DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Monday, February 11th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Monday, February 11th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our NBA content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this as well as injuries and late scratches. The article will not be updated after the initial posting, but if you have any questions please feel free to leave them in the comments or send me a message on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer them.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Away Total Home Total Game Time (ET)
New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers CLE -1.5 210.0 104.3 105.8 7:00 PM
Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons DET -4.0 220.0 108.0 112.0 7:00 PM
Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers IND -5.0 217.5 106.3 111.3 7:00 PM
Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors TOR -10.0 226.5 108.3 118.3 7:30 PM
Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls TBD TBD 8:00 PM
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets TBD TBD 8:00 PM
Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves TBD TBD 8:00 PM
Portland Trail Blazers at Oklahoma City Thunder OKC -6.5 231.0 112.3 118.8 8:00 PM
Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets TBD TBD 9:00 PM

A nine-game Monday slate is led by James Harden and Russell Westbrook as the top two projected scorers. Those guards are followed by Karl-Anthony Towns, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Paul George. A few slight adjustments to forwards (upwards) were made, but for the most part the rankings are following the projections.

Here are today’s rankings…

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU DAL G1
Russell Westbrook OKC POR G2
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN LAC C1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL CHI F1
Paul George OKC POR F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR BKN F3
Luka Doncic DAL HOU G3
Nikola Jokic DEN MIA C2
Blake Griffin DET WAS F4
Damian Lillard POR OKC G4

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU DAL G1
Russell Westbrook OKC POR G2
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN LAC C1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL CHI F1
Paul George OKC POR F2
Nikola Jokic DEN MIA C2
Kawhi Leonard TOR BKN F3
Luka Doncic DAL HOU G3
Blake Griffin DET WAS F4
Damian Lillard POR OKC G4
Bradley Beal WAS DET G5
Lauri Markkanen CHI MIL F5
Andre Drummond DET WAS C3
Kemba Walker CHA IND G6
“(player-popup #larry-nance)Larry Nance Jr CLE NYK F6

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU DAL G1
Russell Westbrook OKC POR G2
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN LAC C1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL CHI F1
Paul George OKC POR F2
Nikola Jokic DEN MIA C2
Kawhi Leonard TOR BKN F3
Andre Drummond DET WAS C3
Luka Doncic DAL HOU G3
Blake Griffin DET WAS F4
Damian Lillard POR OKC G4
Bradley Beal WAS DET G5
Kemba Walker CHA IND G6
D’Angelo Russell BKN TOR G7
Lauri Markkanen CHI MIL F5
“(player-popup #larry-nance)Larry Nance Jr CLE NYK F6
Kenneth Faried HOU DAL F7
Jusuf Nurkic POR OKC C4
Kyle Lowry TOR BKN G8
Pascal Siakam TOR BKN F8

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU DAL G1
Russell Westbrook OKC POR G2
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN LAC C1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL CHI F1
Paul George OKC POR F2
Nikola Jokic DEN MIA C2
Kawhi Leonard TOR BKN F3
Andre Drummond DET WAS C3
Luka Doncic DAL HOU G3
Blake Griffin DET WAS F4
Damian Lillard POR OKC G4
Bradley Beal WAS DET G5
Kemba Walker CHA IND G6
Jusuf Nurkic POR OKC C4
D’Angelo Russell BKN TOR G7
Kyle Lowry TOR BKN G8
Myles Turner IND CHA C5
Lauri Markkanen CHI MIL F5
“(player-popup #larry-nance)Larry Nance Jr CLE NYK F6
Chris Paul HOU DAL G9
Kenneth Faried HOU DAL F7
Pascal Siakam TOR BKN F8
Danilo Gallinari LAC MIN F9
Dennis Smith Jr. NYK CLE G10
Darren Collison IND CHA G11
Otto Porter CHI MIL F10
Thaddeus Young IND CHA F11
Steven Adams OKC POR C6
Eric Bledsoe MIL CHI G12
Montrezl Harrell LAC MIN F12

Eight-Person Rankings

Forty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU DAL G1
Russell Westbrook OKC POR G2
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN LAC C1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL CHI F1
Paul George OKC POR F2
Nikola Jokic DEN MIA C2
Kawhi Leonard TOR BKN F3
Andre Drummond DET WAS C3
Luka Doncic DAL HOU G3
Blake Griffin DET WAS F4
Damian Lillard POR OKC G4
Bradley Beal WAS DET G5
Kemba Walker CHA IND G6
Jusuf Nurkic POR OKC C4
D’Angelo Russell BKN TOR G7
Kyle Lowry TOR BKN G8
Myles Turner IND CHA C5
Lauri Markkanen CHI MIL F5
“(player-popup #larry-nance)Larry Nance Jr CLE NYK F6
Chris Paul HOU DAL G9
Steven Adams OKC POR C6
Kenneth Faried HOU DAL F7
Pascal Siakam TOR BKN F8
Danilo Gallinari LAC MIN F9
Dennis Smith Jr. NYK CLE G10
Hassan Whiteside MIA DEN C7
Darren Collison IND CHA G11
Eric Bledsoe MIL CHI G12
Otto Porter CHI MIL F10
Zach LaVine CHI MIL G13
Thaddeus Young IND CHA F11
Montrezl Harrell LAC MIN F12
Jamal Murray DEN MIA G14
Domantas Sabonis IND CHA F13
Lou Williams LAC MIN G15
Bobby Portis WAS DET F14
Andrew Wiggins MIN LAC F15
Serge Ibaka TOR BKN C8
Kris Dunn CHI MIL G16
Josh Richardson MIA DEN F16

Overall Positional Rankings

Guards

James Harden HOU DAL G1
Russell Westbrook OKC POR G2
Luka Doncic DAL HOU G3
Damian Lillard POR OKC G4
Bradley Beal WAS DET G5
Kemba Walker CHA IND G6
D’Angelo Russell BKN TOR G7
Kyle Lowry TOR BKN G8
Chris Paul HOU DAL G9
Dennis Smith Jr. NYK CLE G10
Darren Collison IND CHA G11
Eric Bledsoe MIL CHI G12
Zach LaVine CHI MIL G13
Jamal Murray DEN MIA G14
Lou Williams LAC MIN G15
Kris Dunn CHI MIL G16
C.J. McCollum POR OKC G17
Jordan Clarkson CLE NYK G18
Reggie Jackson DET WAS G19
Tomas Satoransky WAS DET G20
Will Barton DEN MIA G21
Malcolm Brogdon MIL CHI G22
Jeff Teague MIN LAC G23
Jeremy Lamb CHA IND G24
Patrick Beverley LAC MIN G25

Forwards

Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL CHI F1
Paul George OKC POR F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR BKN F3
Blake Griffin DET WAS F4
Lauri Markkanen CHI MIL F5
“(player-popup #larry-nance)Larry Nance Jr CLE NYK F6
Kenneth Faried HOU DAL F7
Pascal Siakam TOR BKN F8
Danilo Gallinari LAC MIN F9
Otto Porter CHI MIL F10
Thaddeus Young IND CHA F11
Montrezl Harrell LAC MIN F12
Domantas Sabonis IND CHA F13
Bobby Portis WAS DET F14
Andrew Wiggins MIN LAC F15
Josh Richardson MIA DEN F16
Khris Middleton MIL CHI F17
Justise Winslow MIA DEN F18
Bojan Bogdanovic IND CHA F19
Trevor Ariza WAS DET F20
Kevin Knox NYK CLE F21
Marvin Williams CHA IND F22
Tim Hardaway Jr. DAL HOU F23
Jabari Parker WAS DET F24
Nicolas Batum CHA IND F25

Centers

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN LAC C1
Nikola Jokic DEN MIA C2
Andre Drummond DET WAS C3
Jusuf Nurkic POR OKC C4
Myles Turner IND CHA C5
Steven Adams OKC POR C6
Hassan Whiteside MIA DEN C7
Serge Ibaka TOR BKN C8
Marc Gasol TOR BKN C9
DeAndre Jordan NYK CLE C10

Unadjusted Overall Rankings

James Harden HOU DAL G1
Russell Westbrook OKC POR G2
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN LAC C1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL CHI F1
Paul George OKC POR F2
Nikola Jokic DEN MIA C2
Kawhi Leonard TOR BKN F3
Andre Drummond DET WAS C3
Luka Doncic DAL HOU G3
Blake Griffin DET WAS F4
Damian Lillard POR OKC G4
Bradley Beal WAS DET G5
Kemba Walker CHA IND G6
Jusuf Nurkic POR OKC C4
D’Angelo Russell BKN TOR G7
Kyle Lowry TOR BKN G8
Myles Turner IND CHA C5
Lauri Markkanen CHI MIL F5
Chris Paul HOU DAL G9
Steven Adams OKC POR C6
“(player-popup #larry-nance)Larry Nance Jr CLE NYK F6
Dennis Smith Jr. NYK CLE G10
Hassan Whiteside MIA DEN C7
Darren Collison IND CHA G11
Eric Bledsoe MIL CHI G12
Kenneth Faried HOU DAL F7
Pascal Siakam TOR BKN F8
Danilo Gallinari LAC MIN F9
Zach LaVine CHI MIL G13
Jamal Murray DEN MIA G14
Serge Ibaka TOR BKN C8
Otto Porter CHI MIL F10
Lou Williams LAC MIN G15
Kris Dunn CHI MIL G16
Thaddeus Young IND CHA F11
Montrezl Harrell LAC MIN F12
Domantas Sabonis IND CHA F13
Bobby Portis WAS DET F14
Andrew Wiggins MIN LAC F15
Josh Richardson MIA DEN F16
C.J. McCollum POR OKC G17
Khris Middleton MIL CHI F17
Jordan Clarkson CLE NYK G18
Reggie Jackson DET WAS G19
Tomas Satoransky WAS DET G20
Justise Winslow MIA DEN F18
Will Barton DEN MIA G21
Bojan Bogdanovic IND CHA F19
Malcolm Brogdon MIL CHI G22
Jeff Teague MIN LAC G23
Marc Gasol TOR BKN C9
Trevor Ariza WAS DET F20
Kevin Knox NYK CLE F21
DeAndre Jordan NYK CLE C10
Jeremy Lamb CHA IND G24
Marvin Williams CHA IND F22
Tim Hardaway Jr. DAL HOU F23
Jabari Parker WAS DET F24
Patrick Beverley LAC MIN G25
Nicolas Batum CHA IND F25

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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