CBB Grind Down: Tuesday, January 27th

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Glean insight from one of the game’s best, Varncass, as he lists picks he’ll actually be targeting in his tournament games below, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.

Tuesday, January 27th

We have 10 games on the docket today, and it would have been more had the two games in the Northeast not been postponed. I was originally thinking that the Georgetown game was also in danger of being postponed because of the blizzard, but it sounds like it is not as bad as everyone thought. Keep an eye on things before lock, as both sites have held the players hands and either removed the two postponed games from the player pool or informed people on the site that they are postponed.

West Virginia at Kansas State

West Virginia Kansas State
Vegas Total 134 Fast Break Pts/Gm 5.20 Vegas Total 134 Fast Break Pts/Gm 6.90
Vegas Sprd -2 Paint Pts/Gm 30.30 Vegas Sprd 2 Paint Pts/Gm 27.00
Team Proj. 68 Opponent TOs/GM 14.80 Team Proj. 66 Opponent TOs/GM 11.40
Ast/TO Ratio 135% Field Goal % 40.80% Ast/TO Ratio 99% Field Goal % 47.00%

West Virginia

None – Not a great spot for WVU, whose players’ prices have risen after a massive performance against TCU, which saw one of the more wild endings in CBB this year. Staten could still be in play, but with his struggles recently and a Kansas State team who plays slow and with good defense at home, I am really thinking about fading him completely. Devin Williams could be a solid play as well, as he has developed as the #2 option on WVU and Kansas State has a weak defensive interior. The problem is that his price has constantly been on the rise, and he will not get as many opportunities as in the last few games.

Kansas State

Nino Williams – I am worried about West Virginia making sure to stay on Williams and trying to take him out of his comfort zone on the offensive end, but his price is just so low for his recent production. He is in the forward position where solid plays are always needed, and he has gone over 25 fantasy points in his last three. Williams is still affordable here, and while he brings minimal block or steal upside, his recent performances continue to reach value.

Tulsa at Tulane

Tulsa Tulane
Vegas Total 127 Fast Break Pts/Gm 5.00 Vegas Total 127 Fast Break Pts/Gm 6.67
Vegas Sprd -3 Paint Pts/Gm 19.70 Vegas Sprd -3 Paint Pts/Gm 36.22
Team Proj. 65 Opponent TOs/GM 14.67 Team Proj. 65 Opponent TOs/GM 13.60
Ast/TO Ratio 79% Field Goal % 41.40% Ast/TO Ratio 80% Field Goal % 49.70%

Tulsa

Shaq Harrison – Tulane is a solid team this year with an average defense, but they really struggle to contain long athletic guards off the bounce. Harrison has been great this season and takes almost all of his shots at the rim, where Tulane is the weakest. Despite a low-tempo game, I really love the potential here, as Harrison does a bit of everything and has 45-point upside.

Tulane

Louis Dabney – Down $100 after his struggles in the last game, Dabney continues to make for a solid play on FanDuel. The go-to option on any team would be a steal at $5,600, not even taking into account Dabney, who is shooting over 40% from three this year. He also gets to the line at one of the best rates in the country and shoots free throws at 80%. He does not rebound or assist well, but he falls into a few each game and should continue to produce 20-point scoring performances if he remains on the court.

Continue Reading: FanDuel CBB Grind Down & DraftKings CBB Grind Down

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About the Author

Varncass
Jon Schiller (Varncass)

Jon Schiller (aka Varncass) has been providing college sports content for the fantasy industry since 2012 and the sports betting industry since 2022. He’s an analytics junkie who uses any and all predictive stats and game theory to discover edges for the RotoGrinders and ScoresAndOdds community. Follow Jon on Twitter – @Bronzesword