CBB Grind Down: Wednesday, March 11th
Glean insight from one of the game’s best, Varncass, as he lists picks he’ll actually be targeting in his DFS games, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.
Wednesday, March 11
Welcome to Championship Week, where there is not a lot of sleep and a lot of contests posted the morning of or the night after. I will try to get content up for you guys as quick as I can, but it may depend on when the slates get posted, and some of the content may be a little smaller due to time constraints. Either way, during this great exciting week we will have stuff up for you.
Florida State at Clemson
| Florida State | Clemson | |||||||
| Vegas Total | 121 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 3.78 | Vegas Total | 121 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 4.89 | |
| Vegas Sprd | 1 | Paint Pts/Gm | 27.33 | Vegas Sprd | -1 | Paint Pts/Gm | 31.11 | |
| Team Proj. | 60 | Opponent TOs/GM | 12.89 | Team Proj. | 61 | Opponent TOs/GM | 13.22 | |
| Ast/TO Ratio | 84% | Field Goal % | 47.20% | Ast/TO Ratio | 85% | Field Goal % | 44.70% | |
Florida State
None – Not a lot of good options I am seeing on Florida State today. They have been playing extremely slow lately and the big three, who are the only three that play more than 30 minutes each game, have all struggled to make value lately. Taking that into account, and the fact that they are playing one of the slowest teams in the nation in Clemson, who has a great defense this year, I think I can find much better options in the other two games which are going on later in the afternoon.
Clemson
Jaron Blossomgame ($7,800) – Blossomgame is basically the only guy I would consider on this Clemson team outside of Nnoko. While Nnoko has block upside and has been playing really well lately, I do not like his matchup with the Florida State interior and think it is risky to spend $5,600 on him today. That being said, I do not think it is a horrible move considering the four-game slate and the value situation. Blossomgame has been back to his old self, bringing down 10 rebounds per game and getting around 15 points per game in the last couple. Florida State, while they do have some large guys in the middle, should have trouble matching up with Blossomgame in this one.
Washington State at California
| Washington State | California | |||||||
| Vegas Total | 147 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 6.90 | Vegas Total | 147 | Fast Break Pts/Gm | 7.20 | |
| Vegas Sprd | 3 | Paint Pts/Gm | 26.20 | Vegas Sprd | -3 | Paint Pts/Gm | 29.20 | |
| Team Proj. | 72 | Opponent TOs/GM | 10.60 | Team Proj. | 75 | Opponent TOs/GM | 13.30 | |
| Ast/TO Ratio | 110% | Field Goal % | 41.90% | Ast/TO Ratio | 144% | Field Goal % | 45.90% | |
Washington State
Ike Iroegbu ($5,600) – Coming off a 40 point fantasy performance against Colorado, Iroegbu is playing his best basketball of the season lately. While I would not expect the same performance, a mid 20s fantasy total is certainly likely. He rebounds decently and assists a lot, so the only question is if he can find the scoring column. Cal is not very good at stopping guys off the dribble and Washington State should be able to put up some points here. I am not a fan of chasing, but I think his salary is pretty low here, as FanDuel is always slow to update salaries.
Jordan Railey ($4,600) – Railey has taken double-digit shots in the last two games, and while he has not put up massive fantasy totals, he should be rebounding better than he is and appears to have solidified a role in the frontcourt if he can stay out of foul trouble (which he has not been good at with a 5.5 FC/40). He is a risky play, but you will need some value today to roster the studs.
California
Tyrone Wallace ($8,800) – Can we get a price drop on Wallace any time soon? He has been terrible in Pac-12 play but appears to have picked up the steam in the last game with a 23-6-6 game. He is going to need to come close to that, but Washington State cannot guard anyone off the bounce and well, cannot guard anyone anywhere. These teams played earlier in the year with Wallace going for 26-7, and he could have similar production today against the up-tempo Cougars.
Jabari Bird ($6,500) – Kravish worries me because of his foul rate and because he has struggled to hit value at that number lately, however Washington State is a great matchup for anyone. Instead I will go with Bird, who has been better in the last two weeks and is not a risk of leaving the court because of foul trouble. Using both him and Wallace may worry some, but these two are the guys with the most upside and the best price points on Cal.
Continue Reading: FanDuel CBB Grind Down & DraftKings CBB Grind Down
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