Cowboys vs. Eagles Odds, Picks, and Prediction
Cowboys vs. Eagles Odds
| Cowboys Odds | +6.5 |
| Eagles Odds | -6.5 |
| Over/Under | 42 |
| Date | Sunday, Oct. 16 |
| Time | 8:20 p.m. |
| TV | NBC |
This evening’s edition of Sunday Night Football will feature the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles in a highly-anticipated NFC East divisional showdown. Entering play, the Eagles are the only remaining undefeated team in the entire NFL. The Cowboys have not lost since Week 1 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Oddsmakers are expecting Philadelphia to remain perfect, pricing the Eagles as 6.5-point home favorites on the spread.
Let’s take a deeper look at the matchup to see where NFL bettors can find value at sportsbooks in this contest.
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 4-0 since Cooper Rush has taken the reins at quarterback, but this team has not been winning football games because of the offense. In that span, Dallas ranks 18th in EPA/play. The recipe for victory on the offensive side of the ball has been limiting turnovers and taking advantage of favorable field position. Rush has not thrown an interception in 118 pass attempts in 2022. Still, the offensive line has question marks, with Tyler Smith at left tackle, Connor McGovern at left guard, and Tyler Biadasz at center. Protection could be an issue against a ferocious Philadelphia pass rush.
Defensively, Dallas ranks 4th in the NFL in EPA/play through five games. This defense ranks 3rd in opponent yards-per-attempt through the air, but has been vulnerable on the ground – permitting 4.7 yards-per-carry. Philadelphia’s rushing attack is the best that Dallas will have seen arguably all season. The New York Giants are the only opponent that the Cowboys have faced so far in 2022 that has a plus-running attack. In Week 3, the Giants ran for 167 yards against the Cowboys. This is an area of vulnerability for Dallas on Sunday Night Football.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have not had a cake-walk to begin the year, having played the Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings, Washington Commanders, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Arizona Cardinals during the first five weeks of the new campaign. Jalen Hurts has taken a major leap forward in 2022, completing 67.9 percent of his passes for a 97.4 passer rating. Miles Sanders has been one of the better running backs in the league, ranking 4th in rushing yards and third in rushing touchdowns this season. Playing behind an elite offensive line, this group should be able to put points on the board again in Week 6.
Philadelphia has also been excellent on the defensive side of the ball early in the year, ranking 6th in EPA/play and 1st in opponent yards-per-attempt through the air. Similar to Dallas, the main weakness for this group is against the run, where opposing teams are averaging 5.0 yards-per-carry in 2022. Fortunately for the Eagles, the Cowboys rank only 20th in yards-per-carry on offense so far this fall. If the Eagles can control the Dallas ground attack in this one, they should be able to make life extremely difficult for Cooper Rush and company this evening.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Picks & Predictions
Through five games, the Eagles rank 2nd in the NFL in plays run per game, and the Cowboys rank 25th. In a battle of contrasting playing styles, it makes sense to avoid the total. However, it does make sense to take the rush attempts on the lead running back for the team that runs more plays than nearly any other team in the league. Miles Sanders has eclipsed this number in 4-of-5 games to begin the year, and tonight has a relatively favorable matchup against a Dallas run defense that is allowing 4.7 yards-per-carry in 2022. Take the over here.
PICK: Miles Sanders o14.5 rush attempts (-115 via DraftKings)
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