College Football DFS Late Slate Breakdown: Week 6
A top-ranked college football DFS player going back to the Daily Joust and DraftStreet days, Andy Smith (a25smith) is here to walk you through the late Draftkings slate with a game-by-game preview.
It’s a big week in college football, as we are getting several really fun games. I’ll be in discord prior to lineup lock on the slate, hopefully celebrating an A&M win over Nick Saban and Alabama and also monitoring for any late-breaking news. In terms of the late slate itself, it’s a solid slate that features a few decent games. The Arkansas / Ole Miss game will be chalky, but it should be fun, and we’ll find a few GPP pivots as we dig into the slate.
College Football DFS: Top DraftKings Picks for the Week 6 Late Slate
Kentucky at Georgia (+14.5, 47.5)
This slate features several teams that I don’t like to see on DFS slates in Georgia, Notre Dame, and Michigan, so right off the bat this isn’t a game I’ll be investing much in. For several years now, Georgia has just been a team to avoid, as they have been lights out defensively. I will say it appears that they may have dropped off some, as a bad Auburn offense ran the ball down their throats last week for 219 rushing yards. The question is whether that was Georgia sleepwalking and they wake up in a tougher matchup, or whether there are some weaknesses to attack. That leads us to Kentucky RB, Ray Davis who broke the slate last week at 1% ownership, as he piled up almost 300 rushing yards to go with 4 total TDs. I can’t bring myself to get a ton of exposure to a RB against a UGA defense quite yet, but I can see the GPP merits with Davis at low ownership based on the outcomes last week.
Kentucky has a solid group of WRs with Brown (37 targets), Key (28 targets) and Robinson (23 targets), but it can be tough to nail down which one to target. Given the tougher matchup, this isn’t a spot where I’m looking to mess around trying to guess which WR to target, as UGA should limit the upside here.
On the Georgia side, they’ve typically been an offense to avoid, as they spread the ball around so much, and Kentucky is also a solid defense. This year is somewhat different, as they’ve struggled more than in years’ past, so they’ve leaned more on a few players (in particular, Brock Bowers). In the two SEC games so far, Bowers has played all but one snap, and has 22 total targets in those two games. Kentucky will probably try to scheme up some bracket coverage, but I have to be interested with that type of usage combined with the talent of Bowers. I’ll pass on Beck at QB as well as the other UGA WRs, as McConkey seems to be getting healthier, so he’ll come into the #2 role. I don’t like the price tag on McConkey at DK to mess around there.
RB is a little interesting, as Daijun Edwards is getting great volume for a UGA back, with 19 and 20 touches in the two SEC contests. However, Kendall Milton is rumored to get back into the mix, and it’s always tough to trust the volume with a Georgia back. If we get word that Milton is still pretty limited, then I’ll be more interested, but otherwise Edwards would be in the large-field, GPP-only bucket at RB for me.
Notre Dame at Louisville (+6.5, 53.5)
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