DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Sunday, March 17th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Sunday, March 17th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our NBA content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this as well as injuries and late scratches. The article will not be updated after the initial posting, but if you have any questions please feel free to leave them in the comments or send me a message on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer them.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Away Total Home Total Game Time (ET)
Los Angeles Lakers at New York Knicks LAL 4.5 220.0 112.3 107.8 12:00 PM
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat MIA -3.5 214.5 105.5 109.0 1:00 PM
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks MIL -6.5 231.0 112.3 118.8 3:30 PM
Toronto Raptors at Detroit Pistons TBD TBD 4:00 PM
Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic ORL -7.5 226.5 109.5 117.0 6:00 PM
Chicago Bulls at Sacramento Kings SAC -6.5 232.0 112.8 119.3 6:00 PM
Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets TBD TBD 9:00 PM
Brooklyn Nets at Los Angeles Clippers LAC -6.0 231.0 112.5 118.5 9:00 PM

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU MIN G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL PHI F1
LeBron James LAL NYK F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR DET F3
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHI G2
Chris Paul HOU MIN G3
Blake Griffin DET TOR F4
D’Angelo Russell BKN LAC G4
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN HOU C1
Joel Embiid PHI MIL C2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU MIN G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL PHI F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN HOU C1
Joel Embiid PHI MIL C2
LeBron James LAL NYK F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR DET F3
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHI G2
Chris Paul HOU MIN G3
Blake Griffin DET TOR F4
D’Angelo Russell BKN LAC G4
Kemba Walker CHA MIA G5
Lauri Markkanen CHI SAC F5
Buddy Hield SAC CHI G6
Montrezl Harrell LAC BKN F6
Nikola Vucevic ORL ATL C3

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU MIN G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL PHI F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN HOU C1
Joel Embiid PHI MIL C2
LeBron James LAL NYK F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR DET F3
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHI G2
Chris Paul HOU MIN G3
Blake Griffin DET TOR F4
D’Angelo Russell BKN LAC G4
Kemba Walker CHA MIA G5
Lauri Markkanen CHI SAC F5
Buddy Hield SAC CHI G6
Zach LaVine CHI SAC G7
Montrezl Harrell LAC BKN F6
Aaron Gordon ORL ATL F7
Ben Simmons PHI MIL G8
Danilo Gallinari LAC BKN F8
Nikola Vucevic ORL ATL C3
Andre Drummond DET TOR C4

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU MIN G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL PHI F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN HOU C1
Joel Embiid PHI MIL C2
LeBron James LAL NYK F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR DET F3
Nikola Vucevic ORL ATL C3
Andre Drummond DET TOR C4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHI G2
Chris Paul HOU MIN G3
Blake Griffin DET TOR F4
D’Angelo Russell BKN LAC G4
Clint Capela HOU MIN C5
Kemba Walker CHA MIA G5
Lauri Markkanen CHI SAC F5
Buddy Hield SAC CHI G6
Zach LaVine CHI SAC G7
Ben Simmons PHI MIL G8
Montrezl Harrell LAC BKN F6
Aaron Gordon ORL ATL F7
Trae Young ATL ORL G9
Lou Williams LAC BKN G10
Danilo Gallinari LAC BKN F8
Jimmy Butler PHI MIL F9
John Collins ATL ORL F10
Eric Bledsoe MIL PHI G11
Khris Middleton MIL PHI F11
Jarrett Allen BKN LAC C6
Otto Porter CHI SAC F12
Rajon Rondo LAL NYK G12

Eight-Person Rankings

Forty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU MIN G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL PHI F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN HOU C1
Joel Embiid PHI MIL C2
LeBron James LAL NYK F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR DET F3
Nikola Vucevic ORL ATL C3
Andre Drummond DET TOR C4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHI G2
Chris Paul HOU MIN G3
Blake Griffin DET TOR F4
D’Angelo Russell BKN LAC G4
Clint Capela HOU MIN C5
Kemba Walker CHA MIA G5
Lauri Markkanen CHI SAC F5
Buddy Hield SAC CHI G6
Zach LaVine CHI SAC G7
Ben Simmons PHI MIL G8
Montrezl Harrell LAC BKN F6
Aaron Gordon ORL ATL F7
Trae Young ATL ORL G9
Lou Williams LAC BKN G10
Jarrett Allen BKN LAC C6
Danilo Gallinari LAC BKN F8
Jimmy Butler PHI MIL F9
John Collins ATL ORL F10
Eric Bledsoe MIL PHI G11
Khris Middleton MIL PHI F11
Otto Porter CHI SAC F12
DeAndre Jordan NYK LAL C7
Rajon Rondo LAL NYK G12
Pascal Siakam TOR DET F13
Kyle Lowry TOR DET G13
Jonathan Isaac ORL ATL F14
Jeremy Lamb CHA MIA G14
Andrew Wiggins MIN HOU F15
Nicolas Batum CHA MIA G15
Marc Gasol TOR DET C8
Josh Richardson MIA CHA F16
Dennis Smith Jr. NYK LAL G16

Overall Positional Rankings

Guards

James Harden HOU MIN G1
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHI G2
Chris Paul HOU MIN G3
D’Angelo Russell BKN LAC G4
Kemba Walker CHA MIA G5
Buddy Hield SAC CHI G6
Zach LaVine CHI SAC G7
Ben Simmons PHI MIL G8
Trae Young ATL ORL G9
Lou Williams LAC BKN G10
Eric Bledsoe MIL PHI G11
Rajon Rondo LAL NYK G12
Kyle Lowry TOR DET G13
Jeremy Lamb CHA MIA G14
Nicolas Batum CHA MIA G15
Dennis Smith Jr. NYK LAL G16
Evan Fournier ORL ATL G17
Spencer Dinwiddie BKN LAC G18
Patrick Beverley LAC BKN G19
Terrence Ross ORL ATL G20

Forwards

Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL PHI F1
LeBron James LAL NYK F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR DET F3
Blake Griffin DET TOR F4
Lauri Markkanen CHI SAC F5
Montrezl Harrell LAC BKN F6
Aaron Gordon ORL ATL F7
Danilo Gallinari LAC BKN F8
Jimmy Butler PHI MIL F9
John Collins ATL ORL F10
Khris Middleton MIL PHI F11
Otto Porter CHI SAC F12
Pascal Siakam TOR DET F13
Jonathan Isaac ORL ATL F14
Andrew Wiggins MIN HOU F15
Josh Richardson MIA CHA F16
Tobias Harris PHI MIL F17
Kyle Kuzma LAL NYK F18
Noah Vonleh NYK LAL F19
Harrison Barnes SAC CHI F20

Centers

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN HOU C1
Joel Embiid PHI MIL C2
Nikola Vucevic ORL ATL C3
Andre Drummond DET TOR C4
Clint Capela HOU MIN C5
Jarrett Allen BKN LAC C6
DeAndre Jordan NYK LAL C7
Marc Gasol TOR DET C8
Bam Adebayo MIA CHA C9
Hassan Whiteside MIA CHA C10

Unadjusted Overall Rankings

James Harden HOU MIN G1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL PHI F1
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN HOU C1
Joel Embiid PHI MIL C2
LeBron James LAL NYK F2
Kawhi Leonard TOR DET F3
Nikola Vucevic ORL ATL C3
Andre Drummond DET TOR C4
De’Aaron Fox SAC CHI G2
Chris Paul HOU MIN G3
Blake Griffin DET TOR F4
D’Angelo Russell BKN LAC G4
Clint Capela HOU MIN C5
Kemba Walker CHA MIA G5
Lauri Markkanen CHI SAC F5
Buddy Hield SAC CHI G6
Zach LaVine CHI SAC G7
Ben Simmons PHI MIL G8
Montrezl Harrell LAC BKN F6
Aaron Gordon ORL ATL F7
Trae Young ATL ORL G9
Lou Williams LAC BKN G10
Jarrett Allen BKN LAC C6
Danilo Gallinari LAC BKN F8
Jimmy Butler PHI MIL F9
John Collins ATL ORL F10
Eric Bledsoe MIL PHI G11
Khris Middleton MIL PHI F11
Otto Porter CHI SAC F12
DeAndre Jordan NYK LAL C7
Rajon Rondo LAL NYK G12
Pascal Siakam TOR DET F13
Kyle Lowry TOR DET G13
Jonathan Isaac ORL ATL F14
Marc Gasol TOR DET C8
Jeremy Lamb CHA MIA G14
Andrew Wiggins MIN HOU F15
Nicolas Batum CHA MIA G15
Josh Richardson MIA CHA F16
Dennis Smith Jr. NYK LAL G16
Tobias Harris PHI MIL F17
Evan Fournier ORL ATL G17
Spencer Dinwiddie BKN LAC G18
Kyle Kuzma LAL NYK F18
Noah Vonleh NYK LAL F19
Patrick Beverley LAC BKN G19
Harrison Barnes SAC CHI F20
Terrence Ross ORL ATL G20
Bam Adebayo MIA CHA C9
Hassan Whiteside MIA CHA C10

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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