DRAFT PGA Value Watch: Charles Schwab Challenge
Each week, Justin Van Zuiden will list the players he is overweight (heavier exposure than the field) and underweight (lower exposure than the field) on. Dominate your DRAFT drafts with this cheat sheet from one of the best in daily fantasy sports!
Charles Schwab Challenge
Golfers I Am Overweight On
Justin Rose – While you can debate his merit on the salary cap sites at his elevated price tag this week, there is no doubt that Rose has to be considered among the favorites to win. He won this tournament last year in his first appearance at Colonial in eight years, and the course is a perfect fit for his game. If you get the first pick on DRAFT this week, or if he falls to you later in the first round, he should be the priority pick.
Tony Finau – Should you get a later pick in the first round, Finau is a fine, safe selection. Finau hasn’t popped for top tens as often in 2019 as we would like to see for a player of his caliber, but his play has still been solid on the whole with just one missed cut in 14 starts. He has played at Colonial three times since joining the PGA Tour, and he has finished inside the top 35 every time. Despite his up and down year, he still ranks 44th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained on approach, and this could be a spot where we can get him at a later pick than usual.
Emiliano Grillo – When you factor in the fact that he should be available in the middle rounds, Grillo is definitely one of my favorite options this week. He absolutely loves this golf course, and his finishes have gotten better each of the three times he has teed it up here (55th, 24th, 3rd). He ranks 11th on Tour in strokes gained on approach, and it all comes down to whether or not he can hold his own with the flat stick. Despite his up and down season, he still has just one missed cut in 14 starts, and his results are trending in the right direction. The tee to green ability has never been in doubt with Grillo, and the form is trending positively. There’s winning upside here. I’m on board in all DRAFT styles.
Scott Piercy – His DRAFT projection is on the low end this week, and the recent results are positive for Piercy. He ranks 13th on Tour in ball striking, making him a great fit for Colonial, and he’s been in spectacular form over the last month. Give him a peek in the third or fourth round.
Jim Furyk – Here’s your undervalued DRAFT golfer of the week. If distance off the tee doesn’t matter and approach play is the name of the game, Jim Furyk has to enter the conversation. The good news is that his price is massively depressed right now, as we were paying far more than this for him about two months ago. He has missed his last two cuts, but he was on a run of four straight top 25’s before that, and Bethpage Black was just a nightmare setup for his game. I’m not holding that one against him at all. Furyk still ranks 13th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained on approach this year, he leads the Tour in driving accuracy, and he has plenty of experience on this golf course. I like him as a sneaky top 15 contender in this event, and you can get him in the later rounds on DRAFT.
Golfers I Am Underweight On
Xander Schauffele – He often gets up for big events, but Schauffele’s form at Colonial is not great, with a 48th place finish and a missed cut in two trips. He will require a first round pick in the DRAFT format, and that seems a bit steep for me in a field that has some big names at the top. I’ll let someone else spend the early selection on him.
Jordan Spieth – I know I sound like a curmudgeon, but let’s not get carried away after one good finish. The facts show that Spieth gained almost ELEVEN strokes putting at the PGA Championship. If his putting would have simply been at field average (not below field average), he would have finished outside the top 50. His off the tee game is still quite wayward, and that spells trouble at Colonial. Yes, the course history is solid here, but I’m not investing the premium pick in him just yet.
Zach Johnson – The fit for Colonial is fine, but Zach Johnson hasn’t been in the best of form this year. In addition, his DRAFT projection is too high, and he has finished 63rd-MC here over the last two years. Meh.
Louis Oosthuizen – He seems like a great value given his DRAFT projection, but I worry about Oosthuizen with his withdrawal risk in the week following a major. He ranks a meager 150th on Tour in strokes gained on approach this year. He is an easy fade for me on the salary cap sites, and I will be underweight on DRAFT as well.
Jhonattan Vegas – Vegas was oddly a chalky option last week at the PGA Championship, and he cratered with an awful missed cut. He has gone MC-MC-73rd here over the last three editions of this event, and that form is too poor for me to take him in the DRAFT format, where it’s simply not necessary to dig that deep despite his elevated projection.
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