Greenbrier Classic Picks & Projections - DraftStreet

Greenbrier Classic Preview

The PGA Tour heads to the Old White TPC Course for the Greenbrier Classic this week. This will be the 5th edition of the event following the inaugural edition of the tournament in 2010. Previous champions include: Jonas Blixt (2013), Ted Potter, Jr. (2012), Scott Stallings (2011), and Stuart Appleby (2010). This has been an event that has yet to feature a big name on top of the leaderboard when it’s all said and done. It will be interesting to see if that’s the case again this week.

The Old White TPC Course is a 7,287 yard Par-70 that features only two Par 5’s, both of which are on the front 9. Low scores can be shot here as evidenced by a 59 from Stuart Appleby in his closing round in 2010. As far as types of players that do well here, you want to target golfers that are solid from tee to green and are able to make putts. The two stats that I’ll be focusing on this week are ball striking and strokes gained putting. Driving accuracy typically isn’t a huge factor here, but it certainly never hurts.

Greenbrier Classic Picks – DraftStreet

Before we get into this week’s picks, let’s quickly recap last week’s picks at the Quicken Loans National. Here are the picks and their corresponding finishes last week: Jason Day (MC), Brendan Todd (T-5), Billy Horschel (T-11), Marc Leishman (T-8), and Bud Cauley (MC). While I did have 3 of my picks finish in the top 11, the missed cuts from Day and Cauley made it a disappointing week overall. We’ll try to bounce back by going 5/5 this week:

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Gary Woodland: $19,828 – Woodland is an easy play for me this week thanks to his price tag under $20k. He has made 15 straight cuts and has the style of game to shoot some low rounds on this course. He is long off the tee and is ranked 19th in ball striking. His biggest issue this season has been his putter. He’s currently ranked 136th in strokes gained putting. While that may concern some, he’s one good putting week away from notching another win on tour. Woodland finished in a T-4th here in 2011 and has a good shot of being in contention come Sunday.

Brendon De Jonge: $19,285 – This week has the feeling of a breakthrough win for De Jonge. He comes into the event playing his best golf of the season. He’s made 8 straight cuts and has posted Top 30 finishes in 6 of his last 7 events. Not only is he in great form, but he also has event history on his side. De Jonge has 2 Top-5 finishes and another T-17th finish at this event. While it may feel a little strange paying $19k for De Jonge, this is the week to pay up for him.

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Daniel Summerhays: $16,991 – Much like De Jonge, this could be a breakout week for Summerhays. He’s having a terrific season with 17 of 21 cuts made and 2 Top-10 finishes. Summerhays has posted Top-30 finishes in 4 of his last 6 events and also has event history on his side as he has finished inside the Top-10 in each of his last two trips to Greenbrier. The stats also support the Summerhays play this week as he is ranked 41st in ball striking and 16th in strokes gained putting.

Cameron Tringale: $14,567 – I’m excited about Tringale’s price and upside this week. He’s been a cut making machine this season and has been terrific at this event in the past. He’s made the cut here in each of the last 3 seasons and has posted T-23rd, T-56th, and T-4th place finishes. Tringale is ranked inside the top 100 in ball striking and strokes gained putting and he should be able to make the cut once again. Anything on top of that is just gravy.

Scott Brown: $8,762 – Brown is my super sleeper pick this week. I typically don’t like to target the cheap golfers in my lineups, but Brown was high in the projections and everything else lines up for him as well. Brown is ranked 66th in ball striking and 50th in strokes gained putting. He’s also made the cut in each of the last 2 years at the event. He will be a steal at $9k if he can make the cut.

Greenbrier Classic Projections – DraftStreet

The PGA projections are calculated using 3 weights this week: Average Odds to Win, Average Odds to Finish in the Top 10, and 2014 Cut Percentage. These 3 weights are used to create a Player Score that rates a golfer from 1-100 for that particular event. The player score is then used to come up with a projection based on the previous fantasy outputs of the same event in prior years.

Player Name Avg. Odds to Win Avg. Odds Top 10 Events Cuts Top 10’s Player Score Projection Salary $ / Point
Cameron Tringale 78.25 6.83 24 19 1 83.73 20.84 $14,567 $698.98
J.B. Holmes 47.50 4.00 17 14 2 89.67 23.69 $16,703 $705.14
David Hearn 73.00 5.17 21 14 3 84.17 21.13 $14,901 $705.37
Andres Romero 90.00 8.00 18 9 1 78.89 19.13 $13,784 $720.47
Pat Perez 90.75 5.00 19 16 3 83.17 20.27 $14,618 $721.13
Scott Brown 187.50 16.00 23 16 3 50.58 12.12 $8,762 $722.71
George McNeill 86.25 6.83 18 13 3 81.98 19.99 $14,521 $726.55
Billy Hurley III 99.38 8.00 20 14 3 76.93 17.42 $12,665 $726.89
Kevin Chappell 85.00 7.67 20 14 1 81.81 19.70 $14,329 $727.31
K.J. Choi 47.50 4.33 16 13 2 88.32 22.83 $16,677 $730.38
Brian Harman 92.50 7.67 23 16 5 79.38 19.42 $14,276 $735.24
Angel Cabrera 92.50 7.67 16 7 0 78.71 18.85 $13,878 $736.34
Charles Howell III 64.00 5.17 22 19 6 85.78 21.41 $15,772 $736.67
Chris Kirk 39.13 2.83 19 18 3 93.21 24.83 $18,388 $740.66
Brendan Steele 43.75 4.00 20 13 4 89.42 23.40 $17,438 $745.13
Ben Martin 41.25 3.47 20 11 3 89.99 23.97 $17,870 $745.45
Patrick Reed 39.75 2.92 19 11 2 90.75 24.26 $18,143 $747.95
Daniel Summerhays 50.00 4.00 21 17 2 88.20 22.55 $16,991 $753.53
Shawn Stefani 78.63 5.17 10 7 2 83.33 20.56 $15,542 $756.10
Ben Curtis 110.63 8.00 19 11 1 73.92 16.57 $12,562 $758.14
Jeff Overton 100.13 5.67 19 12 3 78.47 18.56 $14,099 $759.54
Nick Watney 54.00 3.80 18 11 0 86.72 22.26 $17,000 $763.57
Carl Pettersson 53.25 4.00 22 13 3 85.87 21.69 $16,590 $764.71
Tim Wilkinson 110.63 10.00 20 14 2 71.86 15.90 $12,157 $764.82
Chris Stroud 47.63 3.80 18 13 3 89.07 23.12 $17,700 $765.64
Jonas Blixt 52.75 4.00 16 8 1 86.04 21.98 $16,878 $767.91
Rory Sabbatini 93.13 7.67 21 14 3 78.00 17.99 $13,885 $771.69
Davis Love III 157.50 14.00 17 13 0 56.97 13.38 $10,406 $777.67
Gary Woodland 32.63 2.33 17 15 4 94.35 25.40 $19,828 $780.76
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 118.75 8.00 16 11 0 71.51 15.79 $12,351 $782.18
Marc Leishman 32.50 2.58 17 12 4 93.63 25.11 $19,671 $783.36
Ricky Barnes 148.13 10.67 21 14 1 61.46 14.01 $11,007 $785.68
Brendon de Jonge 34.13 2.58 23 18 2 93.01 24.54 $19,285 $785.81
Jeff Maggert 163.75 13.33 16 7 1 55.63 13.17 $10,385 $788.45
Ted Potter, Jr. 97.50 7.33 21 8 0 77.32 17.71 $13,983 $789.63
Keegan Bradley 27.38 2.00 19 14 4 95.64 26.25 $20,734 $789.87
Tommy Gainey 143.75 9.33 21 8 1 63.08 14.32 $11,326 $790.71
Peter Hanson 92.50 7.67 11 6 0 78.01 18.28 $14,453 $790.74
Morgan Hoffmann 100.63 8.00 23 13 0 74.86 17.14 $13,569 $791.71
David Toms 112.50 9.33 15 8 2 70.99 15.69 $12,426 $792.19
John Huh 100.63 8.67 20 12 1 74.74 16.85 $13,383 $794.05
Bill Haas 22.25 1.92 19 17 3 97.44 28.35 $22,515 $794.18
Oliver Goss 181.25 12.00 4 2 0 53.90 12.75 $10,162 $796.87
William McGirt 137.50 9.33 22 13 2 65.14 14.74 $11,773 $798.56
Joe Durant 190.63 16.67 11 4 0 47.23 11.70 $9,375 $800.96
Patrick Rodgers 131.25 12.00 2 2 0 64.33 14.43 $11,617 $805.14
Webb Simpson 20.25 1.45 16 12 6 97.79 29.40 $23,713 $806.56
Thorbjorn Olesen 126.88 9.33 10 2 1 65.59 14.85 $11,978 $806.73
Martin Flores 115.00 10.67 21 15 1 69.01 15.37 $12,406 $807.08
Tyrone Van Aswegen 181.25 16.67 20 13 0 51.07 12.33 $9,974 $808.70
Brian Davis 112.50 9.33 23 16 0 72.42 16.00 $12,942 $808.87
Steve Stricker 27.50 2.28 7 6 1 95.62 25.97 $21,070 $811.47
Jason Gore 240.63 19.33 6 4 1 36.14 9.82 $8,030 $817.80
Stuart Appleby 123.75 10.00 22 16 2 67.80 15.16 $12,413 $818.70
J.J. Henry 171.88 16.67 23 13 0 52.82 12.54 $10,293 $820.63
Scott Langley 111.88 10.33 23 14 1 69.88 15.48 $12,705 $820.94
David Lingmerth 157.50 12.00 21 11 2 57.75 13.49 $11,077 $821.39
Andrew Svoboda 128.13 9.33 18 10 2 66.75 15.06 $12,397 $823.33
Kevin Na 28.13 1.71 18 13 5 95.24 25.68 $21,191 $825.18
Vijay Singh 178.13 14.67 20 12 1 53.19 12.65 $10,457 $826.80
Hudson Swafford 126.88 10.00 21 8 1 65.06 14.64 $12,105 $826.95
Jimmy Walker 12.50 1.07 19 16 8 98.86 31.50 $26,063 $827.40
Scott Stallings 102.63 8.67 20 8 1 72.73 16.28 $13,555 $832.38
Bud Cauley 131.25 11.33 16 7 0 62.36 14.11 $11,749 $832.42
Tim Clark 175.00 12.67 18 9 1 54.22 12.96 $10,804 $833.52
Camilo Villegas 141.88 12.00 22 15 0 61.34 13.90 $11,591 $833.60
Luke Guthrie 146.88 12.00 21 14 2 60.25 13.80 $11,529 $835.43
Roberto Castro 125.63 10.67 20 8 1 64.87 14.53 $12,147 $835.80
Jason Bohn 171.88 13.33 18 10 3 54.21 12.86 $10,765 $837.28
Ken Duke 203.13 20.00 20 14 0 42.48 11.18 $9,406 $841.25
Michael Thompson 121.88 11.33 18 13 1 66.74 14.95 $12,591 $842.07
Brendon Todd 22.50 1.50 21 18 6 97.31 27.30 $23,007 $842.75
Chesson Hadley 200.00 16.67 22 10 3 46.06 11.50 $9,730 $846.44
Michael Putnam 116.88 10.00 24 18 0 69.93 15.58 $13,275 $852.00
Sean O’Hair 209.38 16.67 21 11 1 42.38 10.97 $9,351 $852.30
Sang-Moon Bae 170.00 12.67 19 11 0 56.01 13.28 $11,334 $853.71
Bryce Molder 206.25 16.67 19 11 2 44.28 11.29 $9,662 $856.13
Justin Leonard 193.75 16.67 18 15 2 48.96 12.02 $10,315 $858.22
Jhonattan Vegas 190.63 14.67 17 13 0 51.22 12.44 $10,683 $858.89
Chad Campbell 150.00 11.33 13 8 1 59.90 13.70 $11,763 $858.91
Greg Chalmers 196.88 14.67 22 12 1 48.73 11.91 $10,269 $861.91
Richard H. Lee 165.63 13.33 22 11 2 55.33 13.07 $11,267 $862.27
Bubba Watson 12.50 1.03 13 10 7 98.73 30.45 $26,725 $877.67
Josh Teater 225.00 16.67 23 14 0 41.18 10.76 $9,457 $878.75
Will MacKenzie 203.13 18.67 20 11 5 42.48 11.08 $9,748 $880.09
Will Wilcox 234.38 18.00 11 7 1 37.90 10.24 $9,019 $880.93
Brice Garnett 243.75 21.33 22 16 1 33.16 9.30 $8,198 $881.96
Steven Bowditch 137.50 10.67 22 11 1 62.80 14.22 $12,553 $882.83
Troy Merritt 215.63 18.67 15 5 1 38.83 10.34 $9,186 $888.15
Justin Hicks 231.25 21.33 23 17 1 36.63 10.03 $8,908 $888.26
Heath Slocum 200.00 16.67 18 9 0 45.28 11.39 $10,135 $889.78
Nicholas Thompson 215.63 16.67 25 9 1 40.94 10.66 $9,522 $893.49
John Peterson 187.50 16.67 19 7 0 48.65 11.81 $10,580 $895.89
Jonathan Byrd 231.25 18.00 19 12 0 39.67 10.45 $9,502 $909.49
Charlie Wi 182.50 14.67 20 9 0 51.05 12.23 $11,139 $910.90
Peter Malnati 209.38 16.67 13 4 0 41.92 10.87 $9,901 $911.13
Trevor Immelman 237.50 18.00 23 10 1 36.28 9.92 $9,125 $919.51
James Hahn 150.00 10.67 22 11 2 59.62 13.59 $12,531 $922.04
Andrew Loupe 246.88 17.33 17 7 1 35.29 9.40 $8,678 $923.19
Danny Lee 200.00 14.67 21 8 1 46.90 11.60 $10,723 $924.40
Kyle Stanley 262.50 19.33 23 12 0 31.29 9.09 $8,408 $925.41
D.H. Lee 246.88 21.33 15 5 0 30.18 8.77 $8,152 $929.38
Johnson Wagner 231.25 20.00 19 6 0 35.98 9.71 $9,037 $930.28
Charlie Beljan 231.25 20.00 21 8 1 36.92 10.13 $9,470 $934.54
John Rollins 206.25 20.00 23 12 0 40.19 10.55 $9,890 $937.23
Kevin Tway 231.25 19.33 18 6 0 35.87 9.61 $9,021 $938.76
James Driscoll 250.00 21.33 21 11 0 30.52 8.88 $8,404 $946.80
Scott Gardiner 431.25 35.00 16 5 0 17.11 6.89 $6,534 $948.92
D.A. Points 281.25 20.00 21 8 0 28.27 8.46 $8,031 $949.61
Kevin Kisner 231.25 21.33 21 14 1 35.65 9.50 $9,065 $953.73
Alex Prugh 243.75 21.33 11 3 0 31.50 9.19 $8,793 $956.75
Brian Gay 281.25 22.33 22 15 1 26.76 8.14 $7,865 $965.88
Jamie Lovemark 271.88 21.33 15 9 0 27.65 8.35 $8,178 $979.12
Robert Allenby 253.13 21.33 23 10 0 28.45 8.56 $8,409 $982.14
Y.E. Yang 250.00 20.67 22 11 0 30.98 8.98 $8,831 $983.30
Steve Marino 281.25 21.33 8 4 0 25.36 8.04 $7,907 $983.69
Mike Weir 250.00 21.33 21 7 1 28.95 8.67 $8,533 $984.58
Troy Kelly 325.00 30.00 21.75 7.51 $7,417 $987.05
Jim Herman 281.25 22.33 16 9 0 25.15 7.93 $7,876 $992.77
Miguel Angel Carballo 309.38 21.33 10 4 0 23.07 7.83 $7,772 $992.77
Edward Loar 437.50 25.00 14 1 0 16.65 6.78 $6,793 $1,001.78
Brad Fritsch 293.75 25.00 13 4 1 22.19 7.72 $7,757 $1,004.30
Matt Bettencourt 437.50 37.33 9 2 0 15.65 6.68 $6,733 $1,008.51
Bronson La’Cassie 381.25 22.33 13 5 0 20.30 7.10 $7,163 $1,009.55
Darren Clarke 362.50 21.33 12 4 0 21.73 7.30 $7,385 $1,010.98
Spencer Levin 300.00 25.00 19 9 0 22.01 7.62 $7,709 $1,011.81
Alex Aragon 631.25 33.33 13 2 0 11.08 5.84 $5,991 $1,026.19
Wes Roach 418.75 40.00 17 7 1 17.31 6.99 $7,177 $1,026.68
Patrick Cantlay 259.38 21.33 3 1 0 27.32 8.25 $8,520 $1,033.03
John Daly 362.50 22.33 9 4 0 21.21 7.20 $7,535 $1,046.53
Troy Matteson 493.75 27.33 18 4 1 14.45 6.26 $6,573 $1,050.48
Stephen Ames 437.50 37.67 16 5 0 15.49 6.57 $6,929 $1,054.41
Jim Renner 456.25 32.67 20 5 1 15.30 6.47 $6,920 $1,070.10
Harrison Frazar 500.00 40.00 14 4 0 11.87 5.94 $6,436 $1,082.98
Chad Collins 525.00 40.00 23 8 1 10.95 5.73 $6,270 $1,093.60
Mark Wilson 293.75 24.00 20 5 0 21.74 7.41 $8,184 $1,104.52
Mark Anderson 475.00 40.00 8 3 0 13.33 6.15 $6,847 $1,112.90
Woody Austin 443.75 40.00 19 7 0 14.92 6.36 $7,141 $1,122.46
Tom Watson 462.50 40.00 2 0 0 12.07 6.05 $6,823 $1,128.21
Derek Ernst 562.50 40.00 23 7 0 9.50 5.52 $6,292 $1,139.07
Daniel Chopra 631.25 40.00 11 2 0 7.88 5.31 $6,085 $1,145.03
Kevin Foley 662.50 43.33 10 4 0 7.51 5.21 $6,002 $1,152.12
Neal Lancaster 843.75 46.67 4.89 4.90 $5,747 $1,174.00
Benjamin Alvarado 662.50 43.33 5 1 0 7.12 5.10 $6,036 $1,182.43
Scott McCarron 718.75 43.33 8 2 0 6.14 5.00 $5,955 $1,191.00
Paul Goydos 500.00 40.00 17 3 0 10.71 5.63 $6,723 $1,194.44
Robert McClellan 1187.50 43.33 4.13 4.69 $5,623 $1,200.03
Nick Faldo 1343.75 72.33 1 0 0 2.65 4.58 $5,502 $1,201.06
Scott Verplank 543.75 40.00 10 1 0 9.09 5.42 $6,523 $1,203.72
Rod Perry 843.75 40.00 5 0 0 4.79 4.79 $5,805 $1,211.78

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious