Daily Batter Breakdown: Monday, April 13th

Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Each day, when there are at least eight games on the night slate, I’ll break down some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup.

The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him.

stephen-vogt-100x75 Stephen Vogt
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.291 0.770 3.48% 0.337
Last 7 Days Splits 0.111 0.222 0.00% 0.099
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Feldman – RIGHT 0.267 0.715 1.56% 0.314
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.012 0.000 $2,600 $7,150 $3,700 $53,500

Stephen Vogt

There is not a lot of girth on the catcher options for tonight’s games. Mesoraco looks like an interesting proposition but Lester is solid. Montero could be a decent option as well if he plays, but I like Vogt against Feldman in a hitter’s park. Feldman seems to have revitalized his career in Houston, but he still has an xFIP way north of four for his career against lefties and Vogt hit right handed pitching well last year. He will be hitting down in the order, but has hit really well this year and is cheap on every site.

c.j.-cron-100x75 C.J. Cron
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.258 0.751 4.30% 0.329
Last 7 Days Splits 0.077 0.22 0.00% 0.113
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Detwiler – LEFT 0.304 0.848 0.00% 0.368
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.052 0.000 $2,400 $7,650 $4,300 $44,600

C.J. Cron

I am not that down on Detwiler as a starter, but I will be targeting him with a lot of hitters today. The Angels are hitting in Arlington, which is notorious for being a hitter’s park, and Detwiler was awful in his first game as a starter for the Rangers, giving up eight runs in four innings. Cron is very cheap, partly because he has been terrible to start the season. I do not think a lot of people will be on him because of this cold streak, but he gets a very solid chance to turn it around today against a struggling Detwiler. Watch out for the rain in this game however, as there are thunderstorms expected and we could be seeing some major delays or a postponement.

dee-gordon-100x75 Dee Gordon
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.287 0.699 0.42% 0.310
Last 7 Days Splits 0.214 0.557 0.00% 0.23
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Miller – RIGHT 0.235 0.709 3.22% 0.314
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.940 0.000 $3,800 $8,350 $4,500 $61,000

Dee Gordon

Gordon is affordable as well and will always give you a threat of a steal if he gets on base. Gordon does not hit lefties well, but thankfully is against a righty Miller here at home, and we all know it is easier to steal bags off of right handed pitching. Gordon will not break the bank and brings you double digit point opportunities with the stolen bags. His price has dropped on DK, but he will still lead off.

david-freese-100x75 David Freese
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.320 0.876 2.00% 0.382
Last 7 Days Splits 0.250 0.641 0.00% 0.289
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Detwiler – LEFT 0.304 0.848 0.00% 0.368
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.052 0.000 $3,000 $7,600 $4,200 $58,700

David Freese

Once again we will have to contend with the rain, but the Angels make one of the best stacks of the day against Detwiler. Freese has been very good and underrated to start the season and currently is at a discount considering the lineup position, the over/under in this game and the pitcher that he is hitting against today. There is upside here today and I think he is one of the best 3B on the board (if the game plays obviously), as Freese has a career .863 OPS and a .375 wOBA against lefties.

jose-reyes-100x75 Jose Reyes
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.289 0.732 1.81% 0.324
Last 7 Days Splits 0.240 0.551 0.00% 0.236
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Odorizzi – RIGHT 0.226 0.663 2.86% 0.294
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.042 0.000 $3,800 $9,900 $4,700 $73,400

Jose Reyes

We have the Rogers Centre definitely in play here with Reyes today. Odorizzi seems to either be great or awful, making Reyes a very solid play in the most homer prone stadium. Reyes has been good lately and continues to be an amazing cash game play with a great OBP, ability to steal bags (especially against right handers like Odorizzi) and the occasional power. That is not to mention the fact that Toronto has a huge over/under here and Reyes will be hitting at first, with Encarnacion and Bautista behind him.

eric-young-100x75 Eric Young Jr.
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits
Last 7 Days Splits
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Harang – RIGHT
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.847 0.000 $5,000 $3,400

Eric Young Jr.

The Braves have been an interesting team in the early part of the season. I like Young here as a switch hitter with stolen base power against Latos, as Latos was absolutely terrible against this Braves team in the last game these guys played in Miami. Young will lead off if he is in the lineup, and is basically minimum salary on every site with major upside.

mike-trout-100x75 Mike Trout
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.275 0.910 6.04% 0.398
Last 7 Days Splits 0.167 0.533 5.56% 0.23
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Detwiler – LEFT 0.304 0.848 0.00% 0.368
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.052 0.000 $5,000 $12,200 $6,600 $88,700

Mike Trout

Trout is arguably the top play on the board today if the rain holds out in Texas. He’ll bat inside a hitter’s park, has a super high wOBA against lefties, is a threat to steal bags and is facing a pitcher who struggled in the last outing. Trout is very expensive on DraftKings, but if you can find the right pitching combo, he has the highest upside on the board.

dexter-fowler-100x75 Dexter Fowler
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.260 0.737 1.83% 0.333
Last 7 Days Splits 0.385 0.885 0.00% 0.41
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Leake – RIGHT 0.288 0.801 2.74% 0.352
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.931 0.000 $3,400 $9,300 $4,500 $56,200

Dexter Fowler

Fowler’s price has risen, but he is still hitting first in this Cubs lineup. I am really thinking that Fowler has a breakout season, and his last couple have games have really bolstered that thought. Right now there is a chance the wind will be blowing out at Wrigley, as many linemakers in Vegas have not set the line for this game yet. If it is blowing out, we could have a very solid high scoring game. Leake is not a shutdown pitcher and has struggled with command lately, allowing a lot of guys to see base, thus making Fowler one of the better cash game options.

kevin-kiermaier-100x75 Kevin Kiermaier
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.280 0.837 3.50% 0.362
Last 7 Days Splits 0.286 0.905 0.00% 0.383
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Dickey – RIGHT 0.220 0.665 1.65% 0.300
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.042 0.000 $3,100 $6,600 $4,100 $50,000

Kevin Kiermaier

Hey, look! The Rays decided to bat Kiermaier first for a couple of games, which seemed to work out well as he’s homered twice this year and continues to rack up the runs and multi-hit games. I am a little worried about R.A. Dickey here, and while I would not stack Rays, I think that Kiermaier and the guy below make decent cheap filler plays. Dickey has the propensity for balls to leave the yard on non-moving knucklers and at Rogers Centre the threat of homers are bigger. In a very short sample of MLB at bats, Kiermaier has a .869 OPS and a .238 ISO with a .375 wOBA.

david-dejesus-100x75 David DeJesus
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.251 0.756 2.60% 0.337
Last 7 Days Splits 0.188 0.375 0.00% 0.167
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Dickey – RIGHT 0.220 0.665 1.65% 0.300
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.042 0.000 $2,500 $7,100 $3,400 $41,900

David DeJesus

It is going to be hard for the Rays to sit DeJesus while he continues his hot start to the season. We all know this will not last for the season for the journeyman, but he does have a career .355 wOBA against righties. DeJesus is min priced and has been hitting at the top of the lineup, which are attractive positions for him. He is an okay play in cash games but makes a solid tournament play considering the low ownership and the park and pitcher matchup.

About the Author

Varncass
Jon Schiller (Varncass)

Jon Schiller (aka Varncass) has been providing college sports content for the fantasy industry since 2012 and the sports betting industry since 2022. He’s an analytics junkie who uses any and all predictive stats and game theory to discover edges for the RotoGrinders and ScoresAndOdds community. Follow Jon on Twitter – @Bronzesword