French Open DFS Tennis First Look: Odds and Predictions for Wednesday, May 31st

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The French Open rolls on Wednesday morning, and in this Tennis DFS article we explore the world of betting and DFS on platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel. Whether you’re looking for tennis betting odds, DFS tennis projections, or insights into today’s slate, our analysis is ready to help you get started. Join us as we review DFS tennis research and survey the landscape for the upcoming slate.


Tennis DFS Matchups & Odds for the French Open

Player Opponent Odds Opp Odds Event Surface Elo% Opp Elo%
Carlos Alcaraz Taro Daniel -8000 1600 French Open (M) Clay 100.00% 76.18%
Aryna Sabalenka Iryna Shymanovich -8000 1600 French Open (W) Clay 99.77% 56.10%
Novak Djokovic Marton Fucsovics -3000 1100 French Open (M) Clay 99.78% 88.31%
Andrey Rublev Corentin Moutet -1400 750 French Open (M) Clay 98.65% 84.72%
Karolina Muchova Nadia Podoroska -550 390 French Open (W) Clay 95.77% 65.96%
Karen Khachanov Radu Albot -575 400 French Open (M) Clay 97.75% 66.07%
Irina-Camelia Begu Sara Errani -525 390 French Open (W) Clay 90.61% 67.61%
Cameron Norrie Lucas Pouille -370 285 French Open (M) Clay 97.98% 30.00%
Lorenzo Musetti Alexander Shevchenko -425 310 French Open (M) Clay 93.48% 81.35%
Qinwen Zheng Yulia Putintseva -310 240 French Open (W) Clay 95.54% 87.56%
Liudmila Samsonova Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -260 205 French Open (W) Clay 95.07% 88.97%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Luca van Assche -235 185 French Open (M) Clay 94.61% 77.75%
Caroline Garcia Anna Blinkova -220 175 French Open (W) Clay 96.71% 82.16%
Marketa Vondrousova Daria Kasatkina -250 200 French Open (W) Clay 97.89% 94.13%
Hubert Hurkacz Tallon Griekspoor -245 195 French Open (M) Clay 97.08% 89.66%
Roberto Bautista Agut Juan Pablo Varillas -240 195 French Open (M) Clay 92.13% 72.81%
Anastasia Potapova Mayar Sherif -250 200 French Open (W) Clay 94.37% 84.51%
Elina Avanesyan Leolia Jeanjean -230 185 French Open (W) Clay 67.84% 64.08%
Sloane Stephens Varvara Gracheva -160 130 French Open (W) Clay 86.85% 85.21%
Magdalena Frech Kamilla Rakhimova -145 120 French Open (W) Clay 74.18% 73.94%
Diego Schwartzman Nuno Borges -135 110 French Open (M) Clay 79.55% 82.47%
Matteo Arnaldi Denis Shapovalov -120 100 French Open (M) Clay 82.02% 89.44%
Clara Tauson Leylah Annie Fernandez -130 105 French Open (W) Clay 86.62% 84.98%
Ugo Humbert Lorenzo Sonego -125 105 French Open (M) Clay 91.01% 91.91%
Stan Wawrinka Thanasi Kokkinakis -120 100 French Open (M) Clay 89.89% 86.52%

Odds courtesy of Draftkings Sportsbook as of publication time.

Top DFS Projections for the French Open

Player fpts matches sets games aces df
Carlos Alcaraz 84.81 0.94 3.31 18.50 2.62 2.23
Novak Djokovic 80.35 0.92 3.29 19.50 5.05 2.53
Andrey Rublev 76.09 0.89 3.25 19.00 6.33 2.23
Aryna Sabalenka 73.99 0.94 1.99 12.00 2.7 4.09
Karen Khachanov 72.95 0.81 3.12 21.00 6.43 3.08
Lorenzo Musetti 70.22 0.77 3.02 20.50 3.6 2.47
Karolina Muchova 68.12 0.81 1.86 12.50 2.04 2.04
Cameron Norrie 67.79 0.75 2.97 20.50 4.49 2.80
Irina-Camelia Begu 65.84 0.80 1.86 12.50 1.91 3.92
Roberto Bautista Agut 64.62 0.68 2.75 20.50 3.21 2.58

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Top DFS Ownership for the French Open

Player own%
Carlos Alcaraz 31.40%
Roberto Bautista Agut 30.04%
Stan Wawrinka 28.64%
Karen Khachanov 24.75%
Andrey Rublev 24.34%

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Top DFS Points Per Dollar – The French Open

Player pts$
Carlos Alcaraz 7.57
Roberto Bautista Agut 7.34
Novak Djokovic 7.30
Andrey Rublev 7.25
Lorenzo Musetti 7.24

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Tennis DFS Picks for Roland Garros – The French Open

Roberto Bautista Agut: He is currently ranked as the #2 points per dollar player, and is generally strong in service points won on clay. While ownership expects him to be popular, we should still be considering him (especially in smaller contests). Bautista Agut boasts an impressive ELO rating percentile of 92.13, indicating a high level of skill, while his opponent (Varillas) is significantly lower at 72.81. The odds for Bautista Agut are at -240, indicating agreement from the book that this is a bit of mismatch. For $8,800, you can do worse.

Andrey Rublev: By all means, go after the expensive, low hanging fruit in Djokavic or Alcaraz. However, Andrey Rublev enters his match as a strong favorite with odds of -1400 as well. He is facing Moutet, whose ELO rating percentile is considerably lower at 84.72. Rublev is currently ranked as the #4 points per dollar player, and saving the nearly $1,000 from the top players could be worth it for the rest of your build. With an impressive ELO rating percentile of 98.65, Rublev showcases a high level of skill consistently and grades as a nice DFS play.

Lorenzo Musetti: The bookmakers are highly skewing the odds toward him, as you’ll have to pay the aggressive price of -425 to take him straight up. At just $9,700, there is a lot of potential for him to score as much as anyone without having to pay the superstar price. He is up against Shevchenko, whose ELO rating percentile is is quite distant at 81.35. Musetti currently ranks as the #5 points per dollar player, and represents a reasonable alternative in the higher price tiers to the bigger names at the very top of the slate.

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a leading expert in the industry and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino