Daily Batter Breakdown: Monday, April 13th
Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Each day, when there are at least eight games on the night slate, I’ll break down some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup.
The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him.
| Stephen Vogt | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.291 | 0.770 | 3.48% | 0.337 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.111 | 0.222 | 0.00% | 0.099 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Feldman – RIGHT | 0.267 | 0.715 | 1.56% | 0.314 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.012 | 0.000 | $2,600 | $7,150 | $3,700 | $53,500 | ||
Stephen Vogt
There is not a lot of girth on the catcher options for tonight’s games. Mesoraco looks like an interesting proposition but Lester is solid. Montero could be a decent option as well if he plays, but I like Vogt against Feldman in a hitter’s park. Feldman seems to have revitalized his career in Houston, but he still has an xFIP way north of four for his career against lefties and Vogt hit right handed pitching well last year. He will be hitting down in the order, but has hit really well this year and is cheap on every site.
| C.J. Cron | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.258 | 0.751 | 4.30% | 0.329 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.077 | 0.22 | 0.00% | 0.113 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Detwiler – LEFT | 0.304 | 0.848 | 0.00% | 0.368 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.052 | 0.000 | $2,400 | $7,650 | $4,300 | $44,600 | ||
C.J. Cron
I am not that down on Detwiler as a starter, but I will be targeting him with a lot of hitters today. The Angels are hitting in Arlington, which is notorious for being a hitter’s park, and Detwiler was awful in his first game as a starter for the Rangers, giving up eight runs in four innings. Cron is very cheap, partly because he has been terrible to start the season. I do not think a lot of people will be on him because of this cold streak, but he gets a very solid chance to turn it around today against a struggling Detwiler. Watch out for the rain in this game however, as there are thunderstorms expected and we could be seeing some major delays or a postponement.
| Dee Gordon | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.287 | 0.699 | 0.42% | 0.310 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.214 | 0.557 | 0.00% | 0.23 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Miller – RIGHT | 0.235 | 0.709 | 3.22% | 0.314 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 0.940 | 0.000 | $3,800 | $8,350 | $4,500 | $61,000 | ||
Dee Gordon
Gordon is affordable as well and will always give you a threat of a steal if he gets on base. Gordon does not hit lefties well, but thankfully is against a righty Miller here at home, and we all know it is easier to steal bags off of right handed pitching. Gordon will not break the bank and brings you double digit point opportunities with the stolen bags. His price has dropped on DK, but he will still lead off.
| David Freese | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.320 | 0.876 | 2.00% | 0.382 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.250 | 0.641 | 0.00% | 0.289 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Detwiler – LEFT | 0.304 | 0.848 | 0.00% | 0.368 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.052 | 0.000 | $3,000 | $7,600 | $4,200 | $58,700 | ||
David Freese
Once again we will have to contend with the rain, but the Angels make one of the best stacks of the day against Detwiler. Freese has been very good and underrated to start the season and currently is at a discount considering the lineup position, the over/under in this game and the pitcher that he is hitting against today. There is upside here today and I think he is one of the best 3B on the board (if the game plays obviously), as Freese has a career .863 OPS and a .375 wOBA against lefties.
| Jose Reyes | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.289 | 0.732 | 1.81% | 0.324 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.240 | 0.551 | 0.00% | 0.236 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Odorizzi – RIGHT | 0.226 | 0.663 | 2.86% | 0.294 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.042 | 0.000 | $3,800 | $9,900 | $4,700 | $73,400 | ||
Jose Reyes
We have the Rogers Centre definitely in play here with Reyes today. Odorizzi seems to either be great or awful, making Reyes a very solid play in the most homer prone stadium. Reyes has been good lately and continues to be an amazing cash game play with a great OBP, ability to steal bags (especially against right handers like Odorizzi) and the occasional power. That is not to mention the fact that Toronto has a huge over/under here and Reyes will be hitting at first, with Encarnacion and Bautista behind him.
| Eric Young Jr. | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | |||||||
| Last 7 Days Splits | |||||||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Harang – RIGHT | |||||||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 0.847 | 0.000 | $5,000 | $3,400 | ||||
Eric Young Jr.
The Braves have been an interesting team in the early part of the season. I like Young here as a switch hitter with stolen base power against Latos, as Latos was absolutely terrible against this Braves team in the last game these guys played in Miami. Young will lead off if he is in the lineup, and is basically minimum salary on every site with major upside.
| Mike Trout | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.275 | 0.910 | 6.04% | 0.398 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.167 | 0.533 | 5.56% | 0.23 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Detwiler – LEFT | 0.304 | 0.848 | 0.00% | 0.368 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.052 | 0.000 | $5,000 | $12,200 | $6,600 | $88,700 | ||
Mike Trout
Trout is arguably the top play on the board today if the rain holds out in Texas. He’ll bat inside a hitter’s park, has a super high wOBA against lefties, is a threat to steal bags and is facing a pitcher who struggled in the last outing. Trout is very expensive on DraftKings, but if you can find the right pitching combo, he has the highest upside on the board.
| Dexter Fowler | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.260 | 0.737 | 1.83% | 0.333 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.385 | 0.885 | 0.00% | 0.41 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Leake – RIGHT | 0.288 | 0.801 | 2.74% | 0.352 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 0.931 | 0.000 | $3,400 | $9,300 | $4,500 | $56,200 | ||
Dexter Fowler
Fowler’s price has risen, but he is still hitting first in this Cubs lineup. I am really thinking that Fowler has a breakout season, and his last couple have games have really bolstered that thought. Right now there is a chance the wind will be blowing out at Wrigley, as many linemakers in Vegas have not set the line for this game yet. If it is blowing out, we could have a very solid high scoring game. Leake is not a shutdown pitcher and has struggled with command lately, allowing a lot of guys to see base, thus making Fowler one of the better cash game options.
| Kevin Kiermaier | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.280 | 0.837 | 3.50% | 0.362 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.286 | 0.905 | 0.00% | 0.383 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Dickey – RIGHT | 0.220 | 0.665 | 1.65% | 0.300 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.042 | 0.000 | $3,100 | $6,600 | $4,100 | $50,000 | ||
Kevin Kiermaier
Hey, look! The Rays decided to bat Kiermaier first for a couple of games, which seemed to work out well as he’s homered twice this year and continues to rack up the runs and multi-hit games. I am a little worried about R.A. Dickey here, and while I would not stack Rays, I think that Kiermaier and the guy below make decent cheap filler plays. Dickey has the propensity for balls to leave the yard on non-moving knucklers and at Rogers Centre the threat of homers are bigger. In a very short sample of MLB at bats, Kiermaier has a .869 OPS and a .238 ISO with a .375 wOBA.
| David DeJesus | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.251 | 0.756 | 2.60% | 0.337 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.188 | 0.375 | 0.00% | 0.167 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Dickey – RIGHT | 0.220 | 0.665 | 1.65% | 0.300 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.042 | 0.000 | $2,500 | $7,100 | $3,400 | $41,900 | ||
David DeJesus
It is going to be hard for the Rays to sit DeJesus while he continues his hot start to the season. We all know this will not last for the season for the journeyman, but he does have a career .355 wOBA against righties. DeJesus is min priced and has been hitting at the top of the lineup, which are attractive positions for him. He is an okay play in cash games but makes a solid tournament play considering the low ownership and the park and pitcher matchup.