MLB DFS Top Stacks: Saturday, July 1
Taylor Smith walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
Last night’s slate was a weird one, but we’ve got a sexier 7-gamer on tap for this afternoon. There’s quite a bit of good pitching out there, headlined by the best offense taking on one of the league’s most talented young pitchers. The Braves staged their own home run derby on Friday night, but it should be fun to see what they have in store for an encore today against Eury Perez. The salaries could help to keep Atlanta’s ownership in check, though, and they’re arguably not even the top offense of the afternoon.
How should we stack ‘em up today?
Chalk Stack – White Sox vs. Kyle Muller
We haven’t seen Kyle Muller on a major-league mound since May 22, when he allowed 6 runs on 8 hits across 5 innings in a loss to Seattle. On the season, the left-hander has an ERA north of 8 in 10 MLB starts. He really didn’t look much better over the last month at Triple-A, either. He comes into this one after having allowed 9 earned runs over his last 2 outings.
The White Sox get a sizable park downgrade today going into Oakland, but the Coliseum does play a bit more hitter-friendly during the day. They’ll also throw quite a bit of right-handed power at the lefty, as Andrew Benintendi is the lone left-handed bat in the projected lineup. Muller has whiffed just 15.5% of RHBs this year, while his K-rate against lefties is way down at just 9.3%.
The A’s thought they were getting a standout prospect when they nabbed him from Atlanta in an offseason deal, but he’s been anything but that to this point. The White Sox aren’t necessarily chalky today because they’re an elite offense- it’s just that Muller has been arguably the worst starting pitcher in baseball this season. Luis Robert – who’s been hitting home runs seemingly every night for the last week – is the clear must-have in any ChiSox stack. Robert’s been one of the few bright spots for this lineup, and he’s been particularly terrific (.498 wOBA, .375 ISO) against lefties.
The next home run for Tim Anderson will be his first of the season, but he’s cheap and should still hit near the top of the order. Andrew Vaughn, Eloy Jimenez, and Jake Burger would be the next-best stops for power beyond Robert, while you can punt with Benintendi, Elvis Andrus, Seby Zavala, and Clint Frazier.
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