DRAFT NFL Value Watch: Week 14

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers the various drafts on DRAFT ranging from head-to-head to 10 person drafts. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Week 14

Welcome to the DRAFT NFL Value Watch!

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play. DRAFT scoring is fairly standard football scoring with 1/2 point per reception. You can view the scoring rule by clicking on this link – Draft NFL Scoring. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One note about my rankings. They are typically made based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each week I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NFL First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Date Time Stadium
Jaguars at Titans TEN -4.5 37.5 Thursday 8:20 PM Nissan Stadium
Falcons at Packers GB -6.0 47.5 Sunday 1:00 PM Lambeau Field
Ravens at Chiefs KC -7.0 53.0 Sunday 1:00 PM Arrowhead Stadium
Panthers at Browns CAR -1.0 47.0 Sunday 1:00 PM FirstEnergy Stadium
Colts at Texans HOU -4.5 49.5 Sunday 1:00 PM NRG Stadium
Rams at Bears LAR -3.5 51.0 Sunday 1:00 PM Soldier Field
Patriots at Dolphins NE -8.0 48.0 Sunday 1:00 PM Hard Rock Stadium
Saints at Buccaneers NO -8.0 57.5 Sunday 1:00 PM Raymond James Stadium
Giants at Redskins WAS -1.5 41.5 Sunday 1:00 PM FedExField
Jets at Bills BUF -3.5 38.0 Sunday 1:00 PM New Era Field
Bengals at Chargers LAC -14.0 47.0 Sunday 4:05 PM StubHub Center
Broncos at 49ers DEN -5.5 44.0 Sunday 4:05 PM Levi’s Stadium
Lions at Cardinals DET -2.5 41.0 Sunday 4:25 PM University of Phoenix Stadium
Eagles at Cowboys DAL -4.0 41.5 Sunday 4:25 PM AT&T Stadium
Steelers at Raiders PIT -11.5 52.0 Sunday 8:20 PM Oakland–Alameda County Coliseum
Vikings at Seahawks SEA -3.0 45.0 Monday 8:15 PM CenturyLink Field

We have a full slate of games this weekend with no byes on the schedule as the season starts the last quarter. At the top of the projections we have some stud RBs in Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley. The QBs as usual are all in the top 30 of the projections – as such I’ve bumped them down accordingly due to the depth, but still have Patrick Mahomes and Drew Brees slotted relatively high. The top receivers of the week are Michael Thomas against the Bucs, Antonio Brown against the Raiders, Davante Adams against the Falcons, and Julio Jones against the Packers – all great matchups so pick your poison there (and also a reason I prefer going RB first in the top eight picks) as the REC5 and REC6 is Keenan Allen and DeAndre Hopkins and I’d be fine going RB-WR with one of those two as my WR.

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR CLE RB1
Saquon Barkley NYG WAS RB2
Ezekiel Elliott DAL PHI RB3
Michael Thomas NO TB REC1
Antonio Brown PIT OAK REC2
Davante Adams GB ATL REC3
Todd Gurley LAR CHI RB4
Julio Jones ATL GB REC4
Patrick Mahomes KC BAL QB1
Drew Brees NO TB QB2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR CLE RB1
Saquon Barkley NYG WAS RB2
Ezekiel Elliott DAL PHI RB3
Todd Gurley LAR CHI RB4
Michael Thomas NO TB REC1
Antonio Brown PIT OAK REC2
Alvin Kamara NO TB RB5
Davante Adams GB ATL REC3
Julio Jones ATL GB REC4
Patrick Mahomes KC BAL QB1
Drew Brees NO TB QB2
Keenan Allen LAC CIN REC5
DeAndre Hopkins HOU IND REC6
Melvin Gordon LAC CIN RB6
Ben Roethlisberger PIT OAK QB3

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR CLE RB1
Saquon Barkley NYG WAS RB2
Ezekiel Elliott DAL PHI RB3
Todd Gurley LAR CHI RB4
Michael Thomas NO TB REC1
Antonio Brown PIT OAK REC2
Alvin Kamara NO TB RB5
Davante Adams GB ATL REC3
Julio Jones ATL GB REC4
Keenan Allen LAC CIN REC5
Patrick Mahomes KC BAL QB1
Drew Brees NO TB QB2
DeAndre Hopkins HOU IND REC6
Melvin Gordon LAC CIN RB6
Aaron Jones GB ATL RB7
David Johnson ARI DET RB8
Adam Thielen MIN SEA REC7
Tyreek Hill KC BAL REC8
Ben Roethlisberger PIT OAK QB3
Jameis Winston TB NO QB4

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR CLE RB1
Saquon Barkley NYG WAS RB2
Ezekiel Elliott DAL PHI RB3
Todd Gurley LAR CHI RB4
Michael Thomas NO TB REC1
Antonio Brown PIT OAK REC2
Alvin Kamara NO TB RB5
Davante Adams GB ATL REC3
Julio Jones ATL GB REC4
Keenan Allen LAC CIN REC5
DeAndre Hopkins HOU IND REC6
Melvin Gordon LAC CIN RB6
Aaron Jones GB ATL RB7
David Johnson ARI DET RB8
Adam Thielen MIN SEA REC7
Tyreek Hill KC BAL REC8
Odell Beckham NYG WAS REC9
Travis Kelce KC BAL REC10
Nick Chubb CLE CAR RB9
Leonard Fournette JAX TEN RB10
Phillip Lindsay DEN SF RB11
Patrick Mahomes KC BAL QB1
Drew Brees NO TB QB2
Ben Roethlisberger PIT OAK QB3
Jameis Winston TB NO QB4
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT OAK REC11
Mike Evans TB NO REC12
Joe Mixon CIN LAC RB12
Cam Newton CAR CLE QB5
Philip Rivers LAC CIN QB6

Eight-Person Rankings

Fourty players to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR CLE RB1
Saquon Barkley NYG WAS RB2
Ezekiel Elliott DAL PHI RB3
Todd Gurley LAR CHI RB4
Michael Thomas NO TB REC1
Antonio Brown PIT OAK REC2
Alvin Kamara NO TB RB5
Davante Adams GB ATL REC3
Julio Jones ATL GB REC4
Keenan Allen LAC CIN REC5
DeAndre Hopkins HOU IND REC6
Melvin Gordon LAC CIN RB6
Aaron Jones GB ATL RB7
David Johnson ARI DET RB8
Adam Thielen MIN SEA REC7
Tyreek Hill KC BAL REC8
Odell Beckham NYG WAS REC9
Travis Kelce KC BAL REC10
Nick Chubb CLE CAR RB9
Leonard Fournette JAX TEN RB10
Phillip Lindsay DEN SF RB11
Patrick Mahomes KC BAL QB1
Drew Brees NO TB QB2
Ben Roethlisberger PIT OAK QB3
Jameis Winston TB NO QB4
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT OAK REC11
Mike Evans TB NO REC12
T.Y. Hilton IND HOU REC13
Robert Woods LAR CHI REC14
Brandin Cooks LAR CHI REC15
Joe Mixon CIN LAC RB12
Tarik Cohen CHI LAR RB13
James White NE MIA RB14
Austin Ekeler LAC CIN RB15
Cam Newton CAR CLE QB5
Philip Rivers LAC CIN QB6
Stefon Diggs MIN SEA REC16
Spencer Ware KC BAL RB16
Aaron Rodgers GB ATL QB7
Jared Goff LAR CHI QB8

Ten-Person Rankings

Sixty players to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR CLE RB1
Saquon Barkley NYG WAS RB2
Ezekiel Elliott DAL PHI RB3
Todd Gurley LAR CHI RB4
Michael Thomas NO TB REC1
Antonio Brown PIT OAK REC2
Alvin Kamara NO TB RB5
Davante Adams GB ATL REC3
Julio Jones ATL GB REC4
Keenan Allen LAC CIN REC5
DeAndre Hopkins HOU IND REC6
Melvin Gordon LAC CIN RB6
Aaron Jones GB ATL RB7
David Johnson ARI DET RB8
Adam Thielen MIN SEA REC7
Tyreek Hill KC BAL REC8
Odell Beckham NYG WAS REC9
Travis Kelce KC BAL REC10
Nick Chubb CLE CAR RB9
Leonard Fournette JAX TEN RB10
Phillip Lindsay DEN SF RB11
Patrick Mahomes KC BAL QB1
Drew Brees NO TB QB2
Ben Roethlisberger PIT OAK QB3
Jameis Winston TB NO QB4
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT OAK REC11
Mike Evans TB NO REC12
T.Y. Hilton IND HOU REC13
Robert Woods LAR CHI REC14
Brandin Cooks LAR CHI REC15
Joe Mixon CIN LAC RB12
Tarik Cohen CHI LAR RB13
James White NE MIA RB14
Austin Ekeler LAC CIN RB15
Cam Newton CAR CLE QB5
Philip Rivers LAC CIN QB6
Stefon Diggs MIN SEA REC16
Zach Ertz PHI DAL REC17
Kenny Golladay DET ARI REC18
Spencer Ware KC BAL RB16
Lamar Miller HOU IND RB17
Amari Cooper DAL PHI REC19
Dalvin Cook MIN SEA RB18
Jaylen Samuels PIT OAK RB19
Julian Edelman NE MIA REC20
Mark Ingram NO TB RB20
Aaron Rodgers GB ATL QB7
Jared Goff LAR CHI QB8
Andrew Luck IND HOU QB9
Deshaun Watson HOU IND QB10

Overall Positional Rankings

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes KC BAL QB1
Drew Brees NO TB QB2
Ben Roethlisberger PIT OAK QB3
Jameis Winston TB NO QB4
Cam Newton CAR CLE QB5
Philip Rivers LAC CIN QB6
Aaron Rodgers GB ATL QB7
Jared Goff LAR CHI QB8
Andrew Luck IND HOU QB9
Deshaun Watson HOU IND QB10
Mitchell Trubisky CHI LAR QB11
Matt Ryan ATL GB QB12
Lamar Jackson BAL KC QB13
Tom Brady NE MIA QB14
Russell Wilson SEA MIN QB15

Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey CAR CLE RB1
Saquon Barkley NYG WAS RB2
Ezekiel Elliott DAL PHI RB3
Todd Gurley LAR CHI RB4
Alvin Kamara NO TB RB5
Melvin Gordon LAC CIN RB6
Aaron Jones GB ATL RB7
David Johnson ARI DET RB8
Nick Chubb CLE CAR RB9
Leonard Fournette JAX TEN RB10
Phillip Lindsay DEN SF RB11
Joe Mixon CIN LAC RB12
Tarik Cohen CHI LAR RB13
James White NE MIA RB14
Austin Ekeler LAC CIN RB15
Spencer Ware KC BAL RB16
Lamar Miller HOU IND RB17
Dalvin Cook MIN SEA RB18
Jaylen Samuels PIT OAK RB19
Mark Ingram NO TB RB20
Jeff Wilson SF DEN RB21
Sony Michel NE MIA RB22
Marlon Mack IND HOU RB23
Kenyan Drake MIA NE RB24
LeSean McCoy BUF NYJ RB25

Receivers

Michael Thomas NO TB REC1
Antonio Brown PIT OAK REC2
Davante Adams GB ATL REC3
Julio Jones ATL GB REC4
Keenan Allen LAC CIN REC5
DeAndre Hopkins HOU IND REC6
Adam Thielen MIN SEA REC7
Tyreek Hill KC BAL REC8
Odell Beckham NYG WAS REC9
Travis Kelce KC BAL REC10
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT OAK REC11
Mike Evans TB NO REC12
T.Y. Hilton IND HOU REC13
Robert Woods LAR CHI REC14
Brandin Cooks LAR CHI REC15
Stefon Diggs MIN SEA REC16
Zach Ertz PHI DAL REC17
Kenny Golladay DET ARI REC18
Amari Cooper DAL PHI REC19
Julian Edelman NE MIA REC20
Eric Ebron IND HOU REC21
Tyler Boyd CIN LAC REC22
George Kittle SF DEN REC23
Jarvis Landry CLE CAR REC24
Larry Fitzgerald ARI DET REC25

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

Comments

  • X Unread Thread
  • X Thread with New Replies*
  • *Jumps to your first unread reply

New to DFS?

Be sure to click through our links and use our exclusive promo codes to receive the industry's best sign-up bonuses, including free access to our premium content.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Disclosures: All RotoGrinders content contributors are active DFS players. Contributor screen names can be found on their respective RotoGrinders profile pages. Contributors reserve the right to use players or strategies not discussed in their content on RotoGrinders.