DRAFT PGA Value Watch: Rocket Mortgage Classic
Each week, Justin Van Zuiden will list the players he is overweight (heavier exposure than the field) and underweight (lower exposure than the field) on. Dominate your DRAFT drafts with this cheat sheet from one of the best in daily fantasy sports!
Rocket Mortgage Classic
Golfers I Am Overweight On
Dustin Johnson / Hideki Matsuyama – I have these two ranked as the top two options in the field with Rickie Fowler struggling and Gary Woodland coming off the high of a major tournament win. I’ll hope to get a top pick in the first round this week in order to snag one of the two, who DRAFT have listed as the #1 and #3 projected options in the field. Both DJ and Matsuyama grade out well here with their ball striking ability and par five scoring.
Jason Kokrak – His missed cut last week was his first of the year, and it was almost certainly an outlier with Kokrak losing SIX strokes putting in the first round. His ball striking and other relevant metrics are still rock solid, and this might be a nice spot to buy low with others cooling on him after last week’s disaster.
Joaquin Niemann – I will definitely be overweight on him this week. His putter came around last week during the final three rounds at the Travelers, and he is quietly riding a streak of four straight top 35 finishes. He should be full of confidence, especially given the improved putting, and he has the talent to win — especially in a weak field event like this one. His statistics are still lagging just a bit for the year (particularly in the par five scoring), but this is one golfer where I’ll put immense priority on the recent improvement. Confidence is a big thing with him.
Rory Sabbatini – Everyone keeps waiting for Sabbatini to slow down, but he simply hasn’t put the brakes on at all. I was surprised that his tee-to-green statistics were as poor as they were given his 2019 results, but they still grade out nicely in this field. He has not missed a cut since February, with 11 straight top 45 finishes on his resume. That kind of form is noteworthy for a golfer who used to be known for inconsistency. He’s a solid mid round value on DRAFT.
Sungjae Im – DRAFT has him buried near the bottom of the board this week, and this is a great spot to snag him as a final round pick. He had a predictable “rookie slump” back a few months ago, but that appears to be a thing of the past now. He has finished 7th and 21st in his last two starts, and there’s not a major weakness in his game. Climb aboard with confidence, especially at this discounted slot.
Golfers I Am Underweight On
Gary Woodland – This is largely subjective, but can we really expect Woodland to be fired up to play in a weak field event in Detroit two weeks after winning his first major? We see this kind of letdown all the time (Brooks Koepka is guilty of it), and I just don’t expect Woodland to be clicking on all cylinders here. I prefer other options with my first round pick.
Bubba Watson – The requested pick premium is just too much. Watson has scuffled throughout virtually all of 2019, with nothing inside the top 50 in his last four starts. You could take a chance on him on salary cap sites where he is discounted, but I am not interested on DRAFT.
Keith Mitchell – I am generally a big fan of Mitchell, but I will pump the brakes on DRAFT with the site having him listed as a top 10 option. That’s far too high for a golfer who doesn’t have the ideal fit for this course, especially since his form has trailed off a bit in recent months. Wait for a better spot.
Cameron Smith – He never grades out all that well statistically, and his last three starts have resulted in MC-72nd-MC. That’s poor form combined with an underwhelming overall profile, and there’s no need to spend a mid-round pick here.
Chesson Hadley – The DRAFT projections will have him on the value radar again this week, and I’ll recommend the fade for the second straight week with Hadley. It worked a week ago with his missed cut after his top ten at the U.S. Open, and remember that he has missed more cuts than he has made this year. He ranks just 144th in ball striking this year. Pass.
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