CheeseIsGood's Million Dollar Musings - MLB DFS Strategy: Sunday, August 7th
This DFS content is a part of our Premium Content Schedule and designed to help you build better lineups on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo!, SuperDraft, and other daily fantasy contest providers. Access MLB Projections, Expert Rankings, Projected Ownership, MLB DFS Picks, and other Data Tools using this content hub. For our world-class optimizer that offers a suite of tools and information designed to help you crush the competition, please head to LineupHQ!
Happy Sunday! Your usual Sunday host is living the life, going to watch his Cardinals sweep the Yankees, while simultaneously viewing a 3-HR game from Matt Carpenter. So, you’re stuck with me today for this 8-game DK and 9-game slate with a 1:35pm ET start. With the early start, let’s skip the shenanigans and jump right in.
Sunday Pitching
Trio Of Aces
Corbin Burnes vs Reds
Aaron Nola vs Nationals
Kevin Gausman at Twins
These three aces are very clearly at the top of the heap today, and it’s very easy to fit at least one of them in DK lineups and not too difficult to double up. On FD, they are all at $10,500 or above, but as usual, it’s not difficult to find bats under $3K to make that work.
The consistency award goes to Aaron Nola, the upside award goes to Corbin Burnes and the Comeback Ace Of The Month award goes to Kevin Gausman.
For the season, Burnes’ 32.3% K rate is well ahead of the other two, who are both around the 28% mark. All three have strong control, with Nola in a class of his own with the lowest walk rate of any starter in the league. The matchups play even more into the Nola Safety vs Burnes upside narrative. The Nationals are a weaker team after the trade deadline, but still not a huge strikeout lineup. But there is so little power here, that combined with the elite control and the consistent innings of Nola, he is the ‘safe’ SP1. Meanwhile, the Reds are loaded with strikeouts and low walks that should play well for Burnes. He recent inconsistency has come mostly from the control, and he still has double-digit strikeouts in three of his last five starts. For me, I land on Burnes as the preferred SP1 if the small salary difference is no issue. I’ll be very close to a 50/50 split on these two aces, and anywhere it’s possible, I will pair them together on DK.