CheeseIsGood's Million Dollar Musings - MLB DFS Strategy: Monday, October 3rd

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Happy Monday! We are down to the final three days of the regular season, where Tom Foolery and Shenanigans will certainly ensue. There are just a small handful of relevant games in the final days, with most teams either resting and prepping for the playoffs or planning their off-season vacation plans. It is officially time to be cautious with pitch counts on any pitchers on teams that have already clinched, but we’re still not likely to get any actual useful information ahead of time.

Monday Night Pitching

Brandon Woodruff vs Diamondbacks
Aaron Nola at Astros
Joe Musgrove vs Giants
George Kirby vs Tigers
Luis Severino at Rangers
Carlos Carrasco vs Nationals
Lance McCullers vs Phillies

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Brandon Woodruff and Aaron Nola are the two aces in must-win games and they also have the two highest strikeout rates on this slate. Neither matchup is ideal, but they are both elite enough to shut down any opponent. Adding in the recent trends, it’s quite clear that Woodruff has earned the SP1 title for tonight. He has the preferred matchup to begin with, and has double-digit strikeouts in four straight starts, while not walking more than two batters in a game in any of his last 10 outings. Nola is great, but in Houston, he’s just an MME leftover compared to Woodruff tonight.

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About the Author

CheeseIsGood
Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a 2x winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize in DFS; having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball Live Final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Milly Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune, and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his MLB Crunch Time appearances. Follow Dave on Twitter – @DavePotts2