Dutch Grand Prix Formula 1 DFS First Look: Odds and Predictions for Sunday, August 27th

Welcome to our Formula 1 DFS first look article for the Dutch Grand Prix, where we delve into the exciting world of F1 on platforms like DraftKings. Each week we predict the race with fantasy point projections and ownership projections. We use this to make top picks and recommendations for DFS in our optimizer. Whether you’re seeking Formula 1 betting odds, DFS F1 projections for the optimizer, or insights into this week’s race, this article has what you need. Join us as we review DFS Formula 1 research and review the landscape for the upcoming slate.

Dutch Grand Prix F1 DFS Odds

Driver Team To Win Top 10 Podium FastLap Classify
Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing logo -450 -1100 -800 -135 -1,200.00
Sergio Perez Red Bull Racing logo 1000 -1000 -190 650 -1,200.00
Lewis Hamilton Mercedes logo 1200 -800 115 550 -1,200.00
George Russell Mercedes logo 3500 -450 400 1200 -900.00
Charles Leclerc Ferrari logo 2000 -650 230 1600 -700.00
Carlos Sainz Ferrari logo 3500 -450 450 2000 -700.00
Lando Norris McLaren logo 1800 -750 135 850 -1,200.00
Oscar Piastri McLaren logo 2800 -600 380 1800 -800.00
Daniel Ricciardo Alphatauri logo 50000 380 20000 15000 -700.00
Yuki Tsunoda Alphatauri logo 50000 300 20000 15000 -800.00
Pierre Gasly Alpine F1 Team logo 25000 115 10000 13000 -700.00
Esteban Ocon Alpine F1 Team logo 25000 115 10000 13000 -700.00
Fernando Alonso Aston Martin F1 Team logo 4000 -450 500 2800 -900.00
Lance Stroll Aston Martin F1 Team logo 15000 -165 8000 10000 -700.00
Valtteri Bottas Alfa Romeo Racing logo 50000 250 15000 8000 -800.00
Guanyu Zhou Alfa Romeo Racing logo 70000 275 20000 8000 -700.00
Kevin Magnussen Haas F1 Team logo 50000 750 15000 15000 -600.00
Nico Hulkenberg Haas F1 Team logo 50000 750 15000 15000 -800.00
Alexander Albon Williams logo 50000 200 15000 15000 -700.00
Logan Sargeant Williams logo 70000 850 25000 20000 -700.00

Odds courtesy of Draftkings Sportsbook as of publication time.

Dutch Grand Prix Draftkings Driver Projections

Player fpts Win Pts Top3 Fpts Top10 Fpts Laps Led
Max Verstappen 29.50 16.63 1.34 0.53 47.89
Lewis Hamilton 14.94 1.56 5.41 2.56 4.50
Lando Norris 14.07 1.07 5.19 2.73 3.08
Sergio Perez 14.00 1.85 7.86 1.69 5.32
Fernando Alonso 10.99 0.50 1.98 3.70 1.43

Note: Final Projections are not available until after qualifying. Subscribe to RG Premium to get the most updated data prior to the race.

Dutch Grand Prix Draftkings Constructor Projections

Player fpts Win Pts Top3 Fpts Top10 Fpts Laps Led
Red Bull Racing 42.90 18.48 9.20 2.22 5.32
Mercedes AMG Motorsport 21.73 2.13 7.81 6.09 0.61
McLaren 21.35 1.77 7.62 6.43 0.51

Note: Final Projections are not available until after qualifying. Subscribe to RG Premium to get the most updated data prior to the race.

F1 DFS Ownership Projections
Player own%
Max Verstappen 54.37%
Alexander Albon 37.29%
Guanyu Zhou 37.21%
Esteban Ocon 35.73%
Lewis Hamilton 31.57%

Note: Final Projections are not available until after qualifying. Subscribe to RG Premium to get the most updated data prior to the race.

Top DFS points per dollar

Player pts$
Max Verstappen 1.92
Alexander Albon 1.76
Lewis Hamilton 1.52
Lando Norris 1.50
Fernando Alonso 1.41

Top DFS Picks

Max Verstappen: Red Bull is aiming for an undefeated season, claiming all 12 races to date and doing so in dominant fashion. It feels like no help at all to inform anyone even remotely following F1 that Verstappen is a high-caliber play in DFS, but yet week in and week out game theorists find ways to spend money elsewhere. At a price of $15,400, DraftKings is doing everything possible to keep him out of lineups. However, we’re going to need the most compelling evidence possible to leave him out after qualifying. His last 5 fantasy totals: 37, 41, 39, 40, 38. A legend is unfolding in front of us, and let’s not be the smartest people in the room until he proves us wrong for doing it.

Alexander Albon: Playing Max is going to mean sacrificing elsewhere. Albon is coming in with an attractive pre-qualifying price of 4600, which pairs well with his superior odds compared to teammate Logan Sargeant. As of now, he is +200 for a top-10 finish where Sargeant is just +850. We’ll need to see the qualifying setup and practice speeds before we get overly excited, but he is a driver to keep an eye on.

Guanyu Zhou: This is going to be a spot where ownership and qualifying will make all the difference in the final decision. Zhou is priced at just 3200 on DraftKings, and that is going to make a big difference in affording the astronomical Verstappen price tag. If his ownership is reasonable and qualifying within reason, he looks like a possible salary saver. His odds are currently similar to that of ally Valtteri Bottas, and that would ultimately be enough to make it attractive at this price. Both Bottas and Zhou have failed to classify in the past four races, which is likely a contributor to the suppressed price. A lot can happen at 200+ MPH, and that gives Zhou as good a chance as any, all things considered, to reach the optimal lineup on Sunday.

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

  • Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

  • Chris Gimino is a top mind in the DFS industry and one of the primary contributors at RotoGrinders including one of the most accurate ownership projection systems in the industry. A multiple time live-finalist, Chris delivers actionable tools and advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers that helps them make informed decisions for their lineup builds.

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