DRAFT NFL Value Watch: Week 16

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers the various drafts on DRAFT ranging from head-to-head to 10 person drafts. Included will be strategy discussion and options for the day’s slate.

Week 16

Welcome to the DRAFT NFL Value Watch!

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play. DRAFT scoring is fairly standard football scoring with 1/2 point per reception. You can view the scoring rule by clicking on this link – Draft NFL Scoring. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One note about my rankings. They are typically made based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each week I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the NFL First Look from Notorious.

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Date Time Stadium
Redskins at Titans TEN -10.0 37.0 Saturday 4:30 PM Nissan Stadium
Ravens at Chargers LAC -4.5 45.0 Saturday 8:20 PM StubHub Center
Falcons at Panthers TBD TBD Sunday 1:00 PM Bank of America Stadium
Bills at Patriots NE -12.0 45.0 Sunday 1:00 PM Gillette Stadium
Bengals at Browns CLE -6.5 45.5 Sunday 1:00 PM FirstEnergy Stadium
Packers at Jets NYJ -1.5 44.0 Sunday 1:00 PM MetLife Stadium
Texans at Eagles PICK 0.0 45.0 Sunday 1:00 PM Lincoln Financial Field
Jaguars at Dolphins MIA -5.0 39.5 Sunday 1:00 PM Hard Rock Stadium
Vikings at Lions MIN -5.5 43.5 Sunday 1:00 PM Ford Field
Giants at Colts IND -9.0 46.5 Sunday 1:00 PM Lucas Oil Stadium
Buccaneers at Cowboys DAL -7.0 46.0 Sunday 1:00 PM AT&T Stadium
Bears at 49ers CHI -3.5 42.5 Sunday 4:05 PM Levi’s Stadium
Rams at Cardinals LAR -13.5 47.5 Sunday 4:05 PM University of Phoenix Stadium
Steelers at Saints TBD TBD Sunday 4:25 PM Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Chiefs at Seahawks KC -2.5 53.0 Sunday 8:20 PM CenturyLink Field
Broncos at Raiders DEN -2.5 44.5 Monday 8:15 PM Oakland–Alameda County Coliseum

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR ATL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL TBB RB2
Todd Gurley LAR ARI RB3
Davante Adams GBP NYJ REC1
Julio Jones ATL CAR REC2
DeAndre Hopkins HOU PHI REC3
Saquon Barkley NYG IND RB4
Adam Thielen MIN DET REC4
Patrick Mahomes KCC SEA QB1
Drew Brees NOS PIT QB2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR ATL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL TBB RB2
Todd Gurley LAR ARI RB3
Saquon Barkley NYG IND RB4
Davante Adams GBP NYJ REC1
Julio Jones ATL CAR REC2
DeAndre Hopkins HOU PHI REC3
Joe Mixon CIN CLE RB5
Adam Thielen MIN DET REC4
Antonio Brown PIT NOS REC5
Phillip Lindsay DEN OAK RB6
Tyreek Hill KCC SEA REC6
Patrick Mahomes KCC SEA QB1
Drew Brees NOS PIT QB2
Andrew Luck IND NYG QB3

Four-Person Rankings

Twenty players total to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR ATL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL TBB RB2
Todd Gurley LAR ARI RB3
Saquon Barkley NYG IND RB4
Davante Adams GBP NYJ REC1
Julio Jones ATL CAR REC2
DeAndre Hopkins HOU PHI REC3
Joe Mixon CIN CLE RB5
Phillip Lindsay DEN OAK RB6
Alvin Kamara NOS PIT RB7
Adam Thielen MIN DET REC4
Antonio Brown PIT NOS REC5
Tyreek Hill KCC SEA REC6
Michael Thomas NOS PIT REC7
Nick Chubb CLE CIN RB8
T.Y. Hilton IND NYG REC8
Patrick Mahomes KCC SEA QB1
Drew Brees NOS PIT QB2
Andrew Luck IND NYG QB3
Mitchell Trubisky CHI SFO QB4

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR ATL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL TBB RB2
Todd Gurley LAR ARI RB3
Saquon Barkley NYG IND RB4
Davante Adams GBP NYJ REC1
Julio Jones ATL CAR REC2
DeAndre Hopkins HOU PHI REC3
Joe Mixon CIN CLE RB5
Phillip Lindsay DEN OAK RB6
Alvin Kamara NOS PIT RB7
Adam Thielen MIN DET REC4
Antonio Brown PIT NOS REC5
Nick Chubb CLE CIN RB8
Melvin Gordon LAC BAL RB9
Tyreek Hill KCC SEA REC6
Michael Thomas NOS PIT REC7
James Conner PIT NOS RB10
Dalvin Cook MIN DET RB11
Patrick Mahomes KCC SEA QB1
Drew Brees NOS PIT QB2
Andrew Luck IND NYG QB3
T.Y. Hilton IND NYG REC8
Travis Kelce KCC SEA REC9
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT NOS REC10
David Johnson ARI LAR RB12
Robert Woods LAR ARI REC11
Amari Cooper DAL TBB REC12
Mitchell Trubisky CHI SFO QB4
Ben Roethlisberger PIT NOS QB5
Kirk Cousins MIN DET QB6

Eight-Person Rankings

Fourty players to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR ATL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL TBB RB2
Todd Gurley LAR ARI RB3
Saquon Barkley NYG IND RB4
Davante Adams GBP NYJ REC1
Julio Jones ATL CAR REC2
DeAndre Hopkins HOU PHI REC3
Joe Mixon CIN CLE RB5
Phillip Lindsay DEN OAK RB6
Alvin Kamara NOS PIT RB7
Nick Chubb CLE CIN RB8
Melvin Gordon LAC BAL RB9
Adam Thielen MIN DET REC4
James Conner PIT NOS RB10
Antonio Brown PIT NOS REC5
Dalvin Cook MIN DET RB11
Tyreek Hill KCC SEA REC6
Michael Thomas NOS PIT REC7
T.Y. Hilton IND NYG REC8
Travis Kelce KCC SEA REC9
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT NOS REC10
Patrick Mahomes KCC SEA QB1
Drew Brees NOS PIT QB2
Andrew Luck IND NYG QB3
David Johnson ARI LAR RB12
Robert Woods LAR ARI REC11
Amari Cooper DAL TBB REC12
Chris Carson SEA KCC RB13
Jamaal Williams GBP NYJ RB14
Brandin Cooks LAR ARI REC13
Stefon Diggs MIN DET REC14
Julian Edelman NEP BUF REC15
Tevin Coleman ATL CAR RB15
Mike Evans TBB DAL REC16
Leonard Fournette JAC MIA RB16
Mitchell Trubisky CHI SFO QB4
Ben Roethlisberger PIT NOS QB5
Kirk Cousins MIN DET QB6
Jared Goff LAR ARI QB7
Dak Prescott DAL TBB QB8

Ten-Person Rankings

Sixty players to be drafted.

Christian McCaffrey CAR ATL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL TBB RB2
Todd Gurley LAR ARI RB3
Saquon Barkley NYG IND RB4
Davante Adams GBP NYJ REC1
Julio Jones ATL CAR REC2
DeAndre Hopkins HOU PHI REC3
Joe Mixon CIN CLE RB5
Phillip Lindsay DEN OAK RB6
Alvin Kamara NOS PIT RB7
Nick Chubb CLE CIN RB8
Melvin Gordon LAC BAL RB9
Adam Thielen MIN DET REC4
James Conner PIT NOS RB10
Antonio Brown PIT NOS REC5
Dalvin Cook MIN DET RB11
Tyreek Hill KCC SEA REC6
Michael Thomas NOS PIT REC7
T.Y. Hilton IND NYG REC8
Travis Kelce KCC SEA REC9
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT NOS REC10
Patrick Mahomes KCC SEA QB1
Drew Brees NOS PIT QB2
Andrew Luck IND NYG QB3
David Johnson ARI LAR RB12
Robert Woods LAR ARI REC11
Amari Cooper DAL TBB REC12
Chris Carson SEA KCC RB13
Jamaal Williams GBP NYJ RB14
Brandin Cooks LAR ARI REC13
Stefon Diggs MIN DET REC14
Julian Edelman NEP BUF REC15
Tevin Coleman ATL CAR RB15
Mike Evans TBB DAL REC16
Leonard Fournette JAC MIA RB16
Keenan Allen LAC BAL REC17
Zach Ertz PHI HOU REC18
Elijah McGuire NYJ GBP RB17
Marlon Mack IND NYG RB18
Spencer Ware KCC SEA RB19
Jarvis Landry CLE CIN REC19
Eric Ebron IND NYG REC20
Tarik Cohen CHI SFO RB20
Mitchell Trubisky CHI SFO QB4
Ben Roethlisberger PIT NOS QB5
Kirk Cousins MIN DET QB6
Jared Goff LAR ARI QB7
Dak Prescott DAL TBB QB8
Lamar Jackson BAL LAC QB9
Aaron Rodgers GBP NYJ QB10

Overall Positional Rankings

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes KCC SEA QB1
Drew Brees NOS PIT QB2
Andrew Luck IND NYG QB3
Mitchell Trubisky CHI SFO QB4
Ben Roethlisberger PIT NOS QB5
Kirk Cousins MIN DET QB6
Jared Goff LAR ARI QB7
Dak Prescott DAL TBB QB8
Lamar Jackson BAL LAC QB9
Aaron Rodgers GBP NYJ QB10
Deshaun Watson HOU PHI QB11
Russell Wilson SEA KCC QB12
Jameis Winston TBB DAL QB13
Baker Mayfield CLE CIN QB14
Matt Ryan ATL CAR QB15

Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey CAR ATL RB1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL TBB RB2
Todd Gurley LAR ARI RB3
Saquon Barkley NYG IND RB4
Joe Mixon CIN CLE RB5
Phillip Lindsay DEN OAK RB6
Alvin Kamara NOS PIT RB7
Nick Chubb CLE CIN RB8
Melvin Gordon LAC BAL RB9
James Conner PIT NOS RB10
Dalvin Cook MIN DET RB11
David Johnson ARI LAR RB12
Chris Carson SEA KCC RB13
Jamaal Williams GBP NYJ RB14
Tevin Coleman ATL CAR RB15
Leonard Fournette JAC MIA RB16
Elijah McGuire NYJ GBP RB17
Marlon Mack IND NYG RB18
Spencer Ware KCC SEA RB19
Tarik Cohen CHI SFO RB20
Doug Martin OAK DEN RB21
Matt Breida SFO CHI RB22
Derrick Henry TEN WAS RB23
Jordan Howard CHI SFO RB24
Lamar Miller HOU PHI RB25

Receivers

Davante Adams GBP NYJ REC1
Julio Jones ATL CAR REC2
DeAndre Hopkins HOU PHI REC3
Adam Thielen MIN DET REC4
Antonio Brown PIT NOS REC5
Tyreek Hill KCC SEA REC6
Michael Thomas NOS PIT REC7
T.Y. Hilton IND NYG REC8
Travis Kelce KCC SEA REC9
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT NOS REC10
Robert Woods LAR ARI REC11
Amari Cooper DAL TBB REC12
Brandin Cooks LAR ARI REC13
Stefon Diggs MIN DET REC14
Julian Edelman NEP BUF REC15
Mike Evans TBB DAL REC16
Keenan Allen LAC BAL REC17
Zach Ertz PHI HOU REC18
Jarvis Landry CLE CIN REC19
Eric Ebron IND NYG REC20
Odell Beckham NYG IND REC21
George Kittle SFO CHI REC22
Kenny Golladay DET MIN REC23
Courtland Sutton DEN OAK REC24
Rob Gronkowski NEP BUF REC25

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

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