MLB DFS Top Stacks: Monday, August 28
Keith Eyster walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
We have a big 12-game slate to kick off the week for us on Monday, and it includes everything you could possibly want. The best offense in baseball is in Coors Field, three Cy Young contenders will take the mound, and so will two of the top young pitching prospects in the game. Let’s break down some of the offenses we may be targeting for our lineups today.
Top Projected Stack – Braves at Austin Gomber
It remains to be seen how popular the Braves will get as the sites have done a good job of pricing them up as they head to Coors Field for a three-game set with the Rockies.
Ronald Acuna is $7,000 on DK, and he is $5,100 on FD. Matt Olson and Austin Riley join him above $6,000 on and above $4,000 on FD. It is the most aggressive pricing we have seen all season long.
Austin Gomber gets the difficult task of trying to slow down the best offense in baseball, in the best hitters park in the league. He owns a 5.21 SIERA and just a 14.6% strikeout rate on the season. He has allowed an 8.7% barrel rate, 45.3% hard hit rate, and 1.65 HR/9.
The Braves rank among the top stacks on nearly every slate they are on, and that certainly is going to be the case today. They own the best wRC+ (124), wOBA (.358), and ISO (.224) in the league, and their numbers have been even better against lefties.
Every hitter in the projected lineup (except for Michael Harris) owns an ISO above .200 versus left-handed pitching this season.
Kevin Pillar is the only thing resembling salary relief in the projected lineup, and he comes with 36% pinch hit risk according to THE BAT. Orlando Arcia is the next cheapest option at $4,600 on DK and $3,400 on FD.
Ozzie Albies has a chance to return from a hamstring injury that has sidelined him for the last two weeks.
Whatever nine hitters the Braves end up rolling out there today, all of them will be in play.
Despite their gaudy season numbers, fantastic matchup, and elite park, the Braves are still projecting for just over 9% OWN% on DK and just under 11% OWN% on FD. The big slate and sky high prices are certainly contributing factors there.
Those factors are also holding down their OPTO%, which sits just above 4% on DK and just under 6% on FD. The Braves are currently not projected among the top 5 teams in terms of their chances of being the optimal stack on either site today.
That doesn’t mean you should automatically fade them in single-entry and small-field tournaments, but it is certainly something that can be considered as we have other great options on the slate.
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