CheeseIsGood's Million Dollar Musings: Friday, June 18th

Happy Friday! We’ve got a good old fashioned barn burner tonight! It’s a full 15-game slate with aces, strong mid-tier pitching and all kinds of upside offense to spend on. I have ended up with a pretty tight pitcher core and a bigger group of offenses to build around. But even there, I’m still not going to attempt to talk about every viable option, because that’s pretty much every baseball player in the league tonight. What I see as the most important aspect to this slate is to figure out what your primary player pool is before you start building lineups. This is not the slate where I recommend just plugging in the first five players you see and then clicking whatever fits around them. Even if your lists are completely different than mine, get yourself a targeted list to start from. Otherwise, this slate ends up with a headless chicken type of feel. Barn burners and headless chickens? Let’s get into it!

Friday Night Pitching

This is a slate with a deep pool of pitching options, but mostly all in the mid-tier and above. I don’t see any cheap options that I have much interest in at all, but that is going to be aided by the fact that the second tier is potentially even better than the top tier based on some of these salaries and matchups.

Four Aces With Questions

Similar to what we saw last night, the best pitcher on the slate is in Coors Field. Again, this does not remove him from consideration by any means, but it makes it a more interesting decision. This is what the rest of the aces look like, along with Corbin Burnes:

Corbin Burnes at Rockies – 41.5% K, 4.1% BB, 2.27 ERA, 1.96 SIERA
Trevor Bauer at Diamondbacks – 31.6% K, 8.3% BB, 2.64 ERA, 3.38 SIERA
Carlos Rodon at Astros – 37.2% K, 6.5% BB, 1.89 ERA, 2.61 SIERA
Robbie Ray at Orioles – 32.1% K, 6.3% BB, 3.45 ERA, 3.05 SIERA

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About the Author

  • Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

  • One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts, aka CheeseIsGood, has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a two-time winner of a million dollar first place prize in DFS; having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball live final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Millionare Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments recently earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his GrindersLive appearances. Follow Dave on Twitter – @DavePotts2.

Comments

  • btwice80

    You’ve talked about projections being nonsense and I tend to agree with your perspective on that. You also mention basing your exposure on ownership projections quite a lot. To me, those ownership projections are even less reliable than a good statistical proj system. So many times they’re way off.

  • CheeseIsGood

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    @btwice80 said...

    You’ve talked about projections being nonsense and I tend to agree with your perspective on that. You also mention basing your exposure on ownership projections quite a lot. To me, those ownership projections are even less reliable than a good statistical proj system. So many times they’re way off.

    By the end of the day, I come to my own conclusions on where I think ownership will land. I am not trying to be exact there at all, but I think our last run of ownership projections usually get the right order on chalk to work from. But in general I am with you on that line of thought, and when I say I’m possibly changing my plans on ownership it’s with guys that I’m very close on, like the Berrios vs Kikuchi today. I’m not going off my board to adjust to projected ownership.

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