FanDuel NBA Core Plays: Saturday, January 13th
Andy Means will be bringing Premium subscribers his top cash game plays and tournament pivots to build around. A former Duke basketball walk-on and now top-ranked DFS player, Andy will take an in-depth look into each of his core plays, and then blend it all together from a roster construction perspective. On weekends, the preseason maestro you all know and love, Allan Lem, takes the reigns.
Saturday, January 13th
Update 6:43pm EST – Gary Harris is available to play, so that takes me off Jamal Murray as my tournament pivot if he does play. I’ll swap in Spencer Dinwiddie in his place as my tournament pivot. Also updating Golden State, Stephen Curry and”(player-popup #andre-iguodala)Andre Iguodala”:/players/andre-iguodala-1334 are good to go while Omri Casspi has been ruled out. I think Curry is an elite tournament play and assuming there are no restrictions, I’m fine with him for cash too. The hard part is I haven’t heard anything yet on starters or restrictions, so if you play him in cash, know there’s some risk. Tyler Zeller has been ruled out and Quincy Acy is starting in his place. Acy becomes a core play at min salary and I don’t even hate Jahlil Okafor as a deep long shot tournament play. Lastly, Stanley Johnson has been ruled out. Here’s my updated Core Plays list:
Update 2pm EST – Stephen Curry has been upgraded to probable while Andre Iguodala and Omri Casspi are questionable. If there are no restrictions for Curry I think he is cash game viable. I may update rankings closer to lock depending on the Curry news.
Hello Grinders. We have a four game slate this Saturday night. We’ll be focusing on the main slate only. There are several teams on the backend of a back-to-back: Brooklyn, Denver, Golden State and Washington. It’s worth monitoring these teams in case minutes are scaled back or players are rested. One other thing to note is that Zach LaVine will be making his return from a torn ACL, but will be on a 20 minute limit. Denzel Valentine will move to the bench while Justin Holiday will start at small forward. LaVine is cheap (and it’s Zach LaVine bobblehead night!), but given the 20 minute cap I’m hesitant to recommend him. He could theoretically hit value in that short time frame if he’s chucking the ball but there’s risk there and not someone I can recommend for cash games.
Let’s do a quick recap on the news and notes for this slate:
Chicago Bulls – Nikola Mirotic (Will Return and Play)
Denver Nuggets – Gary Harris (Questionable – Missed Friday’s Game For Personal Reasons)
Detroit Pistons – Stanley Johnson (Questionable)
Golden State Warriors – Omri Casspi (Questionable); Stephen Curry (Questionable)
San Antonio Spurs – Danny Green (Questionable); Kawhi Leonard (Questionable); Tony Parker (Questionable)
Toronto Raptors – Kyle Lowry (Questionable / Game Time Decision)
Feel free to give me a follow on Twitter. Let’s dive in!
1) Kevin Durant, SF, Golden State Warriors – $10,600
This slate is a bit tricky with several key players starting the day out as questionable, including Stephen Curry. The good news is that Kevin Durant is priced at $10,600, and I personally think he’s in-play whether Curry is in or not. If he’s out, Durant is a lock in cash games at this price as he’ll be asked to continue carrying the offense. If Curry is in, it definitely knocks Durant down a peg as his usage will decline, but $10,600 is still a fair price. The small forward position is fairly weak on this slate so I think it makes sense to lock in Durant at this position and lock in his points.
Tournament Pivot – Kawhi Leonard: Leonard is questionable and in the same price tier as Durant. If Leonard is ruled out, you play Durant and move on. If Leonard is ruled in, it’s not the craziest idea to roster him at low ownership in tournaments. The Spurs have been vague about his injury so you would think he’d have his minutes monitored and possibly limited if given the green light to play. But we’ve seen him dominate in his last two outings by dropping 49 FanDuel points in just 28 and 30 minutes, and nobody would be shocked if he did the same thing again on Saturday.
2) Delon Wright, PG, Toronto Raptors – $5,500
This recommendation assumes Kyle Lowry does in fact miss the game. If Lowry is ruled in, I will update my core play rankings prior to lock. I’d expect Wright to draw another start if Lowry is out. Unlike DraftKings and FantasyDraft, FanDuel actually dropped Delon’s price down after his last outing, which makes him more appealing on FanDuel. The Raptors are going to need his defense and scoring to keep pace with the Warriors. He only played 18 minutes in their last game but it’s worth noting that the Raptors blew out the Cavaliers by 34 points in that game, so he wasn’t needed. Additionally, Fred VanVleet was having a career game and dropped 22 real life points. Prior to that game, Fred only scored 15 or more points twice in his entire career, so it feels like an outlier performance. I still expect VanVleet to get a chunk of minutes in this game to spell Wright, but Wright should get the lion’s share of minutes between the two (unless VanVleet morphs into Kobe Bryant again and drops another 22 real life points).
Tournament Pivot – Jamal Murray: I’ll admit, this is not an ideal game environment for Murray having to face the San Antonio Spurs on the backend of a back-to-back. But his price is an appealing $6,500 and it sounds like old man Tony Parker will be back on Saturday, which enhances this matchup for Murray. Still, the Spurs have the #2 ranked DvP against point guards this season so I’m fully aware of the risks. I’m willing to take some shots with Murray in tournaments.
3) Lauri Markkanen, PF, Chicago Bulls – $6,500
We’re starting to see just how special Lauri Markkanen is. Markkanen is fresh off a 54.5 FanDuel point game that saw him score a career high 33 real life points. Nikola Mirotic is scheduled to return and Zach LaVine may take away some of his shots, so that’s a slight concern, but it appears the Bulls are set on giving Markkanen a steady dose of minutes so he can continue to develop and be their starting power forward of the future. Markkanen’s usage rate over the past eight games has been at 22% or higher, and he’s shooting 53% (75-of-142) from the field in that time frame, so he’s clearly locked in. The matchup isn’t a huge concern either, as the Pistons are around league average at defending opposing power forwards.
Tournament Pivot – Nikola Mirotic: Mirotic has missed the Bulls’ last two games because of a stomach bug but he practiced on Friday and is set to return to his normal backup role. I have not read anything about him being limited on Saturday and considering it was just a stomach bug and not a physical injury, I’m more open to rostering him. The most appealing factor about Mirotic is his $6,300 price. This is the cheapest he’s been since December 15th, when he was $5,900, so we’re getting a discount due to the fact he’s been sick. Despite coming off the bench, Mirotic leads the Bulls in points per game (17.4) and usage (26.2%). On the year, he’s averaging 1.17 fantasy points per minute and has been fantastic in his brief time on the court.
Thanks for reading, and good luck tonight. May variance be on your side.
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