DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Friday, March 15th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Friday, March 15th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our NBA content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this as well as injuries and late scratches. The article will not be updated after the initial posting, but if you have any questions please feel free to leave them in the comments or send me a message on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer them.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Away Total Home Total Game Time (ET)
Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons TBD TBD 7:00 PM
Sacramento Kings at Philadelphia 76ers PHI -9.0 233.0 112.0 121.0 7:00 PM
Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards WAS -3.5 232.0 114.3 117.8 7:00 PM
Phoenix Suns at Houston Rockets HOU -13.0 225.0 106.0 119.0 8:00 PM
Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat MIL 5.0 220.0 112.5 107.5 8:00 PM
Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Pelicans POR 7.5 235.5 121.5 114.0 8:00 PM
New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs SA -13.0 216.5 101.8 114.8 8:30 PM
Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Clippers LAC -8.5 229.0 110.3 118.8 10:30 PM

James Harden (as usual) leads the projections with Giannis Antetokounmpo and Joel Embiid not too far behind. Bradley Beal and Andre Drummond round out the top five.

No adjustments were made (although I almost did bump up some forwards but it was close enough that I just stuck with the projections).

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU PHO G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL MIA F1
Joel Embiid PHI SAC C1
Bradley Beal WAS CHA G2
LeBron James LAL DET F2
Damian Lillard POR NOR G3
Julius Randle NOR POR F3
Ben Simmons PHI SAC G4
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS NYK F4
Andre Drummond DET LAL C2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU PHO G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL MIA F1
Joel Embiid PHI SAC C1
Bradley Beal WAS CHA G2
Andre Drummond DET LAL C2
LeBron James LAL DET F2
Damian Lillard POR NOR G3
Ben Simmons PHI SAC G4
Julius Randle NOR POR F3
Kemba Walker CHA WAS G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS NYK F4
Blake Griffin DET LAL F5
DeMar DeRozan SAS NYK G6
Lauri Markkanen CHI LAC F6
Jusuf Nurkic POR NOR C3

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU PHO G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL MIA F1
Joel Embiid PHI SAC C1
Bradley Beal WAS CHA G2
Andre Drummond DET LAL C2
LeBron James LAL DET F2
Damian Lillard POR NOR G3
Ben Simmons PHI SAC G4
Julius Randle NOR POR F3
Kemba Walker CHA WAS G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS NYK F4
Blake Griffin DET LAL F5
DeMar DeRozan SAS NYK G6
Lauri Markkanen CHI LAC F6
Devin Booker PHO HOU G7
Jimmy Butler PHI SAC F7
Jusuf Nurkic POR NOR C3
Clint Capela HOU PHO C4
De’Aaron Fox SAC PHI G8
Anthony Davis NOR POR F8

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU PHO G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL MIA F1
Joel Embiid PHI SAC C1
Bradley Beal WAS CHA G2
Andre Drummond DET LAL C2
LeBron James LAL DET F2
Damian Lillard POR NOR G3
Ben Simmons PHI SAC G4
Julius Randle NOR POR F3
Kemba Walker CHA WAS G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS NYK F4
Blake Griffin DET LAL F5
Jusuf Nurkic POR NOR C3
Clint Capela HOU PHO C4
DeMar DeRozan SAS NYK G6
Lauri Markkanen CHI LAC F6
Devin Booker PHO HOU G7
De’Aaron Fox SAC PHI G8
Chris Paul HOU PHO G9
Jimmy Butler PHI SAC F7
Lou Williams LAC CHI G10
Anthony Davis NOR POR F8
Deandre Ayton PHO HOU C5
Bobby Portis WAS CHA F9
Otto Porter CHI LAC F10
Tobias Harris PHI SAC F11
Zach LaVine CHI LAC G11
C.J. McCollum POR NOR G12
Montrezl Harrell LAC CHI F12
Hassan Whiteside MIA MIL C6

Eight-Person Rankings

Forty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU PHO G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL MIA F1
Joel Embiid PHI SAC C1
Bradley Beal WAS CHA G2
Andre Drummond DET LAL C2
LeBron James LAL DET F2
Damian Lillard POR NOR G3
Ben Simmons PHI SAC G4
Julius Randle NOR POR F3
Kemba Walker CHA WAS G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS NYK F4
Blake Griffin DET LAL F5
Jusuf Nurkic POR NOR C3
Clint Capela HOU PHO C4
DeMar DeRozan SAS NYK G6
Lauri Markkanen CHI LAC F6
Devin Booker PHO HOU G7
De’Aaron Fox SAC PHI G8
Chris Paul HOU PHO G9
Jimmy Butler PHI SAC F7
Lou Williams LAC CHI G10
Anthony Davis NOR POR F8
Zach LaVine CHI LAC G11
C.J. McCollum POR NOR G12
Elfrid Payton NOR POR G13
Buddy Hield SAC PHI G14
Deandre Ayton PHO HOU C5
Bobby Portis WAS CHA F9
Otto Porter CHI LAC F10
Tobias Harris PHI SAC F11
Montrezl Harrell LAC CHI F12
Tomas Satoransky WAS CHA G15
Danilo Gallinari LAC CHI F13
Khris Middleton MIL MIA F14
Josh Richardson MIA MIL F15
Rajon Rondo LAL DET G16
“(player-popup #kelly-oubre)Kelly Oubre Jr PHO HOU F16
Hassan Whiteside MIA MIL C6
Robin Lopez CHI LAC C7
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC PHI C8

Overall Positional Rankings

Guards

James Harden HOU PHO G1
Bradley Beal WAS CHA G2
Damian Lillard POR NOR G3
Ben Simmons PHI SAC G4
Kemba Walker CHA WAS G5
DeMar DeRozan SAS NYK G6
Devin Booker PHO HOU G7
De’Aaron Fox SAC PHI G8
Chris Paul HOU PHO G9
Lou Williams LAC CHI G10
Zach LaVine CHI LAC G11
C.J. McCollum POR NOR G12
Elfrid Payton NOR POR G13
Buddy Hield SAC PHI G14
Tomas Satoransky WAS CHA G15
Rajon Rondo LAL DET G16
Jeremy Lamb CHA WAS G17
Derrick White SAS NYK G18
Eric Bledsoe MIL MIA G19
Patrick Beverley LAC CHI G20

Forwards

Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL MIA F1
LeBron James LAL DET F2
Julius Randle NOR POR F3
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS NYK F4
Blake Griffin DET LAL F5
Lauri Markkanen CHI LAC F6
Jimmy Butler PHI SAC F7
Anthony Davis NOR POR F8
Bobby Portis WAS CHA F9
Otto Porter CHI LAC F10
Tobias Harris PHI SAC F11
Montrezl Harrell LAC CHI F12
Danilo Gallinari LAC CHI F13
Khris Middleton MIL MIA F14
Josh Richardson MIA MIL F15
“(player-popup #kelly-oubre)Kelly Oubre Jr PHO HOU F16
Trevor Ariza WAS CHA F17
Kyle Kuzma LAL DET F18
Nicolas Batum CHA WAS F19
Marvin Williams CHA WAS F20

Centers

Joel Embiid PHI SAC C1
Andre Drummond DET LAL C2
Jusuf Nurkic POR NOR C3
Clint Capela HOU PHO C4
Deandre Ayton PHO HOU C5
Hassan Whiteside MIA MIL C6
Robin Lopez CHI LAC C7
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC PHI C8
Mitchell Robinson NYK SAS C9
Bam Adebayo MIA MIL C10

Unadjusted Overall Rankings

James Harden HOU PHO G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL MIA F1
Joel Embiid PHI SAC C1
Bradley Beal WAS CHA G2
Andre Drummond DET LAL C2
LeBron James LAL DET F2
Damian Lillard POR NOR G3
Ben Simmons PHI SAC G4
Julius Randle NOR POR F3
Kemba Walker CHA WAS G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS NYK F4
Blake Griffin DET LAL F5
Jusuf Nurkic POR NOR C3
Clint Capela HOU PHO C4
DeMar DeRozan SAS NYK G6
Lauri Markkanen CHI LAC F6
Devin Booker PHO HOU G7
De’Aaron Fox SAC PHI G8
Chris Paul HOU PHO G9
Jimmy Butler PHI SAC F7
Lou Williams LAC CHI G10
Anthony Davis NOR POR F8
Zach LaVine CHI LAC G11
C.J. McCollum POR NOR G12
Elfrid Payton NOR POR G13
Buddy Hield SAC PHI G14
Deandre Ayton PHO HOU C5
Bobby Portis WAS CHA F9
Otto Porter CHI LAC F10
Tobias Harris PHI SAC F11
Montrezl Harrell LAC CHI F12
Tomas Satoransky WAS CHA G15
Rajon Rondo LAL DET G16
Jeremy Lamb CHA WAS G17
Danilo Gallinari LAC CHI F13
Derrick White SAS NYK G18
Eric Bledsoe MIL MIA G19
Khris Middleton MIL MIA F14
Josh Richardson MIA MIL F15
“(player-popup #kelly-oubre)Kelly Oubre Jr PHO HOU F16
Hassan Whiteside MIA MIL C6
Trevor Ariza WAS CHA F17
Kyle Kuzma LAL DET F18
Robin Lopez CHI LAC C7
Nicolas Batum CHA WAS F19
Marvin Williams CHA WAS F20
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC PHI C8
Patrick Beverley LAC CHI G20
Mitchell Robinson NYK SAS C9
Bam Adebayo MIA MIL C10

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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