Expert Consensus Rankings: Accuracy Report
LeBron James will always be chasing Bill Russell. I mean, not literally; if he were literally chasing Bill Russell, I bet he would catch him, because Russell is pretty old. No – I just mean that no matter how many more championships LeBron wins, he’ll still trail Russell, because what Russell did was insane.
Kind of like Dean78904, and our FanDuel ECR Accuracy Rankings. No matter what the rest of us do, we’re still chasing Dean.
A few weeks ago, we unveiled our first set of “Accuracy Rankings” for our Expert Consensus Rankings. After a bit of a technical delay, we are returning with our second edition. This week, we’re looking at FanDuel ranks; next week, we’ll look at DraftKings ranks. (Then back to FanDuel the following week. And so on.)
When we unveiled the rankings a few weeks back, some people asked what the actual “accuracy score” was for each ranker – trying to find out exactly how “accurate” each ranker had been. The issue in answering that question, of course, is that the best way to calculate “rankings accuracy” is to compare the point-per-dollar accuracy of any given ranker to the point-per-dollar accuracy of the other rankers ranking on that same day (with higher-ranked players given more weight than lower-ranked players; essentially, the most valuable approach is for our Accuracy Rankings to give you an idea of which rankers do the best and most consistent job placing high point-per-dollar producers near the top of their position-by-position rankings!). In other words: the “raw score” yields no actual information in and of itself.
What I can tell you, however, is that our second-place ranker in the FanDuel Accuracy Rankings and our fifth-place ranker are separated by a mere 2.26 points in our ratings system…
…and I can tell you that the gap between second place and first place is a comparatively massive 3.71 points.
That’s why I say we’re all chasing Dean. Because this is what the current rankings look like:
FanDuel Accuracy Rankings
1. Dean78904
2. JMToWin
3. CheeseIsGood
4. STLCardinals84
5. BigT44
6. BritDevine
7. PrimeTime
8. Naapstermaan
9. Boggslite
10. EMac
The names in the top five remained the same over the last few weeks, but the order changed a bit. While Dean held his spot on top (and it’s going to take some serious slippage on his part for the gap to start closing!), JMToWin (oh, hey – that’s me) edged past CheeseIsGood by 0.21 points. We also saw a flip-flop in the four and five spots, where STLCards was previously fifth, but he moved ahead of BigT44 by 0.13 points.
The next five is where things begin to get shaken up. Brit – perhaps in advance celebration of DFS returning to New York – decided to make his first appearance in the Top Ten for either site, soaring all the way up to the sixth spot (which was previously held by Naapstermaan – who fell back to eighth).
PrimeTime maintained his spot at seventh, while EMac maintained his spot at tenth. Boggslite decided to crash the FanDuel accuracy rankings party after already holding a spot a couple weeks back in the DraftKings accuracy rankings – slipping in at number nine.
That’s two new names on the list – which means two people dropped out of the Top Ten, right?
Bad news for Stevietpfl: when there are risers, there must also be fallers. Stevie slipped from eighth to “outside the Top Ten,” and Pepsi7 joined him in the tumble, falling out of the Top Ten from the ninth spot.
I could type a lot more and leave you wondering why you read it all, but don’t you have an MLB slate to get ready for? Why are you reading this?
For that matter, why am I typing this? I need to get to work on improving my rankings farther so I can catch Dean. Or I guess I could just get to work on guessing what his password might be so I can sabotage his rankings. I guess I’ll start with TeamChalk78904 and work from there.
If Dean sees a big tumble in the rankings over the next couple weeks, that password just might have been correct…