CheeseIsGood's Million Dollar Musings - MLB DFS Strategy: Wednesday, June 29th
This DFS content is a part of our Premium Content Schedule and designed to help you build better lineups on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo!, SuperDraft, and other daily fantasy contest providers. Access MLB Projections, Expert Rankings, Projected Ownership, MLB DFS Picks, and other Data Tools using this content hub. For our world-class optimizer that offers a suite of tools and information designed to help you crush the competition, please head to LineupHQ!
Happy Wednesday! We’ve got baseball all over the place today with about 37 different slates throughout the day. My focus will be on the 7-game main slate starting at the usual 7:05pm ET time slot. But with all these day games, let’s start with a quick glance at the 12:10pm ET ‘Very Early Only’ 5-game FD and the 4-game DK slate at 1:05.
Very Early is when Milton the dog needed to go outside today, so I’m starting out a little groggy. Milton the dog also does not always feel able to make his way back up the stairs, especially if the stairs are wet, so the good news is that I’ve already been outside today. Look at me getting out the house already today!
Early Slate Pitching
I see three buckets of early slate pitchers. Basically, two good options, a mostly unnecessary mid-tier, and then cheap nonsense with good matchups:
Justin Verlander at Mets
Jameson Taillon vs A’s
Eric Lauer at Rays (FD)
Taijuan Walker vs Astros
Dane Dunning at Royals
Mitch Keller at Nationals
Zack Greinke vs Rangers
Paolo Espino vs Pirates
The early slates today have a clear top two on both sites with Verlander and Taillon, then a mid-range that ends up being not any more exciting than the cheap nonsense due to the matchups.
Justin Verlander is a better pitcher than Jameson Taillon, but it’s close-ish, with both guys being more about control than strikeouts. Verlander’s 24.3% K rate leaves him needing the seven inning starts to be worth his salary. The good news is that he more often than not gets those seven innings, and there are still occasional spikes in strikeouts. Taillon needs the innings even more than Verlander, but he rarely gets them, usually being held around 90 pitches.