DraftKings + FanDuel PGA DFS Salary & Projection Analysis: WGC St. Jude Invitational
This is the first week since the restart that we haven’t seen a Millionaire Maker on DraftKings. This is likely due to a number of reasons. First off, this is a WGC event with a limited field and no cut. Additionally, MLB is back in full swing and has the attention of many DFS players. And finally, we have a major next week that everyone is gearing up for. DraftKings is running the Southwind Special that awards $500,000 to first with a buy-in of only $25. They also have the $5 Drive the Green, the $200 single-entry Driver, and the $555 multi-entry Signature Hole. FanDuel has upped their contests a little from last week with $50,000 first place offerings in the $15 Eagle and the $555 Monster.
- Build DFS Lineups Like a Pro!
- Access to Content and LineupHQ
- MMA, KBO, Soccer and PGA
We have seen nothing but carnage since the restart, so a WGC event should be a nice change of pace. Barring a withdrawal (which is certainly possible given some of the names in the field and the fact that there is a major next week), all golfers are guaranteed to play four rounds. TPC Southwind is a Par 70 that stretches just over 7,200 yards. There are more balls hit in the water here than at any other course on the PGA Tour, so precision off the tee and on approach is critical. From a statistical standpoint, the fairways and greens have both been difficult to hit here over the years. This places a bigger emphasis on strokes gained around the green because there will naturally be more scrambling opportunities. If you like putting splits, TPC Southwind now has bermuda greens.
We not only have the best tools in the industry, but have an incredibly talented team of PGA experts. Here is a rundown of what premium members will have access to for the WGC St. Jude Invitational:
- Drive for Show, DFS for Dough show on playback
- Consensus Value Rankings
- Expert Survey
- Ownership Projections
- Core, GPP, Value, and Conviction Plays
- Noto’s model breakdown video
- Noto’s PGA golf betting tips (+57 units on the season)
- Noto’s showdown article and projections for rounds two, three, and four
- Full course breakdown with stats
- Full access to LineupHQ, player tags, and projections
- Weekly Lineup Building show with ToeTagginTambo
- Weekly Lineup Review show with ToeTagginTambo
- Sunday showdown video with ToeTagginTambo
DraftKings and FanDuel WGC St. Jude Invitational Salary Analysis Table
In the table below, you will find Vegas odds, salaries, percentage salary cap columns, and odds percentage columns. The “DK & FD Cap %” columns show how much of the respective salary on each site each golfer costs. The “DK – FD %” column shows how much cheaper a golfer is on DraftKings compared to FanDuel. The “DK & FD Odds” columns take each golfer’s salary rank and compare it to their odds rank. The higher the percentage, the more value they provide on that specific site (relative to their outright odds).
| Golfer | Odds | DK | FD | DK Cap % | FD Cap % | DK – FD % | DK Odds | FD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Rahm | 10 | $11,400 | $12,000 | 22.8% | 20.0% | 2.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Rory McIlroy | 11 | $11,200 | $11,900 | 22.4% | 19.8% | 2.6% | -50% | -50% |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 12 | $11,000 | $11,600 | 22.0% | 19.3% | 2.7% | 0% | 25% |
| Justin Thomas | 11 | $10,700 | $11,700 | 21.4% | 19.5% | 1.9% | 50% | 33% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 18 | $10,100 | $11,400 | 20.2% | 19.0% | 1.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Webb Simpson | 20 | $9,900 | $11,100 | 19.8% | 18.5% | 1.3% | -17% | 0% |
| Xander Schauffele | 18 | $9,800 | $11,200 | 19.6% | 18.7% | 0.9% | 14% | 0% |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 25 | $9,700 | $10,800 | 19.4% | 18.0% | 1.4% | 13% | 22% |
| Daniel Berger | 26 | $9,600 | $10,500 | 19.2% | 17.5% | 1.7% | -11% | 17% |
| Collin Morikawa | 26 | $9,500 | $10,900 | 19.0% | 18.2% | 0.8% | 0% | -25% |
| Viktor Hovland | 27 | $9,400 | $10,600 | 18.8% | 17.7% | 1.1% | -27% | -27% |
| Dustin Johnson | 30 | $9,300 | $10,300 | 18.6% | 17.2% | 1.4% | 17% | 29% |
| Brooks Koepka | 28 | $9,200 | $10,700 | 18.4% | 17.8% | 0.6% | -15% | -50% |
| Tony Finau | 32 | $9,100 | $10,100 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 1.4% | -7% | 6% |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 29 | $9,000 | $10,200 | 18.0% | 17.0% | 1.0% | 40% | 40% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 29 | $8,900 | $10,400 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 0.5% | 38% | 23% |
| Patrick Reed | 33 | $8,800 | $10,000 | 17.6% | 16.7% | 0.9% | 12% | 12% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 33 | $8,700 | $9,900 | 17.4% | 16.5% | 0.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Gary Woodland | 42 | $8,600 | $9,700 | 17.2% | 16.2% | 1.0% | 0% | 5% |
| Billy Horschel | 43 | $8,500 | $9,500 | 17.0% | 15.8% | 1.2% | -10% | 0% |
| Abraham Ancer | 47 | $8,400 | $9,300 | 16.8% | 15.5% | 1.3% | 10% | 21% |
| Rickie Fowler | 47 | $8,300 | $9,600 | 16.6% | 16.0% | 0.6% | -5% | -10% |
| Jason Day | 39 | $8,200 | $9,800 | 16.4% | 16.3% | 0.1% | 17% | 0% |
| Jordan Spieth | 49 | $8,100 | $9,400 | 16.2% | 15.7% | 0.5% | 0% | -4% |
| Sergio Garcia | 61 | $8,000 | $9,200 | 16.0% | 15.3% | 0.7% | 4% | 4% |
| Matthew Wolff | 70 | $7,900 | $9,000 | 15.8% | 15.0% | 0.8% | -15% | -11% |
| Paul Casey | 78 | $7,800 | $8,800 | 15.6% | 14.7% | 0.9% | 11% | 23% |
| Marc Leishman | 64 | $7,700 | $9,100 | 15.4% | 15.2% | 0.2% | 0% | -8% |
| Henrik Stenson | 81 | $7,600 | $8,700 | 15.2% | 14.5% | 0.7% | -31% | -15% |
| Matt Kuchar | 73 | $7,600 | $9,000 | 15.2% | 15.0% | 0.2% | 3% | -4% |
| Kevin Na | 84 | $7,500 | $8,700 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 0.5% | 23% | 27% |
| Sungjae Im | 70 | $7,500 | $8,900 | 15.0% | 14.8% | 0.2% | 3% | -3% |
| Ian Poulter | 75 | $7,400 | $8,900 | 14.8% | 14.8% | 0.0% | 9% | -3% |
| Joaquin Niemann | 79 | $7,400 | $8,800 | 14.8% | 14.7% | 0.1% | -6% | -13% |
| Scottie Scheffler | 80 | $7,300 | $8,600 | 14.6% | 14.3% | 0.3% | 0% | 0% |
| Corey Conners | 97 | $7,300 | $8,400 | 14.6% | 14.0% | 0.6% | -9% | 5% |
| Adam Hadwin | 89 | $7,200 | $8,500 | 14.4% | 14.2% | 0.2% | 19% | 19% |
| Max Homa | 96 | $7,200 | $8,300 | 14.4% | 13.8% | 0.6% | -19% | -5% |
| Bubba Watson | 96 | $7,100 | $8,400 | 14.2% | 14.0% | 0.2% | 23% | 25% |
| Danny Willett | 88 | $7,100 | $8,600 | 14.2% | 14.3% | -0.1% | 3% | -9% |
| Kevin Kisner | 104 | $7,000 | $8,200 | 14.0% | 13.7% | 0.3% | 7% | 16% |
| Michael Thompson | 122 | $7,000 | $8,500 | 14.0% | 14.2% | -0.2% | -24% | -38% |
| Kevin Streelman | 95 | $6,900 | $8,500 | 13.8% | 14.2% | -0.4% | 12% | -3% |
| Rafael Cabrera-Bello | 121 | $6,900 | $8,000 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 0.5% | -19% | -4% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 126 | $6,800 | $7,900 | 13.6% | 13.2% | 0.4% | 2% | 14% |
| Erik Van Rooyen | 126 | $6,800 | $7,800 | 13.6% | 13.0% | 0.6% | 2% | 17% |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 111 | $6,800 | $8,300 | 13.6% | 13.8% | -0.2% | -13% | -21% |
| Chez Reavie | 105 | $6,700 | $8,200 | 13.4% | 13.7% | -0.3% | 27% | 22% |
| Ryan Palmer | 118 | $6,700 | $8,000 | 13.4% | 13.3% | 0.1% | 8% | 10% |
| Matt Wallace | 101 | $6,700 | $8,300 | 13.4% | 13.8% | -0.4% | 8% | -5% |
| Brendon Todd | 109 | $6,600 | $8,100 | 13.2% | 13.5% | -0.3% | 0% | -9% |
| Shane Lowry | 121 | $6,600 | $7,900 | 13.2% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 14% | 14% |
| Phil Mickelson | 112 | $6,600 | $8,100 | 13.2% | 13.5% | -0.3% | 14% | 6% |
| JT Poston | 137 | $6,500 | $7,600 | 13.0% | 12.7% | 0.3% | 30% | 33% |
| Byeong Hun An | 140 | $6,500 | $7,700 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 0.2% | -9% | -7% |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 129 | $6,500 | $7,800 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 6% | 4% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 142 | $6,400 | $7,600 | 12.8% | 12.7% | 0.1% | 11% | 11% |
| Robert Macintyre | 154 | $6,400 | $7,500 | 12.8% | 12.5% | 0.3% | -5% | -2% |
| Mac Hughes | 138 | $6,400 | $7,700 | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 11% | 7% |
| Keegan Bradley | 192 | $6,300 | $7,400 | 12.6% | 12.3% | 0.3% | -8% | -7% |
| Cameron Smith | 196 | $6,300 | $7,300 | 12.6% | 12.2% | 0.4% | -8% | -3% |
| Jason Kokrak | 200 | $6,300 | $7,200 | 12.6% | 12.0% | 0.6% | 0% | 8% |
| Matt Jones | 233 | $6,300 | $7,100 | 12.6% | 11.8% | 0.8% | -8% | 3% |
| Joel Dahmen | 197 | $6,200 | $7,400 | 12.4% | 12.3% | 0.1% | 6% | 2% |
| Cameron Champ | 165 | $6,200 | $7,500 | 12.4% | 12.5% | -0.1% | 6% | -2% |
| Tyler Duncan | 271 | $6,200 | $7,000 | 12.4% | 11.7% | 0.7% | -2% | 7% |
| Tom Lewis | 179 | $6,200 | $7,300 | 12.4% | 12.2% | 0.2% | 6% | 5% |
| Andrew Landry | 282 | $6,200 | $7,000 | 12.4% | 11.7% | 0.7% | -2% | 7% |
| Nick Taylor | 218 | $6,100 | $7,200 | 12.2% | 12.0% | 0.2% | 26% | 22% |
| C.T. Pan | 286 | $6,100 | $7,000 | 12.2% | 11.7% | 0.5% | 6% | 7% |
| Hao-Tong Li | 260 | $6,100 | $7,100 | 12.2% | 11.8% | 0.4% | -3% | -6% |
| Graeme McDowell | 272 | $6,100 | $7,100 | 12.2% | 11.8% | 0.4% | -3% | -6% |
| Sung Kang | 389 | $6,100 | $7,000 | 12.2% | 11.7% | 0.5% | -9% | -7% |
| Sebastian Soderberg | 519 | $6,000 | $7,000 | 12.0% | 11.7% | 0.3% | -5% | -11% |
| Lucas Herbert | 299 | $6,000 | $7,000 | 12.0% | 11.7% | 0.3% | 4% | -1% |
| Shaun Norris | 456 | $6,000 | $7,000 | 12.0% | 11.7% | 0.3% | -1% | -7% |
| Victor Perez | 322 | $6,000 | $7,000 | 12.0% | 11.7% | 0.3% | 4% | -1% |
| Jazz Janewattananond | 406 | $6,000 | $7,000 | 12.0% | 11.7% | 0.3% | -1% | -7% |
DraftKings + FanDuel DFS Salary & Projection Analysis for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational
The no cut dynamic should alter our strategy a bit when it comes to DFS. With all golfers expected to play four rounds, we can be a little more aggressive in our lineup construction. It’s important to chase winning equity this week, whether that’s at the very top of the pricing or in the range right below it. In order to place in your DFS contests, you will likely need to roster the winner or at very least, a couple golfers that finish in the top five.
I expect the stars and scrubs approach to be popular this week and rightly so because we don’t have to worry about the cheap golfers missing the cut. If you are MME’ing, I highly recommend leaving money on the table in order to avoid duplicated lineups. With a smaller field, the odds of getting duped go up drastically. Leaving at least $200 on the table should help you avoid duplicated lineups for the most part.
Rory McIlroy
DraftKings: $11,200 / Projection: 80.6
FanDuel: $11,900 / Projection: 82.1
McIlroy has played in four events since the restart and has yet to finish inside the top 10. He hasn’t missed a cut during that stretch, but his recent form clearly isn’t where it was before the hiatus when he rattled off seven straight top five finishes. With the PGA Championship next week, he’ll look to sharpen his game in Memphis. He nearly won here last year when he was paired with Brooks Koepka in the final group, but he had another letdown of a Sunday (which has been a common theme over the last year). With all of that said, he loves WGC events, he’s still the number one golfer in my model and in the model here at RotoGrinders, and he’s pretty cheap relative to his usual salary. Perhaps getting back on bermuda greens can jump-start his season.
Xander Schauffele
DraftKings: $9,800 / Projection: 72.4
FanDuel: $11,200 / Projection: 75.2
No matter how hard I try, I can’t find a reason to fade Schauffele this week. The last time we saw him was at the Memorial Tournament where he shot six over par on Thursday and bounced back to finish in a tie for 13th. For the week, he gained nearly 12 strokes tee to green. He clearly loves no-cut events, as he’s posted three wins and three seconds in such tournaments over the last couple of years. While he doesn’t have the best course history at TPC Southwind, he’s finished in the top half of the field in both appearances. He’s affordable, he has winning upside, and he offers a high floor.
Paul Casey
DraftKings: $7,800 / Projection: 64.6
FanDuel: $8,800 / Projection: 65.2
Casey has cost me a lot of money over the last two weeks. He missed the cut at the Memorial Tournament thanks to an eight on a par three and he missed the cut at the 3M Open thanks to one of the worst putting performances of any golfer in the field. While two missed cuts is far from ideal, he gained nearly seven strokes ball striking in those two events combined. He has two wins on bermuda grass (both at the Valspar Championship) and his elite ball striking should help him avoid the many water hazards at TPC Southwind. And hey, we don’t have to worry about him missing the cut this week. Mr. Casey, it is redemption week.
Brandt Snedeker
DraftKings: $6,400 / Projection: 62.3
FanDuel: $7,600 / Projection: 58.2
If you like to rely strictly on recent form, Snedeker might not be the value play for you this week. He’s missed two cuts in a row and has lost strokes off the tee in eight straight events. However, he tends to play well in WGC events and Par 70 courses seem to be his specialty. This is not a course that you can bomb and gouge, which plays right into the hands of Snedeker. He’s one of the best scramblers and one of the best putters in the field. He’s played well here in the past, posting finishes of T27 and T6 in his last two appearances. For someone priced close to the minimum, I like his chances to post a top 25 finish.
More DFS Analysis for the WGC St. Jude Invitational
For more FanDuel and DraftKings PGA DFS analysis for this week’s WGC St. Jude Invitational, remember to sign up for RotoGrinders Premium. You don’t want to miss out on our Consensus Value Rankings, Expert Survey, Ownership Projections, videos, and lineup-building tools, all available exclusively to RG Premium subscribers.
- Build DFS Lineups Like a Pro!
- Access to Content and LineupHQ
- MMA, KBO, Soccer and PGA