CheeseIsGood's Million Dollar Musings - MLB DFS Strategy: Sunday, August 7th

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Happy Sunday! Your usual Sunday host is living the life, going to watch his Cardinals sweep the Yankees, while simultaneously viewing a 3-HR game from Matt Carpenter. So, you’re stuck with me today for this 8-game DK and 9-game slate with a 1:35pm ET start. With the early start, let’s skip the shenanigans and jump right in.

Sunday Pitching

Trio Of Aces
Corbin Burnes vs Reds
Aaron Nola vs Nationals
Kevin Gausman at Twins

aaron-nola-800x480

These three aces are very clearly at the top of the heap today, and it’s very easy to fit at least one of them in DK lineups and not too difficult to double up. On FD, they are all at $10,500 or above, but as usual, it’s not difficult to find bats under $3K to make that work.
The consistency award goes to Aaron Nola, the upside award goes to Corbin Burnes and the Comeback Ace Of The Month award goes to Kevin Gausman.

For the season, Burnes’ 32.3% K rate is well ahead of the other two, who are both around the 28% mark. All three have strong control, with Nola in a class of his own with the lowest walk rate of any starter in the league. The matchups play even more into the Nola Safety vs Burnes upside narrative. The Nationals are a weaker team after the trade deadline, but still not a huge strikeout lineup. But there is so little power here, that combined with the elite control and the consistent innings of Nola, he is the ‘safe’ SP1. Meanwhile, the Reds are loaded with strikeouts and low walks that should play well for Burnes. He recent inconsistency has come mostly from the control, and he still has double-digit strikeouts in three of his last five starts. For me, I land on Burnes as the preferred SP1 if the small salary difference is no issue. I’ll be very close to a 50/50 split on these two aces, and anywhere it’s possible, I will pair them together on DK.

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About the Author

CheeseIsGood
Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a 2x winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize in DFS, having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball Live Final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Milly Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune, and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his MLB Crunch Time appearances. Follow Dave on X – @DavePotts2