MLB DFS Top Stacks: Thursday, June 22
Justin Carlucci walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
It’s a very small slate on Thursday with only five total games. In fact, we almost have a turbo slate on our hands, with four of them starting no later than 1:10 p.m. ET! Our top stacks tool is still running calculations early this morning, but I’ll circle back to update if necessary before roster lock. Let’s dive in and take a look at today’s action.
Chalk Stack – Diamondbacks vs. Jake Irvin
Did you have the Diamondbacks leading the NL West toward the end of June on your BINGO card? Well, here we are!
The pesky Diamondbacks, who rarely strike out, are led by surging MVP candidate Corbin Carroll. Early PlateIQ pOWN% has three hitters checking in at more than 30% on FanDuel, while five D’Backs project to be at least 25% on DraftKings.
Why? Well, you have a high-contact team against a young pitcher that hasn’t found any success during his first cup of coffee in the bigs. Irvin is striking out just 16% of hitters and walking 13% of them, which is a total recipe for disaster against a very discipline Arizona team. He’s yielding a .211 ISO vs. left-handed batters and Arizona projects to roll out at least five of them today.
Six batters in the projected ARZ lineup have .199 ISOs or higher against right-handed pitchers this season. Perhaps their success is sustainable, as their collective strikeout rate is just 20%.
Alek Thomas may be overlooked today, he’s logged six hits and a homer since being recalled three games ago. Don’t forget about Carson Kelly at catcher on this tiny slate. He’s finally playing baseball again and has shown that he can be a very capable hitter in this league across the past couple of injury-ridden seasons.
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