MLB DFS Top Stacks: Monday, May 22
Keith Eyster walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
We have a shorter, seven-game main slate for Monday evening as the sites have left off the games starting before 7:20 ET. Despite a smaller slate, we have both elite pitching and elite hitting options. Coors Field is back in our lives as the Marlins head out to Denver to take on the Rockies.
Chalk Stack – Marlins vs. Chase Anderson
The Marlins have the top team total on the slate as they square off against Chase Anderson in Coors Field. On the downside, they are not a good offense. They have the fourth lowest wOBA (.299) in the league with just an 89 wRC+. And making matters worse, two of their best hitters (Jazz Chisholm and Jesus Sanchez) are on the Injured List. Their projected lineup owns just a cumulative .118 ISO and .268 wOBA versus RHP this season.
The positives begin with the massive ballpark upgrade for hitters. The Marlins home park ranks just 23rd in Park Factor since 2021, while Coors Field is the best in baseball. We are looking at one of the biggest upgrades an offense can receive based on the ballpark.
The other big positive is in the pitching matchup. Chase Anderson has had trouble holding down a Major League job recently, with stops in multiple organizations over the past three years. He is on the back-end of his career and has posted well-below average results since 2020. Anderson has managed just a 17.8% strikeout rate over the last three seasons, and he has been at 14.3% through 10.0 innings this season.
The lack of power in the Marlins lineup is concerning enough that I think they are fadeable in any format. Their OWN% checks-in around 15%, which is not overly concerning when talking about the team with the highest total on the slate. However, their OPTO% sits at just a shade above 10%.
I will likely end up underweight on the Marlins in favor of some great pivots today.
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