MLB DFS Picks - FanDuel & DraftKings Expert Survey: Saturday, October 1st

Curious to know the top tournament target? Want to know our analysts’ favorite stacks? Below we answer lineup-building questions to help you prepare for the upcoming slate. NOTE: Expert Surveys are only posted for main slates.

MLB Expert Survey: Saturday, October 1

Who is your favorite hitter for optimal lineups?

STLCardinals84: Mike Trout (FD) / Taylor Ward (DK)
TJ Zwarych: Mike Trout
krayton: Mike Trout
drizzy26: Mike Trout

Who is your favorite hitter for large-field contests?

STLCardinals84: Trea Turner
TJ Zwarych: Taylor Ward
krayton: Mookie Betts
drizzy26: Will Smith

Who is your favorite pitcher for optimal lineups?

STLCardinals84: Cristian Javier
TJ Zwarych: Max Scherzer
krayton: Max Scherzer
drizzy26: Max Scherzer

Who is your favorite pitcher for large-field contests?

STLCardinals84: Max Scherzer
TJ Zwarych: Cristian Javier
krayton: Cristian Javier
drizzy26: Cristian Javier

Who is your favorite salary saver for optimal lineups?

STLCardinals84: Brendan Donovan
TJ Zwarych: Rowdy Tellez (FD) / Lars Nootbaar (DK)
krayton: Rowdy Tellez (FD) / Lars Nootbaar (DK)
drizzy26: Max Muncy) / Josh Jung)

Who is your favorite salary saver for large-field contests?

STLCardinals84: Lars Nootbaar
TJ Zwarych: Trayce Thompson
krayton: Chris Taylor (FD) / Trayce Thompson (DK)
drizzy26: Rowdy Tellez (FD) / Trayce Thompson (DK)

Which player are you most afraid of being underweight on compared to the field?

STLCardinals84: Dylan Cease
TJ Zwarych: Jordan Montgomery
krayton: Jordan Montgomery
drizzy26: Jordan Montgomery

What’s your under-the-radar home run call of the day?

STLCardinals84: Adolis Garcia
TJ Zwarych: Jose Altuve
krayton: Ryan McMahon
drizzy26: Taylor Ward

What is the top stack on the board for leverage in low-dollar GPPs?

STLCardinals84: TEX
TJ Zwarych: TEX
krayton: MIL
drizzy26: MIL/STL

Who are your five favorite stacks for large-field contests, ranked in order?

STLCardinals84: 1) LAD 2) LAA 3) STL 4) TEX 5) MIL
TJ Zwarych: 1) LAD 2) LAA 3) STL 4) TEX 5) NYM
krayton: 1) LAD 2) LAA 3) STL 4) MIL 5) TEX
drizzy26: 1) LAD 2) LAA 3) TEX 4) NYM 5) HOU
1) 2) 3) 4) 5)

Expert Survey Tournament Stack Rankings based on analyst responses above

1. LAD
2. LAA
3. TEX
4. STL
5. NYM

How do you plan to beat the field of opponents? What tactic or strategy will set you apart?

STLCardinals84: This is a tough slate to get totally different with a clear line between good pitchers and good offensive spots. I like the idea of springing for a slightly under the radar stack like Texas with some potential upside on a shorter slate.

TJ Zwarych: There’s a ton of really strong pitching tonight, and it’s tougher to find bats in good spots. The Dodgers line up as the clear top option for me tonight outside of Trout and Ohtani, and I want to get overweight on the back half of their lineup.

krayton: It’s hard to believe we are at the end of the MLB season, but we still have teams that are playing for something on today’s slate. I will be way overweight on Scherzer today given how much this game means for the playoffs. We finally saw the Dodgers put up some runs last night, and they are a team I will be focused on today as well. Where I will get different is my secondary stacks, as I have a lot of interest in STL, TEX and MIL, and I will be looking to build 4/4 and 5/3 stacks today, as there is quite a bit of cheap value to make it work.

drizzy26: With the season coming to an end, I will be targeting a lot of pitchers who have something to play for like Scherzer, who just stands out above all the rest and Javier, who is looking to be in great form going into the playoffs. I will also roster the bats in more 3-3 stacks on FD and 4-3 stacks on DK to get more of a different look on my teams.

Who is your top overall pitcher (when considering price, matchup, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

STLCardinals84: Max Scherzer – In GPP builds, I will definitely opt for Scherzer as my SP1. He is built to pitch in big games, and these are the spots where he thrives. The Mets and Braves are currently tied for the NL East lead (and a first round playoff bye), making this an absolutely massive game. While the Braves have a scary offense, Scherzer is as matchup proof as they come, and he owns a 3.21 xFIP and 31% strikeout rate on the season.

TJ Zwarych: Max Scherzer – While the matchup against Atlanta is frightening, it also provides an incredible amount of strikeout upside. Scherzer’s 31% strikeout rate against one of the biggest risk-reward opponents in the league checks the box as the top option tonight, not because of his floor but due to his ceiling. Scherzer projects as the highest scoring pitcher on the slate, and I don’t think anyone else comes within a 10 point ceiling to him tonight.

krayton: Max Scherzer – I will continue to focus on the pitchers that have something to play for and the Mets/Braves game is one of the biggest games on the slate for playoff implications. Not to mention that Scherzer is one of the best plays on the slate and he has so much upside. The Braves do have a great offense as we saw deGrom give up home runs to Riley, Swanson and Olson last night; however he still had 11 strikeouts. I see a similar scenario today where Max will get a ton of strikeouts, but he may give up a home run or two. He still has extremely high upside on the slate, as he has a 31% K rate and a low walk rate of just 4%, and it’s a huge game for both teams.

drizzy26: Max Scherzer – Simply put, he’s one of the best pitchers of this generation going against their rival in the Atlanta Braves going for the NL East title with the same record right now. These are the moments Max lives for as my counterpart Justin has alluded to, and I expect him to show up and show out at his best in this spot. With Max having a 31.4% strikeout rate and the Braves’ projected lineup having a 25.4% overall strikeout rate, this is a perfect spot for him. The Braves’ lineup is full of good hitters and are patient, but all year they have just tended to swing and miss a lot more than expected. And today in this elite and difficult matchup for them, I expect the same against Max.

Who is your top overall hitter (when considering price, matchup, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

STLCardinals84: The Angels have price points that are all over the place on the various sites, so I will cherry pick them based on site against Cole Ragans. Trout is relatively easy to fit on FD, while Taylor Ward feels too cheap on DK. I also really like the Dodgers’ RHBs against Freeland, so Smith and Turner rise near the top of the list as well.

TJ Zwarych: Mike Trout – In addition to his low strikeout rate, Cole Ragans is giving up a .222 ISO to right-handed bats this season, and when you combine that with Trout’s .333 ISO and 46% hard-hit rate, you have a match made in heaven. Trout’s been on a tear recently, and he is bar-none my top option tonight.

krayton: Mike Trout – There is quite a bit of value today, so for me, Mike Trout is the top play on the slate regardless of his high price. He gets the lefty pitcher Cole Ragans and could easily have a two home run game today. As much as I like Trout, Mookie Betts, Trea Turner and Will Smith are all great plays against the lefty Kyle Freeland as well, and you could argue that they are some of the top plays on the slate. They are all plays that I will be focused on today, as there is quite a bit of value, such as Chris Taylor and Trayce Thompson that really help complete the builds today.

drizzy26: Mike Trout – He’s been looking more like himself since coming back from the back injury and is hitting the ball really well. I look for that to continue in this spot against the Ragans, who only has a 15.9% K rate, 11.4% walk rate, fly balls at 37.9% and hard hits at 34.7%. This just sets up great for him to have a monster game to finish off the season and get ready for the next.

What is your hot take of the day?

STLCardinals84: Max Scherzer and Edwin Diaz combine on a one-hit shutout.

TJ Zwarych: I guess I won’t ALSO do a Max Scherzer one so…the Dodgers put up double-digit runs for the second straight day.

krayton: Max Scherzer strikes out 13 batters in 8 innings while only giving up one home run to get the win for the Mets.

drizzy26: Max Scherzer throws 10+ and a no hitter at least through 7.

Image Credit: Imagn

Curious to know the top tournament target? Want to know our analysts’ favorite stacks? Below we answer lineup-building questions to help you prepare for the upcoming slate. NOTE: Expert Surveys are only posted for main slates.

MLB Expert Survey: Saturday, October 1

Who is your favorite hitter for optimal lineups?

STLCardinals84: Mike Trout (FD) / Taylor Ward (DK)
TJ Zwarych: Mike Trout
krayton: Mike Trout
drizzy26: Mike Trout

Who is your favorite hitter for large-field contests?

About the Author

  • John Britt (jmbwngfn)

  • One of the top baseball and hockey analysts in the DFS industry, John Britt is a family man hailing from St. Louis, Missouri. A proud graduate of the University of Missouri, John’s passion is hockey but he excels at multiple DFS sports. He has been nominated multiple times for awards for his written work in both baseball (best MLB series) and hockey (3x NHL Writer of the Year nominee) and is now the Lead Editor at RotoGrinders. John can be found on Twitter at the username JMBWngFn.

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