Gore, Torain, and Hillis - Week 6 Matchups

NFL Week 6 Matchup Ratings

ravens defense

Analyzing Matchups

Last week we told you Benson was in store for a big day, and though he didn’t find the endzone, he did rack up a massive 144 yards at 6.3 YPC. This week our top pick is Frank Gore, and if you’re short on cash, then Ryan Torain is your guy.

Frank Gore is averaging 18.2 touches per game for the 0-5 Niners, and he’s squaring up with the Oakland Raiders who are 2nd worst in the league giving up 22.6 fantasy points on the ground to opposing rushers. This is a must-win game for the Niners, and they are going to need their workhorse Frank Gore to show up and deliver in Week 6. If you’re looking to save some money this week, Ryan Torain is your guy. He’s getting starters touches, and though he looked a tad sluggish last week vs. the Eagles, a tasty matchup with the Colts could help him get close to the 19.5 fantasy points per game they are currently allowing.

As far as who you should bench…as much as I love the man, I don’t think Peyton Hillis is going to torch the Ravens defense and the Steelers defense in the same season; especially coming off an injury-filled week. LeSean McCoy will also be over-priced on most sites, and should find the fantasy pine as he squares off with the very-impressive Falcons defense (keep an eye on Falcons LB Weatherspoon’s situation heading into this one). As far as the air-attack keep an eye on Kenny Britt vs. the Jags, Boldin vs. the Pats, Johnny Knox vs. Seattle, Clark and Wayne vs. Washington, and the Knicks/Smith tandem for the Giants who should keep their momentum going into Detroit this week. As a deep, deep-sleeper I like Dexter McCluster. Expect a lot of variance out of the utility rookie, but with the Chiefs schedule the next 3 weeks, it is the perfect time to start getting the explosive RB/WR more involved in offense.

Knowing how to adjust a players value based on their matchup can be difficult, especially early in the season when you have less data on that player and their opponents. RotoGrinders Matchup Ratings make that process easier for you by quantifying the data for you. This matchup rater tool should provide an excellent resource for properly adjusting the value of your offensive players for this week’s matchups. This is not a tool for ranking Fantasy Defenses. This tool focuses on the defensive categories that related to offensive players. The scoring for Fantasy Defenses often include Special Teams and scoring is based on Points Allowed; these are not included in the Matchup Ratings below. The Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game column is the number you should use to gauge how to increase or decrease the value of your Offensive players.

Rushing

Best Matchups

Projected Rank Rush Defense Projected Fantasy Points Allowed Opponent
2 Oakland Raiders 22.6 San Francisco
3 Indianapolis Colts 19.5 Washington
4 Detroit Lions 19.2 New York Giants
5 Denver Broncos 18.9 New York Jets
6 Tampa Bay 18.7 New Orleans
8 New Orleans 17.9 Tampa Bay

Worst Matchups

Projected Rank Rush Defense Projected Fantasy Points Allowed Opponent
29 San Diego Chargers 12.4 St. Louis
30 Atlanta Falcons 12.3 Philadelphia
31 New York Jets 10.8 Denver Broncos
32 Pittsburgh 10.5 Cleveland
Week 6 Byes Cardinals (7) – Bills (1) – Panthers – Bengals

Receiving

(These do not factor in how many total receptions a team allows, which could effect the rankings for PPR leagues)

Best Matchups

Projected Rank Pass Defense Projected Fantasy Points Allowed Opponent
1 Houston 40.9 Kansas City
2 Jacksonville 40.0 Tennessee
3 Seattle 38.5 Chicago
4 New England 37.7 Baltimore
5 Detroit 35.8 New York Giants
6 Tennessee 34.9 Jacksonville
7 Washington 34.6 Indianapolis

Worst Matchups

Projected Rank Pass Defense Projected Fantasy Points Allowed Opponent
29 Minnesota 26.4 Dallas
31 San Diego 25.6 St. Louis
32 Baltimore 23.1 New England
Week 6 Byes Cardinals (8) – Bills – Panthers (30) – Bengals

How we Rank the Matchups

We rank the weekly NFL matchups for opposing teams by looking at yards allowed and touchdowns allowed by defenses, then weight them based on recent performance. The number we wind up with is a reliable estimate of how many fantasy points a defense is giving up at the current point in time, per week, to all players on an opposing team. This estimate makes for a great indicator to project matchups in the future. Below are the defenses estimated to allow the most fantasy points headed into Week 3, and the ones you should steer clear of. The number in the third column is the estimated amount of fantasy points this defense is allowing currently per matchup. We project the fantasy points based on 1 pt. per 10 rushing/receiving yards and 6 points per TD. The ‘receiving fantasy points allowed estimate’ can also be used to gauge your QB matchups, and while the scoring settings may adjust the points allowed to QBs, the overall order of the rankings for receivers should be similar for QBs. These rankings utilize all data from the 2010 season, but we also include data from the 2010 preseason (first half only), and the 2009 NFL regular season. As each week passes this season, we scale down the older data increase the value of current season performance. By Week 12 of this Season, the data from the 2010 Preseason and the 2009 Season will be completely phased out.

About the Author

Cameron
Cameron MacMillan (Cameron)

Cameron MacMillan is an entrepreneur and angel investor, who co-founded RotoGrinders in 2010, alongside Cal Spears and Riley Bryant. Cameron operated as the COO, creating & implementing a multitude of business & content systems for the company over the course of 11 years, before Better Collective completed its acquisition of RG in 2021. In 2022, Cameron stepped back into an Advisory Role.