DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Tuesday, February 12th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Tuesday, February 12th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our NBA content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this as well as injuries and late scratches. The article will not be updated after the initial posting, but if you have any questions please feel free to leave them in the comments or send me a message on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer them.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Away Total Home Total Game Time (ET)
Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks LAL 5.0 236.0 120.5 115.5 7:30 PM
San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies SA 4.0 209.0 106.5 102.5 8:00 PM
Orlando Magic at New Orleans Pelicans NO -4.5 225.5 110.5 115.0 8:00 PM
Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers PHI -6.0 226.0 110.0 116.0 8:00 PM
Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors GS -8.5 229.0 110.3 118.8 10:30 PM

A smallish five-game slate is headlined by LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Those two lead the projections followed by big men Joel Embiid and Nikola Vucevic. Kevin Durant rounds out the top five. No adjustments were made to the rankings (other than moving Embiid and Vucevic to the back of head-to-head since their projections are similar).

Here are today’s rankings…

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

LeBron James LAL ATL F1
Anthony Davis NOR ORL F2
Kevin Durant GSW UTA F3
Jrue Holiday NOR ORL G1
Stephen Curry GSW UTA G2
Ben Simmons PHI BOS G3
John Collins ATL LAL F4
DeMar DeRozan SAS MEM G4
Joel Embiid PHI BOS C1
Nikola Vucevic ORL NOR C2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

LeBron James LAL ATL F1
Anthony Davis NOR ORL F2
Joel Embiid PHI BOS C1
Nikola Vucevic ORL NOR C2
Kevin Durant GSW UTA F3
Jrue Holiday NOR ORL G1
Stephen Curry GSW UTA G2
Ben Simmons PHI BOS G3
John Collins ATL LAL F4
DeMar DeRozan SAS MEM G4
Mike Conley MEM SAS G5
Julius Randle NOR ORL F5
DeMarcus Cousins GSW UTA C3
Donovan Mitchell UTA GSW G6
Jimmy Butler PHI BOS F6

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

LeBron James LAL ATL F1
Anthony Davis NOR ORL F2
Joel Embiid PHI BOS C1
Nikola Vucevic ORL NOR C2
Kevin Durant GSW UTA F3
Jrue Holiday NOR ORL G1
Stephen Curry GSW UTA G2
DeMarcus Cousins GSW UTA C3
Ben Simmons PHI BOS G3
John Collins ATL LAL F4
DeMar DeRozan SAS MEM G4
Mike Conley MEM SAS G5
Julius Randle NOR ORL F5
Donovan Mitchell UTA GSW G6
Jimmy Butler PHI BOS F6
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS MEM F7
Trae Young ATL LAL G7
Rudy Gobert UTA GSW C4
Aaron Gordon ORL NOR F8
Klay Thompson GSW UTA G8

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players total to be drafted.

LeBron James LAL ATL F1
Anthony Davis NOR ORL F2
Joel Embiid PHI BOS C1
Nikola Vucevic ORL NOR C2
Kevin Durant GSW UTA F3
Jrue Holiday NOR ORL G1
Stephen Curry GSW UTA G2
DeMarcus Cousins GSW UTA C3
Ben Simmons PHI BOS G3
Rudy Gobert UTA GSW C4
John Collins ATL LAL F4
DeMar DeRozan SAS MEM G4
Mike Conley MEM SAS G5
Julius Randle NOR ORL F5
Donovan Mitchell UTA GSW G6
Jimmy Butler PHI BOS F6
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS MEM F7
Aaron Gordon ORL NOR F8
Trae Young ATL LAL G7
Klay Thompson GSW UTA G8
Al Horford BOS PHI C5
Draymond Green GSW UTA F9
Terry Rozier BOS PHI G9
Kenrich Williams NOR ORL G10
Brandon Ingram LAL ATL F10
Jayson Tatum BOS PHI F11
Terrence Ross ORL NOR G11
Dewayne Dedmon ATL LAL C6
Kyle Kuzma LAL ATL F12
Ricky Rubio UTA GSW G12

Overall Positional Rankings

Guards

Jrue Holiday NOR ORL G1
Stephen Curry GSW UTA G2
Ben Simmons PHI BOS G3
DeMar DeRozan SAS MEM G4
Mike Conley MEM SAS G5
Donovan Mitchell UTA GSW G6
Trae Young ATL LAL G7
Klay Thompson GSW UTA G8
Terry Rozier BOS PHI G9
Kenrich Williams NOR ORL G10
Terrence Ross ORL NOR G11
Ricky Rubio UTA GSW G12
Kevin Huerter ATL LAL G13
Kent Bazemore ATL LAL G14
J.J. Redick PHI BOS G15
Rajon Rondo LAL ATL G16
Marcus Smart BOS PHI G17
D.J. Augustin ORL NOR G18
Justin Holiday MEM SAS G19
Patty Mills SAS MEM G20

Forwards

LeBron James LAL ATL F1
Anthony Davis NOR ORL F2
Kevin Durant GSW UTA F3
John Collins ATL LAL F4
Julius Randle NOR ORL F5
Jimmy Butler PHI BOS F6
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS MEM F7
Aaron Gordon ORL NOR F8
Trae Young ATL LAL G7
Draymond Green GSW UTA F9
Brandon Ingram LAL ATL F10
Jayson Tatum BOS PHI F11
Kyle Kuzma LAL ATL F12
Rudy Gay SAS MEM F13
Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM SAS F14
Evan Fournier ORL NOR F15
Tobias Harris PHI BOS F16
Ivan Rabb MEM SAS F17
Jonathan Isaac ORL NOR F18
Taurean Prince ATL LAL F19
Marcus Morris BOS PHI F20

Centers

Joel Embiid PHI BOS C1
Nikola Vucevic ORL NOR C2
DeMarcus Cousins GSW UTA C3
Rudy Gobert UTA GSW C4
Al Horford BOS PHI C5
Dewayne Dedmon ATL LAL C6
JaVale McGee LAL ATL C7
Jonas Valanciunas MEM SAS C8

Unadjusted Overall Rankings

LeBron James LAL ATL F1
Anthony Davis NOR ORL F2
Joel Embiid PHI BOS C1
Nikola Vucevic ORL NOR C2
Kevin Durant GSW UTA F3
Jrue Holiday NOR ORL G1
Stephen Curry GSW UTA G2
DeMarcus Cousins GSW UTA C3
Ben Simmons PHI BOS G3
Rudy Gobert UTA GSW C4
John Collins ATL LAL F4
DeMar DeRozan SAS MEM G4
Mike Conley MEM SAS G5
Julius Randle NOR ORL F5
Donovan Mitchell UTA GSW G6
Jimmy Butler PHI BOS F6
LaMarcus Aldridge SAS MEM F7
Aaron Gordon ORL NOR F8
Trae Young ATL LAL G7
Klay Thompson GSW UTA G8
Al Horford BOS PHI C5
Draymond Green GSW UTA F9
Terry Rozier BOS PHI G9
Dewayne Dedmon ATL LAL C6
Kenrich Williams NOR ORL G10
Brandon Ingram LAL ATL F10
Jayson Tatum BOS PHI F11
JaVale McGee LAL ATL C7
Kyle Kuzma LAL ATL F12
Rudy Gay SAS MEM F13
Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM SAS F14
Evan Fournier ORL NOR F15
Tobias Harris PHI BOS F16
Ivan Rabb MEM SAS F17
Terrence Ross ORL NOR G11
Ricky Rubio UTA GSW G12
Kevin Huerter ATL LAL G13
Kent Bazemore ATL LAL G14
Jonas Valanciunas MEM SAS C8
Jonathan Isaac ORL NOR F18
Taurean Prince ATL LAL F19
Marcus Morris BOS PHI F20
J.J. Redick PHI BOS G15
Rajon Rondo LAL ATL G16
Marcus Smart BOS PHI G17
D.J. Augustin ORL NOR G18
Justin Holiday MEM SAS G19
Patty Mills SAS MEM G20

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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