CheeseIsGood's Million Dollar Musings - MLB DFS Strategy: Monday, August 8th
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Happy Monday!
We’ve got a balanced 7-game slate with mostly good pitchers, but not great pitchers on the mound. The big decision point comes right away with what should be a chalky Blake Snell. Always exciting! We do end up with a couple of teams who stand out a bit, but then it’s mostly jumbled with the bats. Let’s jump on in and see what happens.
Monday Night Pitching
Three Up Top
Blake Snell vs Giants
Chris Bassitt vs Reds
Zac Gallen vs Pirates
Leftovers, Pivots, Salaries
Logan Gilbert vs Yankees
Jameson Taillon at Mariners
Yusei Kikuchi at Orioles
Alex Wood at Padres
Jose Suarez at A’s
Cole Irvin vs Angels
Keegan Thompson vs Nationals
To Snell Or Not To Snell?
Blake Snell vs Giants – 30.2% K, 11.8% BB, 4.16 ERA, 3.66 SIERA
Chris Bassitt vs Reds – 24.3% K, 6.6% BB, 3.61 ERA, 3.56 SIERA
Zac Gallen vs Pirates – 23.3% K, 7% BB, 3.31 ERA, 3.74 SIERA
There are so many problems here! Right out of the gate, we run into the big question – can we trust Blake Snell? He is so far ahead of the pack in strikeout rate that it leaves no question at all about who carries the highest upside on this slate. It’s Blake Snell. It also takes no digging at all to find the problem with Blake Snell chalk. He has wonky control and no consistency. Snell has just two starts in 13 tries where he hasn’t walked multiple batters, and because he wants to mess with our heads, those are his last two starts. He has allowed just one earned run or less in five of his last six starts, with the dud coming at Coors Field. So, does this make him trustable? Goodness gracious, no. Does it make him the highest projected pitcher, the highest owned pitcher and the highest upside pitcher? Yes. Again I say, there are so many problems here!