Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction

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Grizzlies vs. Jazz Odds

Grizzlies Odds +10.5
Jazz Odds -10.5
Over/Under 221.5
Date Monday, Nov. 22
Time 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ATRM

On Monday evening, the Memphis Grizzlies and the Utah Jazz will battle at the Vivint Arena. Entering play, Memphis has lost four of their last six contests. Utah has started to find traction after a sluggish start to the new campaign, having won each of their last three games in convincing fashion. Oddsmakers anticipate another relatively easy win for the Jazz in this affair, pricing Utah as 10.5-point home favorites on the spread.

Let’s take a closer look at Grizzlies vs. Jazz odds and NBA betting tips for tonight’s matchup on NBA TV.

Memphis Grizzlies (+10.5)

Dillon Brooks, who is arguably the Grizzlies’ most important player other than Ja Morant, is listed as doubtful for this evening’s contest due to a right hamstring injury. Per Cleaning the Glass, Memphis is allowing 119.2 points per 100 possessions when Morant is on the floor, but Brooks is off of the court this season, resulting in a -8.1 Net Rating in such situations. When both players are on the court together, the Grizzlies Net Rating improves to +13.2 and they are allowing only 102.4 points per 100 possessions. Brooks’ absence is significant in this matchup.

It certainly does not help matters that Memphis has the worst Net Rating of any team in the NBA on the road this season, having been outscored by 14.1 points per 100 possessions away from home. The Jazz attempt the second-most three-pointers in the league per game. Memphis ranks 30th this season, allowing their opponents to shoot 40.2 percent from beyond the arc. If there is any hope for the Grizzlies in this one, it is that they have good ball movement and do a reasonably good job of taking care of the basketball with only 13.9 turnovers per game.

Utah Jazz (-10.5)

As mentioned above, the Jazz take an abundance of shots from the perimeter, which could be problematic for the Grizzlies in this matchup. Utah is averaging 86.1 field goal attempts per contest—48.7 percent of which are coming from beyond the arc. It is entirely possible that the distribution is skewed even more heavily towards the three-point line this evening against a Memphis team that struggles mightily to defend that area of the floor. This vulnerability could be even more salient without Brooks on the floor, who is unquestionably their best backcourt defender.

Since the beginning of last season, Utah is 37-7 at home. Though this group had a sluggish start to the campaign, they have seemingly turned things around with three consecutive victories by 16 points or more. When playing at home this year, Utah has a +10.9 Net Rating, which ranks fourth-best in the NBA. There are no significant injuries to report for the Jazz ahead of this contest. Bettors should expect healthy production out of a deep backcourt, featuring Donovan Mitchell, Bojan Bogdanovic, Jordan Clarkson, and Mike Conley—each of whom is averaging 13.4 points per night or better.

Grizzlies vs. Jazz Picks

Memphis has the worst Net Rating of any team in the NBA on the road this season. They will be without Brooks, who is their best defender. When he is off of the floor, the Grizzlies’ defensive efficiency becomes astronomically worse compared to when he is on the court. Utah runs the majority of their offense through the three-point line, which is likely to be a difficult problem to solve for a Memphis team that is allowing their opponents to shoot 40.2 percent from beyond the arc. Utah has a great chance to cover at home tonight.

PICK: Jazz -10.5 (-110)

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom