprd | -4 | Paint Pts/Gm | 23.33 | |
| Team Proj. | 65 | Opponent TOs/GM | 13.44 | Team Proj. | 69 | Opponent TOs/GM | 12.67 | |
| Ast/TO Ratio | 99% | Field Goal % | 46.90% | Ast/TO Ratio | 88% | Field Goal % | 41.40% | |
Oklahoma State
Le’Bryan Nash – Nash is clearly the #1 guy on Oklahoma State, and takes the amount of shots that proves it. I think Kansas will have a bit of an issue guarding him today unless they decide to double which he can pass out of. Nash has one of the highest floors of all of the players, and I am not hating this game to target as both teams run when given the chance. Nash grabbed 0 rebounds in the last game and that is definitely not likely to happen again.
Anthony Hickey – Hickey will be matched up with Mason who will make for a tough guard but I think Hickey’s price at 6,100 is still a bit too low for a guy getting major minutes at the point guard spot with an over 20 PPG average and 35 point upside. I do not love him today due to the short amount of options at guard, but he is certainly in play for value here.
Kansas
Kelly Oubre – Oubre’s price is stuck at 6,400 which I think is still too low. I believe the pricing algorithms are still somewhat keeping his 0 point start in play and since he has entered the starting lineup he is averaging about 25 FPPG which is just about value. Oubre is a safe play today and is shooting a solid percentage from 3.
Perry Ellis – Ellis is the most enigmatic Kansas player of all time. You really have no idea what you are going to get from him, although when he is on, you can reap huge rewards for drafting him. His season average is nice and his upside is around 40-45 here I believe, but the problem is that he brings you a real possibility of around 10 fantasy points. Use caution.
Virginia Tech at Louisville
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |||||||
| Vegas Total | 134 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 10.11 | Vegas Total | 134 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 7.78 | |
| Vegas Sprd | 20 | Paint Pts/Gm | 31.33 | Vegas Sprd | -20 | Paint Pts/Gm | 33.78 | |
| Team Proj. | 57 | Opponent TOs/GM | 14.33 | Team Proj. | 77 | Opponent TOs/GM | 13.33 | |
| Ast/TO Ratio | 96% | Field Goal % | 49.00% | Ast/TO Ratio | 91% | Field Goal % | 44.00% | |
Virginia Tech
Justin Bibbs – Bibbs has gone nuts in 4 of the last 5 games and is sitting at 5,600 today. He brings some risk with him because of playing Louisville and the low floor, but he plays almost the entire game and is the most involved in the offense since Van Zegeren was suspended. Bibbs is the future and I expect him to continue to get a lot of run today and is a fantastic value option.
Louisville
Terry Rozier – Rozier is a beast this year and there are games where not including him is going to severely hamper your lineup. That being said, his price has risen to above Chris Jones again but due to his previous performances, I think he is still one of the best plays. Virginia Tech is terrible and Louisville is one of the highest scoring teams on the slate so you will want some exposure here. As usual, I am going with Rozier on FanDuel and Jones on DraftKings due to the salary differences, although those are getting smaller.
Montrezl Harrell – Virginia Tech’s interior is now up to two guys who cannot stop fouling. While Harrell is not a great free throw shooter, he is a beast inside and after a couple of days rest should be able to bounce back from his poor performance against North Carolina who has a much better interior. At this point, I am not sure what kind of effort we will see from Trez, but he has major upside.
Wayne Blackshear – I really do not like mentioning him, but he is in play today as well. Blackshear is not a great 3 point shooter and does not do much else well as the two main guards have been taking the reins of the offense lately. Blackshear’s price is very low and is a nice cheap way to gain exposure to the Louisville situation. He hs not done well since entering conference play, but Virginia Tech is terrible and there will be points to go around.
Chinanu Onuaku – Last but not least, it has been Onuaku who has gained the starting job back in the last two games. He has performed fantasy wise, and is extremely cheap. Virginia Tech has a poor interior and struggles to rebound the basketball so we could see a nice value game from Onuaku here. I would caution against using more than 2 guys from Louisville though on a long slate as there are other options to take advantage of.
Continue Reading: FanDuel CBB Grind Down & DraftKings CBB Grind Down
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