CheeseIsGood's Million Dollar Musings: Tuesday, September 28th
Happy Tuesday! Our final Tuesday slate of this MLB season brings us a big 13-game slate with a little bit of everything. We’ve got some aces, some high total offense and some important real-life games with playoff implications. Let’s jump right into it and see what we find.
Tuesday Night Pitching
We’ve got a big top tier of aces to choose from followed by a lack of viable cheap options. On DK, my initial thought is that this is a double-aces slate, but let’s dig in and see what happens.
A Bucket Of Aces
Brandon Woodruff at Cardinals
Zack Wheeler at Braves
Chris Sale at Orioles
Walker Buehler vs Padres
Logan Webb vs Diamondbacks
Yu Darvish at Dodgers
Charlie Morton vs Phillies
Adam Wainwright vs Brewers
A Bucket To Pass On
Jose Urquidy vs Rays
Hyun-Jin Ryu vs Yankees
Aaron Civale at Royals
Chris Bassitt at Mariners
A Little Cheaper
Brady Singer vs Indians
AJ Alexy vs Angels
Reynaldo Lopez vs Reds
Sorting The Aces
Brandon Woodruff at Cardinals
Zack Wheeler at Braves
Chris Sale at Orioles
Walker Buehler vs Padres
Logan Webb vs Diamondbacks
Yu Darvish at Dodgers
Charlie Morton vs Phillies
Adam Wainwright vs Brewers
Salary will end up mattering a little bit here, but on DK, we’ve got just a $1,600 gap from the top to the bottom of this group and a slightly bigger $2,100 gap on FD.
Using full season numbers, Brandon Woodruff is the only pitcher here with a 30% strikeout rate, though Yu Darvish and Zack Wheeler are both at 29.2% and Charlie Morton at 28.2%. Sale, Webb and Buehler sit in the 25-26% range while Wainwright falls way back to 21.2%. Every single one of these aces has good control, with Morton at 7.8% walks and everyone else down around the 6% range. The first seven of them have a SIERA below 3.80 and swinging strikes above 11%, with Wainwright falling back to a 4.12 SIERA and lower swinging strikes to go with his lower strikeouts. The point here is that skill set is not an issue for any of these pitchers, but Wainwright really doesn’t quite fit.