DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Saturday, January 12th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Saturday, January 12th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our NBA content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this as well as injuries and late scratches. The article will not be updated after the initial posting, but if you have any questions please feel free to leave them in the comments or send me a message on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer them.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Away Total Home Total Game Time (ET)
Detroit Pistons at Los Angeles Clippers LAC -7.0 220.0 106.5 113.5 3:30 PM
Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat MIA -4.5 195.0 95.3 99.8 5:00 PM
Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic BOS 7.0 213.0 110.0 103.0 7:00 PM
New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves NO 2.0 234.0 118.0 116.0 8:00 PM
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder OKC -5.5 227.0 110.8 116.3 8:00 PM
Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns DEN 9.5 217.5 113.5 104.0 9:00 PM
Charlotte Hornets at Sacramento Kings SAC -5.5 234.0 114.3 119.8 10:00 PM
Chicago Bulls at Utah Jazz UTA -11.0 207.5 98.3 109.3 10:00 PM

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

Russell Westbrook OKC SAS G1
Anthony Davis NOR MIN F1
Paul George OKC SAS F2
Kemba Walker CHA SAC G2
Blake Griffin DET LAC F3
Kyrie Irving BOS ORL G3
DeMar DeRozan SAS OKC G4
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS OKC F4
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN NOR C1
Nikola Jokic DEN PHO C2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

Russell Westbrook OKC SAS G1
Anthony Davis NOR MIN F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN NOR C1
Nikola Jokic DEN PHO C2
Paul George OKC SAS F2
Kemba Walker CHA SAC G2
Blake Griffin DET LAC F3
Kyrie Irving BOS ORL G3
DeMar DeRozan SAS OKC G4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHA G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS OKC F4
Julius Randle NOR MIN F5
Nikola Vucevic ORL BOS C3
Jrue Holiday NOR MIN G6
Tobias Harris LAC DET F6

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

Russell Westbrook OKC SAS G1
Anthony Davis NOR MIN F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN NOR C1
Nikola Jokic DEN PHO C2
Paul George OKC SAS F2
Nikola Vucevic ORL BOS C3
Kemba Walker CHA SAC G2
Blake Griffin DET LAC F3
Kyrie Irving BOS ORL G3
DeMar DeRozan SAS OKC G4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHA G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS OKC F4
Julius Randle NOR MIN F5
Jrue Holiday NOR MIN G6
Devin Booker PHO DEN G7
Tobias Harris LAC DET F6
Danilo Gallinari LAC DET F7
Mike Conley MEM MIA G8
Montrezl Harrell LAC DET F8
Andre Drummond DET LAC C4

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players total to be drafted.

Russell Westbrook OKC SAS G1
Anthony Davis NOR MIN F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN NOR C1
Nikola Jokic DEN PHO C2
Paul George OKC SAS F2
Nikola Vucevic ORL BOS C3
Kemba Walker CHA SAC G2
Blake Griffin DET LAC F3
Andre Drummond DET LAC C4
Rudy Gobert UTA CHI C5
Kyrie Irving BOS ORL G3
DeMar DeRozan SAS OKC G4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHA G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS OKC F4
Julius Randle NOR MIN F5
Jrue Holiday NOR MIN G6
Devin Booker PHO DEN G7
Mike Conley MEM MIA G8
Tobias Harris LAC DET F6
Danilo Gallinari LAC DET F7
Jamal Murray DEN PHO G9
Buddy Hield SAC CHA G10
Montrezl Harrell LAC DET F8
Andrew Wiggins MIN NOR F9
Lauri Markkanen CHI UTA F10
Donovan Mitchell UTA CHI G11
Aaron Gordon ORL BOS F11
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC CHA C6
Bogdan Bogdanovic SAC CHA G12
Josh Richardson MIA MEM F12

Eight-Person Rankings

Forty players total to be drafted.

Russell Westbrook OKC SAS G1
Anthony Davis NOR MIN F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN NOR C1
Nikola Jokic DEN PHO C2
Paul George OKC SAS F2
Nikola Vucevic ORL BOS C3
Kemba Walker CHA SAC G2
Blake Griffin DET LAC F3
Andre Drummond DET LAC C4
Rudy Gobert UTA CHI C5
Kyrie Irving BOS ORL G3
DeMar DeRozan SAS OKC G4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHA G5
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS OKC F4
Julius Randle NOR MIN F5
Jrue Holiday NOR MIN G6
Devin Booker PHO DEN G7
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC CHA C6
Mike Conley MEM MIA G8
Tobias Harris LAC DET F6
Danilo Gallinari LAC DET F7
Jamal Murray DEN PHO G9
Buddy Hield SAC CHA G10
Montrezl Harrell LAC DET F8
Andrew Wiggins MIN NOR F9
Lauri Markkanen CHI UTA F10
Donovan Mitchell UTA CHI G11
Bogdan Bogdanovic SAC CHA G12
Jeff Teague MIN NOR G13
Aaron Gordon ORL BOS F11
Kris Dunn CHI UTA G14
Josh Richardson MIA MEM F12
Paul Millsap DEN PHO F13
Dennis Schroder OKC SAS G15
T.J. Warren PHO DEN F14
Justise Winslow MIA MEM F15
Zach LaVine CHI UTA G16
Derrick Favors UTA CHI F16
Steven Adams OKC SAS C7
Marc Gasol MEM MIA C8

Overall Positional Rankings

Guards

Russell Westbrook OKC SAS G1
Kemba Walker CHA SAC G2
Kyrie Irving BOS ORL G3
DeMar DeRozan SAS OKC G4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHA G5
Jrue Holiday NOR MIN G6
Devin Booker PHO DEN G7
Mike Conley MEM MIA G8
Jamal Murray DEN PHO G9
Buddy Hield SAC CHA G10
Donovan Mitchell UTA CHI G11
Bogdan Bogdanovic SAC CHA G12
Jeff Teague MIN NOR G13
Kris Dunn CHI UTA G14
Dennis Schroder OKC SAS G15
Zach LaVine CHI UTA G16
Lou Williams LAC DET G17
Derrick Rose MIN NOR G18
Jeremy Lamb CHA SAC G19
Derrick White SAS OKC G20
Elfrid Payton NOR MIN G21
Reggie Jackson DET LAC G22
Bryn Forbes SAS OKC G23
Marcus Smart BOS ORL G24
D.J. Augustin ORL BOS G25

Forwards

Anthony Davis NOR MIN F1
Paul George OKC SAS F2
Blake Griffin DET LAC F3
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS OKC F4
Julius Randle NOR MIN F5
Tobias Harris LAC DET F6
Danilo Gallinari LAC DET F7
Montrezl Harrell LAC DET F8
Andrew Wiggins MIN NOR F9
Lauri Markkanen CHI UTA F10
Aaron Gordon ORL BOS F11
Josh Richardson MIA MEM F12
Paul Millsap DEN PHO F13
T.J. Warren PHO DEN F14
Justise Winslow MIA MEM F15
Derrick Favors UTA CHI F16
Joe Ingles UTA CHI F17
Kyle Anderson MEM MIA F18
Jayson Tatum BOS ORL F19
Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM MIA F20
Jerami Grant OKC SAS F21
Wendell Carter Jr. CHI UTA F22
Al Horford BOS ORL F23
Evan Fournier ORL BOS F24
Marvin Williams CHA SAC F25

Centers

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN NOR C1
Nikola Jokic DEN PHO C2
Nikola Vucevic ORL BOS C3
Andre Drummond DET LAC C4
Rudy Gobert UTA CHI C5
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC CHA C6
Steven Adams OKC SAS C7
Marc Gasol MEM MIA C8
Deandre Ayton PHO DEN C9
Hassan Whiteside MIA MEM C10
Bam Adebayo MIA MEM C11
Bismack Biyombo CHA SAC C12

Unadjusted Overall Rankings

Russell Westbrook OKC SAS G1
Anthony Davis NOR MIN F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN NOR C1
Nikola Jokic DEN PHO C2
Paul George OKC SAS F2
Nikola Vucevic ORL BOS C3
Kemba Walker CHA SAC G2
Andre Drummond DET LAC C4
Rudy Gobert UTA CHI C5
Blake Griffin DET LAC F3
Kyrie Irving BOS ORL G3
DeMar DeRozan SAS OKC G4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHA G5
Jrue Holiday NOR MIN G6
Devin Booker PHO DEN G7
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS OKC F4
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC CHA C6
Mike Conley MEM MIA G8
Jamal Murray DEN PHO G9
Julius Randle NOR MIN F5
Buddy Hield SAC CHA G10
Donovan Mitchell UTA CHI G11
Steven Adams OKC SAS C7
Marc Gasol MEM MIA C8
Deandre Ayton PHO DEN C9
Tobias Harris LAC DET F6
Danilo Gallinari LAC DET F7
Bogdan Bogdanovic SAC CHA G12
Montrezl Harrell LAC DET F8
Hassan Whiteside MIA MEM C10
Jeff Teague MIN NOR G13
Andrew Wiggins MIN NOR F9
Lauri Markkanen CHI UTA F10
Kris Dunn CHI UTA G14
Aaron Gordon ORL BOS F11
Josh Richardson MIA MEM F12
Paul Millsap DEN PHO F13
Dennis Schroder OKC SAS G15
T.J. Warren PHO DEN F14
Justise Winslow MIA MEM F15
Zach LaVine CHI UTA G16
Derrick Favors UTA CHI F16
Lou Williams LAC DET G17
Joe Ingles UTA CHI F17
Kyle Anderson MEM MIA F18
Jayson Tatum BOS ORL F19
Derrick Rose MIN NOR G18
Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM MIA F20
Jeremy Lamb CHA SAC G19
Jerami Grant OKC SAS F21
Wendell Carter Jr. CHI UTA F22
Derrick White SAS OKC G20
Elfrid Payton NOR MIN G21
Al Horford BOS ORL F23
Evan Fournier ORL BOS F24
Marvin Williams CHA SAC F25
Reggie Jackson DET LAC G22
Bryn Forbes SAS OKC G23
Bam Adebayo MIA MEM C11
Marcus Smart BOS ORL G24
D.J. Augustin ORL BOS G25
Bismack Biyombo CHA SAC C12

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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