Dutch Grand Prix Formula 1 DFS First Look: Odds and Predictions for Sunday, August 27th
Welcome to our Formula 1 DFS first look article for the Dutch Grand Prix, where we delve into the exciting world of F1 on platforms like DraftKings. Each week we predict the race with fantasy point projections and ownership projections. We use this to make top picks and recommendations for DFS in our optimizer. Whether you’re seeking Formula 1 betting odds, DFS F1 projections for the optimizer, or insights into this week’s race, this article has what you need. Join us as we review DFS Formula 1 research and review the landscape for the upcoming slate.
Dutch Grand Prix F1 DFS Odds
| Driver | Team | To Win | Top 10 | Podium | FastLap | Classify |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing  |
-450 | -1100 | -800 | -135 | -1,200.00 |
| Sergio Perez | Red Bull Racing |
1000 | -1000 | -190 | 650 | -1,200.00 |
| Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes  |
1200 | -800 | 115 | 550 | -1,200.00 |
| George Russell | Mercedes |
3500 | -450 | 400 | 1200 | -900.00 |
| Charles Leclerc | Ferrari  |
2000 | -650 | 230 | 1600 | -700.00 |
| Carlos Sainz | Ferrari |
3500 | -450 | 450 | 2000 | -700.00 |
| Lando Norris | McLaren  |
1800 | -750 | 135 | 850 | -1,200.00 |
| Oscar Piastri | McLaren |
2800 | -600 | 380 | 1800 | -800.00 |
| Daniel Ricciardo | Alphatauri  |
50000 | 380 | 20000 | 15000 | -700.00 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | Alphatauri |
50000 | 300 | 20000 | 15000 | -800.00 |
| Pierre Gasly | Alpine F1 Team  |
25000 | 115 | 10000 | 13000 | -700.00 |
| Esteban Ocon | Alpine F1 Team |
25000 | 115 | 10000 | 13000 | -700.00 |
| Fernando Alonso | Aston Martin F1 Team  |
4000 | -450 | 500 | 2800 | -900.00 |
| Lance Stroll | Aston Martin F1 Team |
15000 | -165 | 8000 | 10000 | -700.00 |
| Valtteri Bottas | Alfa Romeo Racing  |
50000 | 250 | 15000 | 8000 | -800.00 |
| Guanyu Zhou | Alfa Romeo Racing |
70000 | 275 | 20000 | 8000 | -700.00 |
| Kevin Magnussen | Haas F1 Team  |
50000 | 750 | 15000 | 15000 | -600.00 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | Haas F1 Team |
50000 | 750 | 15000 | 15000 | -800.00 |
| Alexander Albon | Williams  |
50000 | 200 | 15000 | 15000 | -700.00 |
| Logan Sargeant | Williams |
70000 | 850 | 25000 | 20000 | -700.00 |
Odds courtesy of Draftkings Sportsbook as of publication time.
Dutch Grand Prix Draftkings Driver Projections
| Player | fpts | Win Pts | Top3 Fpts | Top10 Fpts | Laps Led |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 29.50 | 16.63 | 1.34 | 0.53 | 47.89 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 14.94 | 1.56 | 5.41 | 2.56 | 4.50 |
| Lando Norris | 14.07 | 1.07 | 5.19 | 2.73 | 3.08 |
| Sergio Perez | 14.00 | 1.85 | 7.86 | 1.69 | 5.32 |
| Fernando Alonso | 10.99 | 0.50 | 1.98 | 3.70 | 1.43 |
Note: Final Projections are not available until after qualifying. Subscribe to RG Premium to get the most updated data prior to the race.
Dutch Grand Prix Draftkings Constructor Projections
| Player | fpts | Win Pts | Top3 Fpts | Top10 Fpts | Laps Led |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Racing | 42.90 | 18.48 | 9.20 | 2.22 | 5.32 |
| Mercedes AMG Motorsport | 21.73 | 2.13 | 7.81 | 6.09 | 0.61 |
| McLaren | 21.35 | 1.77 | 7.62 | 6.43 | 0.51 |
Note: Final Projections are not available until after qualifying. Subscribe to RG Premium to get the most updated data prior to the race.
F1 DFS Ownership Projections
| Player | own% |
|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 54.37% |
| Alexander Albon | 37.29% |
| Guanyu Zhou | 37.21% |
| Esteban Ocon | 35.73% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 31.57% |
Note: Final Projections are not available until after qualifying. Subscribe to RG Premium to get the most updated data prior to the race.
Top DFS points per dollar
| Player | pts$ |
|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 1.92 |
| Alexander Albon | 1.76 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 1.52 |
| Lando Norris | 1.50 |
| Fernando Alonso | 1.41 |
Top DFS Picks
Max Verstappen: Red Bull is aiming for an undefeated season, claiming all 12 races to date and doing so in dominant fashion. It feels like no help at all to inform anyone even remotely following F1 that Verstappen is a high-caliber play in DFS, but yet week in and week out game theorists find ways to spend money elsewhere. At a price of $15,400, DraftKings is doing everything possible to keep him out of lineups. However, we’re going to need the most compelling evidence possible to leave him out after qualifying. His last 5 fantasy totals: 37, 41, 39, 40, 38. A legend is unfolding in front of us, and let’s not be the smartest people in the room until he proves us wrong for doing it.
Alexander Albon: Playing Max is going to mean sacrificing elsewhere. Albon is coming in with an attractive pre-qualifying price of 4600, which pairs well with his superior odds compared to teammate Logan Sargeant. As of now, he is +200 for a top-10 finish where Sargeant is just +850. We’ll need to see the qualifying setup and practice speeds before we get overly excited, but he is a driver to keep an eye on.
Guanyu Zhou: This is going to be a spot where ownership and qualifying will make all the difference in the final decision. Zhou is priced at just 3200 on DraftKings, and that is going to make a big difference in affording the astronomical Verstappen price tag. If his ownership is reasonable and qualifying within reason, he looks like a possible salary saver. His odds are currently similar to that of ally Valtteri Bottas, and that would ultimately be enough to make it attractive at this price. Both Bottas and Zhou have failed to classify in the past four races, which is likely a contributor to the suppressed price. A lot can happen at 200+ MPH, and that gives Zhou as good a chance as any, all things considered, to reach the optimal lineup on Sunday.
