Million Dollar Musings: Opening Day

Is your lineup Premium Approved? In this space, either CheeseIsGood or STLCardinals84 will break down the slate from top-to-bottom like no one else in the industry can – exploring the matchups from every angle, steering you toward the best plays on the day, and helping you become a better and more complete DFS player as you continually expose yourself to the “process” and the “why,” rather than just looking at the “what.” Have a boat? We’ll teach you how to fish.

Opening Day!

We made it! The long off-season is over and baseball is back. If you are new to the Musings this year, welcome. To those of you who have been with me in the past, thanks for joining me for another season.

I’m going to dive head first into the analysis, so if you have any questions about how to use this or what some of these stats mean, please feel free to ask any questions in the comment section. You can also take a look at this primer article for an overview of what to expect this season, and it will also explain a lot of the terminology that I use. Early in the season, all we have to go on are past numbers, so I’ll be looking at 2018 stats. As the season progresses, I’ll start bringing in the current season numbers.

While I’ll be talking through who I like and plan to play on different sites, the purpose of the Musings is not to give you picks. We have lots of tools available on the site if you need specific help to build a lineup that can give you a starting point for your rosters. Consensus Value Rankings, LineupHQ Expert Filters and the Expert Survey all have recommended plays for the days slate. Here, I’m interested in helping you become a better player and understanding how to look at a slate and break it down. This is more about the research and the process. Through reading this article all season, you’ll learn how I arrive at my decisions, what stats I look at each day and different ways that I think about lineup construction in various types of contests.

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About the Author

  • Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

  • One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts, aka CheeseIsGood, has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a two-time winner of a million dollar first place prize in DFS; having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball live final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Millionare Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments recently earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his GrindersLive appearances.

    Follow Dave on Twitter – @DavePotts2

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Comments

  • KillerBrees09

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    CHEESE AND HIS MUSINGS ARE BACK!! I didn’t really expect that the million dollar musings would be waiting for me like an old friend at home…..d@mn good to have you back, Cheese! You know what time it is….time for the happy dance! Knowwhatimsayin…..

  • jbone1980

    Cheese…thanks a lot. Glad to have this back and glad MLB is back!!

  • boomanfoo

    Spring is here and the Musings are back life is good

  • bc8844

    Yes! You didn’t forget the Steven Wright jokes! Thank goodness. I feel like that all the time too! Glad to have you back Cheese. Looking forward to a great year.

  • vegas0205

    Awesome stuff!!! Thank you!

  • sbolomo

  • joemoney42

    Great article as always Dave! Couple things…technically it’s Cliffs Notes (with an “S”) stupid I know but that’s the origin…forgive my OCD on this point..carry on as needed. Second, aside from jabroni, could you also try to work in mook, communist, and scalawag to your player descriptors. Flying to LA currently to take in the Opening day series…feeling a little Dodger lefties against Stienke. Looking forward to a great season, thanks!

  • Adthorlas

    thanks for the musings and so glad MLB is back. I haven’t seen the word jabroni in a while and look forward to seeing it many times in your articles this year.

  • CheeseIsGood

    MLB Premium Director

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    @joemoney42 said...

    Great article as always Dave! Couple things…technically it’s Cliffs Notes (with an “S”) stupid I know but that’s the origin…forgive my OCD on this point..carry on as needed. Second, aside from jabroni, could you also try to work in mook, communist, and scalawag to your player descriptors. Flying to LA currently to take in the Opening day series…feeling a little Dodger lefties against Stienke. Looking forward to a great season, thanks!

    Woah, it IS Cliffs Notes with an ‘S’. I had no idea, or had forgotten. So, what this means is that I have in fact invented Cliff Notes, and it’s just my own thing, unique to the Musings. YES!

  • zakarimi

    Welcome back Dave! We missed ya!

  • drciuce

    For someone who is typically a one lineup guy in NBA at around $500 a night in mostly single entry tourneys and triple ups, would you suggest doing one lineup in baseball or a different strategy?

  • CheeseIsGood

    MLB Premium Director

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    @drciuce said...

    For someone who is typically a one lineup guy in NBA at around $500 a night in mostly single entry tourneys and triple ups, would you suggest doing one lineup in baseball or a different strategy?

    I would suggest focusing on building one main lineup for your single entry tourney. Then, if you’re entering more than one, build out a few additional lineups, keeping the same core of players in each. This may be 4-5 players that you have across all lineups, but give yourself a few different variations around at the positions you’re not as sure on.

  • Mohawk86

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    I usually do one basketball lineup myself. In baseball I basically do what Dave suggests above by making a lineup and then switching up my pitcher(s) and then adjusting a couple of players to meet the salary cap. For example if there are three pitchers I like I may do all three iterations of the three pitchers with basically the same batters in each lineup. In short as it’s pitchers that really makes baseball DFS unique, I generally only diverge from my one lineup rule for pitchers. Then use the first main lineup (or the one that looks best in the end) in single entry, the one with the best pitchers in cash and the ones with best hitters (and cheapest pitchers) in multientry tournaments only. Just some thoughts from a fellow single lineup person.

  • drciuce

    Thanks !

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