CBB Grind Down: Wednesday, December 3rd
Glean insight from one of the game’s best, Varncass, as he lists picks he’ll actually be targeting in his tournament games below, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.
Wednesday, December 3rd
What a dominating performance from the Big 10 yesterday. I do not see the ACC coming back, but since this is college hoops, you never know. We have a great slate of games today on FanDuel, so let’s break it down.
Michigan State at Notre Dame
| Michigan State | Notre Dame | |||||||
| Vegas Total | 133 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 11.03 | Vegas Total | 133 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 4.09 | |
| Vegas Sprd | 2.5 | Paint Pts/Gm | 26.00 | Vegas Sprd | -2.5 | Paint Pts/Gm | 30.75 | |
| Team Proj. | 65.25 | Pts Off TOs/GM | 12.47 | Team Proj. | 67.75 | Pts Off TOs/GM | 11.75 | |
| Ast/TO Ratio | 145% | Field Goal % | 47.40% | Ast/TO Ratio | 146% | Field Goal % | 45.50% | |
Michigan State
Primary Plays
Branden Dawson – There is a bit of a disclaimer on this pick as Dawson has been dealing with some sort of illness for the last week and a half. Izzo has only been playing him half of his minutes, so his price has gone down but if you can predict when he will come back full strength you will have a huge advantage because he is a 20 and 10 guy when healthy. Notre Dame’s weakness is their interior defense and Dawson should be able to exploit that tonight as long as he is healthy.
Secondary Plays
None – I love Valentine and Trice, but I think they are a little overpriced here. Notre Dame has solid defensive guards and while the upside for Trice and Valentine is right around 30, they both will need around 30 to make value. There are better plays out there.
Notre Dame
Primary Plays
Demetrius Jackson – Jackson has been great so far this year and seems to finally be living up to his potential. He is playing 30 minutes per game and getting a good look at the ball in this offense. He is only 5,700 and is my preferred play for the value over Grant today.
Secondary Plays
Jerian Grant – Grant could be the most reliable player on the slate today, but for good reason he is the 3rd most expensive. He has not actually played a tough defensive team like Michigan State yet so his 8,500 salary is going to be tough to bring almost 40 points tonight. He will get you 25-30, but do not expect value.
Pat Connaughton – Connaughton needs almost 30 to make value today. He is playing MSU, so that probably will not happen although he has not been rebounding as well as he usually does. I still do not mind using him today as he should have a reasonable floor of 20 points despite the difficult matchup.
Continue Reading: FanDuel CBB Grind Down & DraftKings CBB Grind Down
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