Find Your Edge: Week 6

Director of Data and Analytics, Kevin Cole, returns with a look at how past DFS slates can yield valuable insights to roster construction, decision making, and winning strategies for the coming slate of games. This is a big deal. We’ve collected a massive amount of data on past DFS slates, and Kevin is going to help you “find the edge” buried deep within them.

Week 6

Each week we’ve been digging deep into the data for an edge, and this week we’re going to look forward to the next few weeks to figure out the optimal strategies for smaller player pools in bye weeks.

We still only have a couple teams on bye this week. But starting next week we’ll have between 3-5 teams on bye for the next five weeks. You combine the smaller player pool in terms of teams with the inevitable injuries that come with the sport and you’ll have a much different DFS landscape during this section of the season.

Luckily, we have data for the past few years to dig through and see if there are actionable trends for these weeks.

Overall scoring

Over the last few years we’ve seen scoring decline in the largest tournaments in the coming weeks, so there’s reason to expect the same in 2018.

This makes it logical that building a floor into lineups become a little more difficult, and while we’re always searching for upside, we also need to make sure our lineups has a robust foundation.

Top ownership by week

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About the Author

  • Kevin Cole (colekev)

  • Kevin Cole previously worked on Wall Street as an equity and credit analyst before transitioning to data-related sports analysis. For a number of years, Kevin has specialized in creating predictive sports models that includes published work at Pro Football Focus, Rotoworld, numberFire, and RotoViz. He is now the Director of Data and Analytics at RotoGrinders.

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