DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Thursday, October 18th
Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.
Thursday, October 18th
Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our MLB content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts. I’ll also provide a brief slate analysis as to how to attack drafts for the slate.
A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.
View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.
One note about my rankings. They are typically made based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings.
Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this.
Slate Overview
This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.
| Road Team | Home Team | Vegas Line | Over/Under | Away Total | Home Total | Game Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | at | Washington Wizards | WAS-5.0 | 212.0 | 103.5 | 108.5 | 8:00 PM |
| Chicago Bulls | at | Philadelphia 76ers | PHI-11.0 | 215.0 | 102.0 | 113.0 | 8:00 PM |
| Los Angeles Lakers | at | Portland Trail Blazers | POR-3.5 | 222.0 | 109.3 | 112.8 | 10:30 PM |
Pace of Play
| Team | Opponent | Spread | Implied Total | Team Pace | Opp. Pace | Proj. Pace | Pace +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers | Chicago | -11.0 | 113.0 | 102.2 | 100.3 | 102.9 | 0.7 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | L.A. Lakers | -3.5 | 112.8 | 98.8 | 102.6 | 101.8 | 3.0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | Portland | + 3.5 | 109.3 | 102.6 | 98.8 | 101.8 | -0.8 |
| Washington Wizards | Miami | -5.0 | 108.5 | 98.9 | 97.8 | 97.1 | -1.8 |
| Miami Heat | Washington | + 5.0 | 103.5 | 97.8 | 98.9 | 97.1 | -0.7 |
| Chicago Bulls | Philadelphia | + 11.0 | 102.0 | 100.3 | 102.2 | 102.9 | 2.6 |
Matchup Cheatsheet
Note: The DvP and efficiency rankings are for the opponent of the team listed in the first column.
| Offense | Opponent | Total – DVP | Total – EFF | PG – DVP | PG – EFF | SG – DVP | SG – EFF | SF – DVP | SF – EFF | PF – DVP | PF – EFF | C – DVP | C – EFF | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers | Chicago | 27 | 29 | 21 | 22 | 28 | 29 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 26 | |||||
| Portland Trail Blazers | L.A. Lakers | 24 | 21 | 26 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 16 | |||||
| Los Angeles Lakers | Portland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 7 | |||||
| Washington Wizards | Miami | 4 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | |||||
| Miami Heat | Washington | 12 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 12 | |||||
| Chicago Bulls | Philadelphia | 13 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
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