JMToWin's NFL Edge: Divisional Round

Each week this NFL season, JMToWin will break down every game on the NFL slate from top to bottom, with a look at game flow, player matchups, coaching tendencies, DFS strategy, and anything else that shows up in his research that might give you an edge on the slate. Widely regarded as the most in-depth, DFS-specific article in the industry, this top-to-bottom breakdown is just what you need in order to conquer the slate and take home money each week!

Week 19

RG Fam,

Thanks for hanging with me this season. I had a blast!

Before we take a bow and ride off into the offseason, however, we have one final four-game slate to conquer. Let’s go!!!!

Falcons at Eagles

Vegas-Implied Total: Falcons 22.25, Eagles 19.25

KEY MATCHUPS:

Eagles Run D – 3rd DVOA / 6th Yards allowed per carry
Falcons Run O – 16th DVOA / 8th Yards per carry

Eagles Pass D – 7th DVOA / 3rd Yards allowed per pass attempt
Falcons Pass O – 10th DVOA / 5th Yards per pass attempt

Falcons Run D – 20th DVOA / 19th Yards allowed per carry
Eagles Run O – 17th DVOA / 4th Yards per carry

Falcons Pass D – 19th DVOA / 11th Yards allowed per pass attempt
Eagles Pass O – 5th DVOA / 14th Yards per pass attempt

______

LEVEL I – The Research

On paper, I expect the Falcons to win this game – but if I were in Vegas this week, I imagine I would drop some money on Philly. Give an excellent coaching staff two weeks to prepare for a home playoff game, and the edge tips to that team.

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About the Author

JMToWin
JM Tohline (JMToWin)

JM Tohline (Tuh-lean) – DFS alias JMToWin – is a novelist and a DFS player who specializes in high-stakes MLB and NFL tourneys, with a strategy geared toward single-entry play in multi-entry tourneys. He joined the DFS scene at the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, and has since won five DFS championship seats and two separate trips to the Bahamas. His tendency to type a lot of words leads to a corresponding tendency to divulge all his DFS thoughts, strategies, and secrets…which is exactly what he does in his RotoGrinders articles and RotoAcademy courses. You can find JM on Twitter at JMToWin.