Million Dollar Musings: Tuesday, September 5

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CheeseIsGood, a two-time winner of a $1,000,000 first-place prize in DFS, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate. Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Cheese has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks.

Happy Tuesday! We’ve got a 10-game slate tonight that appears to be a little light on the pitching side and a little tricky with pricing. At first glance, it’s one of those slates that has some very obvious top plays, but they are priced up enough that you can’t just jam them all in and move on with your day. Let’s dive into these MLB DFS picks and see if we can find some less obvious options, or at least figure out how to prioritize those obvious good plays on both sides of the ledger.

Tuesday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

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The lopsided nature of this slate is clear right from the start, with Gerrit Cole being the clear SP1, but also price up at $12k on DK and $11,500 on FD. These are the four pitchers over $9k on this slate:

Gerrit Cole vs. Tigers – 27.1% K, 6.5% BB, 2.95 ERA, 3.68 SIERA
Framber Valdez at Rangers – 24.2% K, 6.3% BB, 3.38 ERA, 3.65 SIERA
Nathan Eovaldi vs. Astros – 23.2% K, 7.1% BB, 2.69 ERA, 4.00 SIERA
Chris Bassitt at A’s – 21.9% K, 7.5% BB, 3.81 ERA, 4.39 SIERA

Even before accounting for matchup, Gerrit Cole stands out as the best pitcher on this slate. His 27% K rate leads the way and it’s gone up to 30% since the All-Star Break, with his outstanding control and high pitch count giving him 9 quality starts in his last 11 outings. When we add in his matchup against Detroit, weighed against the tougher matchups for Valdez and Eovaldi, Cole is the very clear and obvious SP1. It’s just going to come down to salary and what you want to do with your bats, as well as your SP2 on DK. So let’s look at everything else and then figure out how strongly to prioritize the spend up on Cole.

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About the Author

CheeseIsGood
Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a 2x winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize in DFS, having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball Live Final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Milly Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune, and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his MLB Crunch Time appearances. Follow Dave on X – @DavePotts2