CheeseIsGood's Million Dollar Musings: Tuesday, September 28th

Happy Tuesday! Our final Tuesday slate of this MLB season brings us a big 13-game slate with a little bit of everything. We’ve got some aces, some high total offense and some important real-life games with playoff implications. Let’s jump right into it and see what we find.

Tuesday Night Pitching

We’ve got a big top tier of aces to choose from followed by a lack of viable cheap options. On DK, my initial thought is that this is a double-aces slate, but let’s dig in and see what happens.

A Bucket Of Aces

Brandon Woodruff at Cardinals
Zack Wheeler at Braves
Chris Sale at Orioles
Walker Buehler vs Padres
Logan Webb vs Diamondbacks
Yu Darvish at Dodgers
Charlie Morton vs Phillies
Adam Wainwright vs Brewers

A Bucket To Pass On

Jose Urquidy vs Rays
Hyun-Jin Ryu vs Yankees
Aaron Civale at Royals
Chris Bassitt at Mariners

A Little Cheaper

Brady Singer vs Indians
AJ Alexy vs Angels
Reynaldo Lopez vs Reds

Sorting The Aces

Brandon Woodruff at Cardinals
Zack Wheeler at Braves
Chris Sale at Orioles
Walker Buehler vs Padres
Logan Webb vs Diamondbacks
Yu Darvish at Dodgers
Charlie Morton vs Phillies
Adam Wainwright vs Brewers

Salary will end up mattering a little bit here, but on DK, we’ve got just a $1,600 gap from the top to the bottom of this group and a slightly bigger $2,100 gap on FD.
Using full season numbers, Brandon Woodruff is the only pitcher here with a 30% strikeout rate, though Yu Darvish and Zack Wheeler are both at 29.2% and Charlie Morton at 28.2%. Sale, Webb and Buehler sit in the 25-26% range while Wainwright falls way back to 21.2%. Every single one of these aces has good control, with Morton at 7.8% walks and everyone else down around the 6% range. The first seven of them have a SIERA below 3.80 and swinging strikes above 11%, with Wainwright falling back to a 4.12 SIERA and lower swinging strikes to go with his lower strikeouts. The point here is that skill set is not an issue for any of these pitchers, but Wainwright really doesn’t quite fit.

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About the Author

  • Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

  • One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts, aka CheeseIsGood, has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a two-time winner of a million dollar first place prize in DFS; having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball live final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Millionare Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments recently earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his GrindersLive appearances. Follow Dave on Twitter – @DavePotts2.

Comments

  • tmarohl

    Dave – I wouldn’t trust any Brewer pitcher for the remainder of the regular season. I think you see guys like Woodruff and Burnes pitch 3 or perhaps 4 innings in their starts. They have nothing to play for other than to stay healthy and sharp. I think you will see those guys on strict 50-60 pitch counts and let the guys like Gustave, Norris, Anderson who are not in the post season plans piggy back on those starters.

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    @tmarohl said...

    Dave – I wouldn’t trust any Brewer pitcher for the remainder of the regular season. I think you see guys like Woodruff and Burnes pitch 3 or perhaps 4 innings in their starts. They have nothing to play for other than to stay healthy and sharp. I think you will see those guys on strict 50-60 pitch counts and let the guys like Gustave, Norris, Anderson who are not in the post season plans piggy back on those starters.

    Have you read that from a source? It is quite possible, but it’s also more than a full week before Woodruffs first playoff start, so I don’t have any idea if he is going to be limited here or not. But if you’ve seen something, please let me know. Thanks!

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  • tmarohl

    @CheeseIsGood said...

    Have you read that from a source? It is quite possible, but it’s also more than a full week before Woodruffs first playoff start, so I don’t have any idea if he is going to be limited here or not. But if you’ve seen something, please let me know. Thanks!

    No, not from a source. Just my opinion as a die hard Brewer fan. Brewers have been very careful with pitchers all year. I just think you will see a bunch of four inning starts from the Brewers main guys.

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    @tmarohl said...

    No, not from a source. Just my opinion as a die hard Brewer fan. Brewers have been very careful with pitchers all year. I just think you will see a bunch of four inning starts from the Brewers main guys.

    gotcha. wouldn’t surprise me at all either. last week of mlb is so tough unless the teams tell us something ahead of time. thanks for the input.

  • tmarohl

    CC just said in the pregame show that position players are going to play, they are going to get some days off. With pitching we want to maintain flexibility. We are not going to push guys. We want to go out and win baseball games.

  • tmarohl

    @dean78904 said...

    Four innings – 63 pitches – I was pretty close.

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