FREE NBA DFS Picks: 3/3 - DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo
Here we go again! The NBA daily fantasy sports contests on Yahoo, DraftKings, and FanDuel should be amazing tonight for this eight-game slate.
Our NBA projections, core plays, cheat sheets, and projected ownership are all fired up in advance of tonight’s big time prize pools. Shown in the article below, you’ll discover a top “smash play” for each of the three DFS platforms. We energize our LineupHQ optimizer using some of the same information that you read below, and we encourage everyone to check out all the tools we have to offer for NBA daily fantasy sports in our DFS content schedule.
Let’s get down to business and see who our projections love at their salary implied value tonight!
Top DraftKings DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Zion Williamson
DK Salary:$7,700.00
FPTS Projection:45.99
FPTS Ceiling:62.55
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Zion Williamson to smash for DraftKings GPP value in roughly 37.95% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 33 minutes and 1.39 fantasy points per minute.
— The Minnesota Timberwolves allow 4.19% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 31.05% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 14.99% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 15.66% assist rate.
It’s clear this man child is something special, and this is evidenced by the projected rates this evening. Rookies just don’t often get this kind of fantasy point profile across all categories. The matchup is one of the best in the entire NBA against the weak Minnesota Timberwolves, and the arrow is pointing absolutely nowhere but up for this young superstar. Zion is expected to be heavily owned in tournaments, but also expected to obliterate his salary implied GPP value just short of 40% of the time. He’s a great floor-ceiling combo play on tonight’s slate.
Top FanDuel DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Gordon Hayward
FD Salary:$6,000.00
FPTS Projection:38.04
FPTS Ceiling:50.21
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Gordon Hayward to smash for FanDuel GPP value in roughly 41.37% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 36 minutes and 1.06 fantasy points per minute.
— The Brooklyn Nets allow 0.14% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 23.40% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 10.53% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 15.42% assist rate.
Jason Tatum won’t suit up for the Boston Celtics tonight, and that leaves room for a TON of production to distribute among the remaining players on the team. Hayward is one of the two most likely players to fill in for Tatum’s scoring, and is prices at an absurd level for his expected rates tonight. He will also see huge minutes, which should give you some fantastic cushion in the event of a poor shooting night. Don’t hesitate to play the chalk here, as there are plenty of places to get different in tournament lineup tonight that don’t have nearly the aptitude of this play.
Top Yahoo! DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Trey Lyles
Yahoo Salary:$14.00
FPTS Projection:32.78
FPTS Ceiling:42.29
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Trey Lyles to smash for Yahoo GPP value in roughly 52.85% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 33 minutes, and 0.99 fantasy points per minute.
— The Charlotte Hornets allow 2.04% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 19.48% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 12.92% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 10.20% assist rate.
The Charlotte Hornets have punted their 2019-20 season and will be rolling out a sad effort for the duration. We can count on their games being very attackable from a DFS perspective. LaMarcus Aldridge will not play again tonight for the Spurs, and that leaves Lyles in position to take advantage. His $14 price tag on Yahoo is extremely exploitable and he should probably be the first player into your lineup. We’re projecting a heavy usage for Lyles tonight as well as 30+ minutes. We’ve been burned before by Coach Pop and the Spurs, but we’re not letting that stop us with a 50% plus “Smash Rate” projected. Absolutely attack the Hornets with Lyles.