DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Thursday, March 14th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Thursday, March 14th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our NBA content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this as well as injuries and late scratches. The article will not be updated after the initial posting, but if you have any questions please feel free to leave them in the comments or send me a message on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer them.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Away Total Home Total Game Time (ET)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers IND -1.0 222.0 110.5 111.5 7:00 PM
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic TBD TBD 7:00 PM
Sacramento Kings at Boston Celtics TBD TBD 7:30 PM
Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors TOR -10.0 231.0 110.5 120.5 8:00 PM
Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz TBD TBD 9:00 PM
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets DEN -11.0 220.0 104.5 115.5 10:30 PM

Thursday brings us six games with Karl-Anthony Towns the rare center at the top of the projections. He’s followed by Russell Westbrook, Kawhi Leonard, Paul George and Kyrie Irving.

Here are today’s rankings…

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN UTA C1
Russell Westbrook OKC IND G1
Kawhi Leonard TOR LAL F1
Paul George OKC IND F2
Kyrie Irving BOS SAC G2
Donovan Mitchell UTA MIN G3
LeBron James LAL TOR F3
Luka Doncic DAL DEN G4
Pascal Siakam TOR LAL F4
Nikola Jokic DEN DAL C2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN UTA C1
Russell Westbrook OKC IND G1
Kawhi Leonard TOR LAL F1
Paul George OKC IND F2
Kyrie Irving BOS SAC G2
Donovan Mitchell UTA MIN G3
LeBron James LAL TOR F3
Luka Doncic DAL DEN G4
Kyle Lowry TOR LAL G5
Pascal Siakam TOR LAL F4
Kevin Love CLE ORL F5
Jamal Murray DEN DAL G6
Aaron Gordon ORL CLE F6
Nikola Jokic DEN DAL C2
Nikola Vucevic ORL CLE C3

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN UTA C1
Russell Westbrook OKC IND G1
Kawhi Leonard TOR LAL F1
Paul George OKC IND F2
Kyrie Irving BOS SAC G2
Nikola Jokic DEN DAL C2
Nikola Vucevic ORL CLE C3
Donovan Mitchell UTA MIN G3
LeBron James LAL TOR F3
Luka Doncic DAL DEN G4
Kyle Lowry TOR LAL G5
Pascal Siakam TOR LAL F4
Kevin Love CLE ORL F5
Jamal Murray DEN DAL G6
Aaron Gordon ORL CLE F6
Rajon Rondo LAL TOR G7
Al Horford BOS SAC F7
Rudy Gobert UTA MIN C4
Darren Collison IND OKC G8
Thaddeus Young IND OKC F8

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players total to be drafted.

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN UTA C1
Russell Westbrook OKC IND G1
Kawhi Leonard TOR LAL F1
Paul George OKC IND F2
Kyrie Irving BOS SAC G2
Nikola Jokic DEN DAL C2
Nikola Vucevic ORL CLE C3
Donovan Mitchell UTA MIN G3
LeBron James LAL TOR F3
Rudy Gobert UTA MIN C4
Luka Doncic DAL DEN G4
Kyle Lowry TOR LAL G5
Pascal Siakam TOR LAL F4
Kevin Love CLE ORL F5
Jamal Murray DEN DAL G6
Aaron Gordon ORL CLE F6
Rajon Rondo LAL TOR G7
Darren Collison IND OKC G8
De’Aaron Fox SAC BOS G9
Al Horford BOS SAC F7
Thaddeus Young IND OKC F8
Jonathan Isaac ORL CLE F9
Buddy Hield SAC BOS G10
Jayson Tatum BOS SAC F10
Paul Millsap DEN DAL F11
Collin Sexton CLE ORL G11
Ante Zizic CLE ORL F12
Will Barton DEN DAL G12
Marc Gasol TOR LAL C5
Myles Turner IND OKC C6

Eight-Person Rankings

Forty players total to be drafted.

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN UTA C1
Russell Westbrook OKC IND G1
Kawhi Leonard TOR LAL F1
Paul George OKC IND F2
Kyrie Irving BOS SAC G2
Nikola Jokic DEN DAL C2
Nikola Vucevic ORL CLE C3
Donovan Mitchell UTA MIN G3
LeBron James LAL TOR F3
Rudy Gobert UTA MIN C4
Luka Doncic DAL DEN G4
Kyle Lowry TOR LAL G5
Pascal Siakam TOR LAL F4
Kevin Love CLE ORL F5
Marc Gasol TOR LAL C5
Myles Turner IND OKC C6
Jamal Murray DEN DAL G6
Aaron Gordon ORL CLE F6
Rajon Rondo LAL TOR G7
Darren Collison IND OKC G8
De’Aaron Fox SAC BOS G9
Al Horford BOS SAC F7
Thaddeus Young IND OKC F8
Steven Adams OKC IND C7
Jonathan Isaac ORL CLE F9
Buddy Hield SAC BOS G10
Jayson Tatum BOS SAC F10
Paul Millsap DEN DAL F11
Ante Zizic CLE ORL F12
Collin Sexton CLE ORL G11
Will Barton DEN DAL G12
Dwight Powell DAL DEN F13
Derrick Favors UTA MIN F14
Bojan Bogdanovic IND OKC F15
Jordan Clarkson CLE ORL G13
Terrence Ross ORL CLE G14
Domantas Sabonis IND OKC C8
Jeff Teague MIN UTA G15
Kyle Kuzma LAL TOR F16
Jalen Brunson DAL DEN G16

Overall Positional Rankings

Guards

Russell Westbrook OKC IND G1
Kyrie Irving BOS SAC G2
Donovan Mitchell UTA MIN G3
Luka Doncic DAL DEN G4
Kyle Lowry TOR LAL G5
Jamal Murray DEN DAL G6
Rajon Rondo LAL TOR G7
Darren Collison IND OKC G8
De’Aaron Fox SAC BOS G9
Buddy Hield SAC BOS G10
Collin Sexton CLE ORL G11
Will Barton DEN DAL G12
Jordan Clarkson CLE ORL G13
Terrence Ross ORL CLE G14
Jeff Teague MIN UTA G15
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC BOS C9
Jalen Brunson DAL DEN G16
Monte Morris DEN DAL G17
Ricky Rubio UTA MIN G18
Bogdan Bogdanovic SAC BOS G19
D.J. Augustin ORL CLE G20

Forwards

Kawhi Leonard TOR LAL F1
Paul George OKC IND F2
LeBron James LAL TOR F3
Pascal Siakam TOR LAL F4
Kevin Love CLE ORL F5
Aaron Gordon ORL CLE F6
Al Horford BOS SAC F7
Thaddeus Young IND OKC F8
Jonathan Isaac ORL CLE F9
Jayson Tatum BOS SAC F10
Paul Millsap DEN DAL F11
Ante Zizic CLE ORL F12
Dwight Powell DAL DEN F13
Derrick Favors UTA MIN F14
Bojan Bogdanovic IND OKC F15
Kyle Kuzma LAL TOR F16
Andrew Wiggins MIN UTA F17
Cedi Osman CLE ORL F18
Joe Ingles UTA MIN F19
Evan Fournier ORL CLE F20

Centers

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN UTA C1
Nikola Jokic DEN DAL C2
Nikola Vucevic ORL CLE C3
Rudy Gobert UTA MIN C4
Marc Gasol TOR LAL C5
Myles Turner IND OKC C6
Steven Adams OKC IND C7
Domantas Sabonis IND OKC C8
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC BOS C9
JaVale McGee LAL TOR C10

Unadjusted Overall Rankings

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN UTA C1
Russell Westbrook OKC IND G1
Kawhi Leonard TOR LAL F1
Paul George OKC IND F2
Kyrie Irving BOS SAC G2
Nikola Jokic DEN DAL C2
Nikola Vucevic ORL CLE C3
Donovan Mitchell UTA MIN G3
LeBron James LAL TOR F3
Rudy Gobert UTA MIN C4
Luka Doncic DAL DEN G4
Kyle Lowry TOR LAL G5
Pascal Siakam TOR LAL F4
Kevin Love CLE ORL F5
Marc Gasol TOR LAL C5
Myles Turner IND OKC C6
Jamal Murray DEN DAL G6
Aaron Gordon ORL CLE F6
Rajon Rondo LAL TOR G7
Darren Collison IND OKC G8
De’Aaron Fox SAC BOS G9
Al Horford BOS SAC F7
Thaddeus Young IND OKC F8
Steven Adams OKC IND C7
Jonathan Isaac ORL CLE F9
Buddy Hield SAC BOS G10
Jayson Tatum BOS SAC F10
Paul Millsap DEN DAL F11
Ante Zizic CLE ORL F12
Collin Sexton CLE ORL G11
Will Barton DEN DAL G12
Dwight Powell DAL DEN F13
Derrick Favors UTA MIN F14
Bojan Bogdanovic IND OKC F15
Jordan Clarkson CLE ORL G13
Terrence Ross ORL CLE G14
Kyle Kuzma LAL TOR F16
Andrew Wiggins MIN UTA F17
Cedi Osman CLE ORL F18
Domantas Sabonis IND OKC C8
Joe Ingles UTA MIN F19
Evan Fournier ORL CLE F20
Jeff Teague MIN UTA G15
Willie Cauley-Stein SAC BOS C9
Jalen Brunson DAL DEN G16
Monte Morris DEN DAL G17
Ricky Rubio UTA MIN G18
Bogdan Bogdanovic SAC BOS G19
D.J. Augustin ORL CLE G20
JaVale McGee LAL TOR C10

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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