DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Friday, March 16th
Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion, options for the day’s slate and players that might go overlooked on the DRAFT platform.
Friday, March 16th
Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our newest addition to DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three man, and six man drafts. I’ll also provide a brief slate analysis as to how to attack drafts for the slate.
A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play. Last, roster requirements are two guards, two forwards, and one center. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.
Slate Overview
7:00 PM EST: Brooklyn at Philadelphia (-8.5) O/U 218.5
7:00 PM EST: Boston (-6) at Orlando O/U 202.5
7:30 PM EST: Dallas at Toronto (-11) O/U 212.0
8:00 PM EST: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (-5) O/U 223.5
10:30 PM EST: Sacramento at Golden State (-12) O/U 214.5
10:30 PM EST: Miami at LA Lakers (-4) O/U 219.0
We have a nice, tidy six game slate tonight with one game that looks awful on paper with a 202.5 total in Boston at Orlando, a couple middling games in Sacramento/Golden State and Dallas/Toronto that might turn into blowouts so there’s always minutes concern there and then three games with totals over 218.5 that should remain fairly competitive outside of perhaps the Brooklyn/Philadelphia game. As is often the case on a slate that has Russell Westbrook, he’s the top overall choice and it’s not particularly close today. Kevin Durant and Joel Embiid are fighting it out for the #2 spot, but we should almost always go forward at the top of the draft so I’ll give the nod to Durant here. That said, there is some injury concern with Durant and given their opponent is the woeful Kings, I would not mind going light on your shares of Durant because swapping from a #2 or #3 pick to a #20 or so pick is not +EV.
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