Charles Schwab Challenge: DraftKings + FanDuel PGA DFS Projections
The PGA Tour is back in action this week at Colonial Country Club. We have massive DFS contests around the industry and here at RotoGrinders, we are committed to bringing you everything you could possibly need to build quality lineups. Whether you play cash games, single-entry tournaments, or multi-entry tournaments, we have you covered.
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This article will include a snippet of our DraftKings projections for Charles Schwab Challenge, but premium subscribers will get full access. The projections are readily available in LineupHQ, which makes building lineups incredibly easy. Additionally, premium members get access to the following content:
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Event Preview
It’s a strange week for PGA DFS for a number of reasons. We haven’t had an event in nearly three months, we don’t know what these golfers have been up to during the break, we won’t have any fans in attendance or any grandstands on the course, and this is the most talented field the Charles Schwab Challenge has ever seen. As far as the course goes, this is more of a plodder’s track than a bomber’s paradise. The fairways are hard to hit, so many choose to hit less than driver off the tee. There is trouble if you stray too far offline, but playing from the rough isn’t overly penal. The greens are made of bentgrass and are also tough to hit compared to the PGA Tour average. It’s important not to lose strokes on and around the greens. Jordan Spieth, Kevin Kisner, Matt Kuchar, and Kevin Na all play well here year after year, so this clearly isn’t a course that you need to overpower.
DraftKings + FanDuel PGA DFS Projections for the Charles Schwab Challenge
Webb Simpson
DK: $9,800 — 64.7 Proj
FD: $11,400 — 63.1 Proj
It feels weird paying more for Simpson than the likes of Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, and Xander Schauffele, but he’s a much better fit for the course. While he’s not long off the tee, he hits plenty of fairways and rarely puts himself in a bad position. From there, he’s as good as nearly anyone on approach, around the greens, and on the greens. In this field, he’s ranked sixth in strokes gained approach and fourth in strokes gained putting over the last 50 rounds. We should also talk about his high floor, as he’s played 18 events over the last 14 months. During that stretch, he has one finish outside of the top 30 to go along with a win and four second place finishes.
Matt Kuchar
DK: $8,500 — 57.4 Proj
FD: $10,800 — 56.0 Proj
Kuchar is a short-track specialist. He’s going to struggle on long courses where he has to compete with the likes of Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau averaging 320 yards off the tee. Throughout his career, he has routinely contended at these plodder courses where it’s more about precision than distance. It seemed like he was in bad form before the break, but he finished second at the Genesis Open and had top 25 finishes at the WGC-Mexico and the Waste Management Open. He should fly under the radar given his hefty price point, but our projections view him as a nice value this week. He’s made 10-of-11 cuts at this event in his career with three top 10 finishes.
Daniel Berger
DK: $7,700 — 57.3 Proj
FD: $9,700 — 55.8 Proj
It’s crazy seeing the different career paths of Berger, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, and Tony Finau. At one point, they were all considered fairly close when they first made it on tour. Shortly after that, Spieth was in the conversation as being one of the best golfers of all time. Shortly after that, Thomas was winning on a regular basis and Spieth was an afterthought. As it stands now, I’d rank them in the following order — Thomas, Finau, Berger, and then Spieth. A wrist injury derailed Berger for a couple of years, but he seems ready for another solid stretch of golf. He had three top 10s in a row (and a nice start at THE PLAYERS Championship) before the break. He’s gaining strokes in all facets of his game and has a nice mix of a high floor and a high ceiling for DFS purposes.
Bud Cauley
DK: $6,800 — 52.4 Proj
FD: $8,100 — 46.3 Proj
Cauley is one of my favorite value plays this week and our projections model agrees. He grades out as one of the best point-per-dollar options on both FanDuel and DraftKings. If you are looking to force some star-power into your lineups, Cauley is an easy way to make that happen. He’s dealt with a number of injuries in his career, but has enjoyed a nice season up to this point. He’s made six-of-eight cuts with two top 10 finishes since October. His biggest weakness is his driver, which should be alleviated here at Colonial. He’s solid with his irons and sneakily one of the best in the field around the greens. I’m not expecting him to contend, but all we are really looking for in this range is a cut maker that has top 25 type of upside.
More DFS Analysis for the Charles Schwab Challenge
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