DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Thursday, December 6th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Thursday, December 6th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our NBA content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Away Total Home Total Game Time (ET)
New York Knicks at Boston Celtics BOS -12.0 217.5 102.8 114.8 6:00 PM
Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers POR -14.0 216.5 101.3 115.3 8:00 PM
Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz UTA -2.0 216.5 107.3 109.3 8:30 PM

Small three game slate tonight with James Harden and Damian Lillard the top options. Forward was weak so I had to account for that in the tiered rankings.

Here are today’s rankings…

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU UTA G1
Damian Lillard POR PHO G2
Tim Hardaway Jr. NYK BOS F1
Jayson Tatum BOS NYK F2
Kyrie Irving BOS NYK G3
Gordon Hayward BOS NYK F3
Chris Paul HOU UTA G4
Marcus Morris BOS NYK F4
Jusuf Nurkic POR PHO C1
Clint Capela HOU UTA C2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU UTA G1
Damian Lillard POR PHO G2
Jusuf Nurkic POR PHO C1
Kyrie Irving BOS NYK G3
Clint Capela HOU UTA C2
Tim Hardaway Jr. NYK BOS F1
Jayson Tatum BOS NYK F2
Gordon Hayward BOS NYK F3
Chris Paul HOU UTA G4
Donovan Mitchell UTA HOU G5
Marcus Morris BOS NYK F4
Josh Jackson PHO POR F5
Rudy Gobert UTA HOU C3
C.J. McCollum POR PHO G6
Trevor Ariza PHO POR F6

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

James Harden HOU UTA G1
Damian Lillard POR PHO G2
Jusuf Nurkic POR PHO C1
Kyrie Irving BOS NYK G3
Clint Capela HOU UTA C2
Rudy Gobert UTA HOU C3
Tim Hardaway Jr. NYK BOS F1
Jayson Tatum BOS NYK F2
Gordon Hayward BOS NYK F3
Chris Paul HOU UTA G4
Donovan Mitchell UTA HOU G5
Marcus Morris BOS NYK F4
Josh Jackson PHO POR F5
C.J. McCollum POR PHO G6
Ricky Rubio UTA HOU G7
Trevor Ariza PHO POR F6
Joe Ingles UTA HOU F7
De’Anthony Melton PHO POR G8
Jae Crowder UTA HOU F8
Al Horford BOS NYK C4

Overall Positional Rankings

Guards

James Harden HOU UTA G1
Damian Lillard POR PHO G2
Kyrie Irving BOS NYK G3
Chris Paul HOU UTA G4
Donovan Mitchell UTA HOU G5
.J. McCollum POR PHO G6
Ricky Rubio UTA HOU G7
De’Anthony Melton PHO POR G8
Emmanuel Mudiay NYK BOS G9
Marcus Smart BOS NYK G10
Evan Turner POR PHO G11
Elie Okobo PHO POR G12
Eric Gordon HOU UTA G13
Damyean Dotson NYK BOS G14
Terry Rozier BOS NYK G15

Forwards

Tim Hardaway Jr. NYK BOS F1
Jayson Tatum BOS NYK F2
Gordon Hayward BOS NYK F3
Marcus Morris BOS NYK F4
Josh Jackson PHO POR F5
Trevor Ariza PHO POR F6
Joe Ingles UTA HOU F7
Jae Crowder UTA HOU F8
Mikal Bridges PHO POR F9
Al-Farouq Aminu POR PHO F10
Noah Vonleh NYK BOS F11
Derrick Favors UTA HOU F12
Richaun Holmes PHO POR F13
Moe Harkless POR PHO F14
P.J. Tucker HOU UTA F15

Centers

Jusuf Nurkic POR PHO C1
Clint Capela HOU UTA C2
Rudy Gobert UTA HOU C3
Al Horford BOS NYK C4
Deandre Ayton PHO POR C5
Enes Kanter NYK BOS C6

Unadjusted Overall Rankings

James Harden HOU UTA G1
Damian Lillard POR PHO G2
Jusuf Nurkic POR PHO C1
Kyrie Irving BOS NYK G3
Clint Capela HOU UTA C2
Rudy Gobert UTA HOU C3
Chris Paul HOU UTA G4
Donovan Mitchell UTA HOU G5
Al Horford BOS NYK C4
Tim Hardaway Jr. NYK BOS F1
Jayson Tatum BOS NYK F2
Deandre Ayton PHO POR C5
Gordon Hayward BOS NYK F3
C.J. McCollum POR PHO G6
Ricky Rubio UTA HOU G7
Enes Kanter NYK BOS C6
Marcus Morris BOS NYK F4
Josh Jackson PHO POR F5
De’Anthony Melton PHO POR G8
Trevor Ariza PHO POR F6
Emmanuel Mudiay NYK BOS G9
Joe Ingles UTA HOU F7
Jae Crowder UTA HOU F8
Mikal Bridges PHO POR F9
Al-Farouq Aminu POR PHO F10
Noah Vonleh NYK BOS F11
Derrick Favors UTA HOU F12
Marcus Smart BOS NYK G10
Evan Turner POR PHO G11
Elie Okobo PHO POR G12
Eric Gordon HOU UTA G13
Richaun Holmes PHO POR F13
Moe Harkless POR PHO F14
Damyean Dotson NYK BOS G14
P.J. Tucker HOU UTA F15
Terry Rozier BOS NYK G15

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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