DRAFT NBA Value Watch: Tuesday, October 16th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments), and six-man drafts on DRAFT. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Tuesday, October 16th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our MLB content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the NBA slate with tier rankings for head-to-head, three-man, four-man (tournaments) and six man drafts. I’ll also provide a brief slate analysis as to how to attack drafts for the slate.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT NBA Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one center, two forwards, and two guards. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One note about my rankings. They are typically made based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NBA First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Away Total Home Total Game Time (ET)
Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics BOS -5.0 208.5 101.8 106.8 8:00 PM
Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors GS -11.0 224.0 106.5 117.5 10:30 PM

Pace of Play

Team Opponent Spread Implied Total Team Pace Opp. Pace Proj. Pace Pace +/-
Golden State Warriors Oklahoma City -11.0 117.5 101.8 99.2 101.4 -0.4
Boston Celtics Philadelphia -5.0 106.8 98.2 102.2 100.8 2.6
Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State + 11.0 106.5 99.2 101.8 101.4 2.2
Philadelphia 76ers Boston + 5.0 101.8 102.2 98.2 100.8 -1.4

Matchup Cheatsheet

Note: The DvP and efficiency rankings are for the opponent of the team listed in the first column.

Offense Opponent Total – DVP Total – EFF PG – DVP PG – EFF SG – DVP SG – EFF SF – DVP SF – EFF PF – DVP PF – EFF C – DVP C – EFF
Golden State Warriors Oklahoma City 9 11 7 11 24 22 7 15 10 13 3 2
Boston Celtics Philadelphia 13 4 12 4 15 17 21 8 9 6 7 6
Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State 16 6 13 9 21 15 6 5 28 4 5 15
Philadelphia 76ers Boston 3 2 1 3 1 2 26 16 5 17 2 2

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About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix


  • bobniewski

    Horford is listed as a PF

  • thehazyone

    RG Contributor

    • Blogger of the Month

    Sorry about that. Projection sources has him listed as C. I forgot to check matching with DRAFT. Out of practice. Will get it right moving forward (assuming my senile old ass doesn’t forget again).

  • bobniewski

    No worries. Thanks for the quick update!

  • arobinson11

    noel and bell are both pfs too, c is 2 deep basically

  • thehazyone

    RG Contributor

    • Blogger of the Month

    Yea sorry about that. I’ll give it a closer look tomorrow. Definitely bumps up both centers in terms of where you should draft them. I’d probably take Embiid second and you can make an argument he’s worth the top pick due to scarcity.

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