DRAFT NFL Value Watch: Divisional Round

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers the various drafts on DRAFT ranging from head-to-head to 10 person drafts. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Divisional Round

Welcome to the DRAFT NFL Value Watch!

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play. DRAFT scoring is fairly standard football scoring with 1/2 point per reception. You can view the scoring rule by clicking on this link – Draft NFL Scoring. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One note about my rankings. They are typically made based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each week I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NFL First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Date Time Stadium
Colts at Chiefs KC -5.0 57.0 Saturday 4:35 PM Arrowhead Stadium
Cowboys at Rams LAR -7.0 49.5 Saturday 8:15 PM Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Chargers at Patriots NE -4.5 47.0 Sunday 1:05 PM Gillette Stadium
Eagles at Saints NO -8.0 50.5 Sunday 4:40 PM Mercedes-Benz Superdome

I usually like to move all the QBs back some as the position is deep enough to justify it, but Patrick Mahomes is on enough of another level to warrant the top overall pick in all formats this week. After him, are two names you’d expect at the top in Todd Gurley and Ezekiel Elliott and those two are followed by Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, and Tyreek Hill.

Here are this week’s rankings – some RB’s were moved up at the back end to account for some weakness at the position.

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

Patrick Mahomes KCC IND QB1
Todd Gurley LAR DAL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL LAR RB2
Michael Thomas NOS PHI REC1
Alvin Kamara NOS PHI RB3
Tyreek Hill KCC IND REC2
Travis Kelce KCC IND REC3
Melvin Gordon LAC NEP RB4
T.Y. Hilton IND KCC REC4
Andrew Luck IND KCC QB2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

Patrick Mahomes KCC IND QB1
Todd Gurley LAR DAL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL LAR RB2
Michael Thomas NOS PHI REC1
Alvin Kamara NOS PHI RB3
Tyreek Hill KCC IND REC2
Melvin Gordon LAC NEP RB4
Travis Kelce KCC IND REC3
T.Y. Hilton IND KCC REC4
Julian Edelman NEP LAC REC5
Marlon Mack IND KCC RB5
Keenan Allen LAC NEP REC6
Sony Michel NEP LAC RB6
Andrew Luck IND KCC QB2
Drew Brees NOS PHI QB3

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

Patrick Mahomes KCC IND QB1
Todd Gurley LAR DAL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL LAR RB2
Michael Thomas NOS PHI REC1
Alvin Kamara NOS PHI RB3
Tyreek Hill KCC IND REC2
Melvin Gordon LAC NEP RB4
Travis Kelce KCC IND REC3
T.Y. Hilton IND KCC REC4
Julian Edelman NEP LAC REC5
Keenan Allen LAC NEP REC6
Marlon Mack IND KCC RB5
Amari Cooper DAL LAR REC7
Sony Michel NEP LAC RB6
James White NEP LAC RB7
Andrew Luck IND KCC QB2
Drew Brees NOS PHI QB3
Robert Woods LAR DAL REC8
Mark Ingram NOS PHI RB8
Jared Goff LAR DAL QB4

Five-Person Rankings

Twenty-five players to be drafted.

Patrick Mahomes KCC IND QB1
Todd Gurley LAR DAL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL LAR RB2
Michael Thomas NOS PHI REC1
Alvin Kamara NOS PHI RB3
Tyreek Hill KCC IND REC2
Melvin Gordon LAC NEP RB4
Travis Kelce KCC IND REC3
T.Y. Hilton IND KCC REC4
Julian Edelman NEP LAC REC5
Keenan Allen LAC NEP REC6
Marlon Mack IND KCC RB5
Amari Cooper DAL LAR REC7
Robert Woods LAR DAL REC8
Sony Michel NEP LAC RB6
James White NEP LAC RB7
Andrew Luck IND KCC QB2
Drew Brees NOS PHI QB3
Alshon Jeffery PHI NOS REC9
Mark Ingram NOS PHI RB8
Spencer Ware KCC IND RB9
Zach Ertz PHI NOS REC10
Darren Sproles PHI NOS RB10
Jared Goff LAR DAL QB4
Dak Prescott DAL LAR QB5
Tom Brady NEP LAC QB6

Overall Positional Rankings

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes KCC IND QB1
Andrew Luck IND KCC QB2
Drew Brees NOS PHI QB3
Jared Goff LAR DAL QB4
Dak Prescott DAL LAR QB5
Tom Brady NEP LAC QB6
Philip Rivers LAC NEP QB7
Nick Foles PHI NOS QB8

Running Backs

Todd Gurley LAR DAL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL LAR RB2
Alvin Kamara NOS PHI RB3
Melvin Gordon LAC NEP RB4
Marlon Mack IND KCC RB5
Sony Michel NEP LAC RB6
James White NEP LAC RB7
Mark Ingram NOS PHI RB8
Spencer Ware KCC IND RB9
Darren Sproles PHI NOS RB10
Damien Williams KCC IND RB11
Nyheim Hines IND KCC RB12
Austin Ekeler LAC NEP RB13
Wendell Smallwood PHI NOS RB14
Rex Burkhead NEP LAC RB15

Receivers

Michael Thomas NOS PHI REC1
Tyreek Hill KCC IND REC2
Travis Kelce KCC IND REC3
T.Y. Hilton IND KCC REC4
Julian Edelman NEP LAC REC5
Keenan Allen LAC NEP REC6
Amari Cooper DAL LAR REC7
Robert Woods LAR DAL REC8
Alshon Jeffery PHI NOS REC9
Zach Ertz PHI NOS REC10
Eric Ebron IND KCC REC11
Brandin Cooks LAR DAL REC12
Rob Gronkowski NEP LAC REC13
Josh Reynolds LAR DAL REC14
Michael Gallup DAL LAR REC15

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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